Bundesliga · 2025Sat, 2 May 2026, 13:30 UTCFull timePreZero ArenaFull-time recap

1899 Hoffenheim

LLDWW

3–3Full-time recap

VfB Stuttgart

WLWLD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	1899 Hoffenheim	VfB Stuttgart
Shots	22 shots/match▲	14 shots/match
Shots on target	9 shots/match▲	5 shots/match
Expected goals	2.11 xG/match▲	1.75 xG/match
Possession	46%	54%
Corners	4 corners/match	5 corners/match
Fouls	18 fouls/match	9 fouls/match
Yellow cards	3 cards/match	1 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.63 corners/match▲Corners1899 Hoffenheim · VfB Stuttgart5.63 corners/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

Metric	1899 Hoffenheim	VfB Stuttgart	Baseline
Corners	5.63 corners/match	5.63 corners/match	4.63 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

01899 Hoffenheim

1Draws

0VfB Stuttgart

20 Dec 2025VfB Stuttgart — 1899 Hoffenheim · Bundesliga0–0

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

1899 Hoffenheim favored in 1 of 14 directional metrics · VfB Stuttgart in 6 · 7 too close

2 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 32/322.06 goals/match

1.5 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 32/321.44 goals/match

1.39 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 7/7▲1.95 xG/match

1.46 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 7/71.52 xG/match

14.1 shots/matchShotsseason · 32/32▲15.1 shots/match

12.3 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 32/3212.7 shots/match

5.25 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 32/32▲5.91 shots/match

4.41 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 32/324.66 shots/match

54.7%Possessionseason · 32/3258.4%

5.63 corners/matchCornersseason · 32/325.63 corners/match

4.91 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 32/32▲4.13 corners/match

2.08 cards/matchCardsseason · 26/262 cards/match

14.2 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 32/329.41 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

19%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 32/32▲34%

84%Scoring frequencyseason · 32/32▲91%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

1899 Hoffenheim75

VfB Stuttgart86.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

1899 Hoffenheim76.9

VfB Stuttgart85.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

1899 Hoffenheim73.1

VfB Stuttgart62

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

1899 Hoffenheim41.7

VfB Stuttgart47.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

1899 Hoffenheim75

VfB Stuttgart33.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 91%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

1899 Hoffenheim88.9

VfB Stuttgart88.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

1899 Hoffenheim85.4

VfB Stuttgart70.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

2 goals/matchGoals scored5/52 goals/match

1.8 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/52 goals/match

1.42 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲1.78 xG/match

15.2 shots/matchShots5/515.8 shots/match

5.2 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲5.6 shots/match

55.2%Possession5/557.4%

5.6 corners/matchCorners5/57 corners/match

—Cards1/1—

15.4 fouls/matchFouls5/57.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1.7 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲2.5 goals/match

2 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.7 goals/match

1.39 xG/matchExpected goals7/7▲1.95 xG/match

15.8 shots/matchShots10/1015.2 shots/match

5.9 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲6.3 shots/match

57.8%Possession10/1059.6%

7 corners/matchCorners10/106.2 corners/match

1.75 cards/matchCards4/41.75 cards/match

14.3 fouls/matchFouls10/108.2 fouls/match

Window

Season

32 / 32 matches

2 goals/matchGoals scored32/322.06 goals/match

1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed32/321.44 goals/match

1.39 xG/matchExpected goals7/7▲1.95 xG/match

14.1 shots/matchShots32/32▲15.1 shots/match

5.25 shots/matchShots on target32/32▲5.91 shots/match

54.7%Possession32/3258.4%

5.63 corners/matchCorners32/325.63 corners/match

2.08 cards/matchCards26/262 cards/match

14.2 fouls/matchFouls32/329.41 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

16 / 16 matches

2.13 goals/matchGoals scored16/16▲2.44 goals/match

1.31 goals/match▲Goals allowed16/161.94 goals/match

1.62 xG/matchExpected goals4/3▲2.22 xG/match

16.1 shots/match▲Shots16/1613.7 shots/match

6.06 shots/matchShots on target16/165.81 shots/match

55.9%Possession16/1658.1%

6.31 corners/matchCorners16/165.44 corners/match

1.85 cards/matchCards13/141.86 cards/match

13.9 fouls/matchFouls16/169.81 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.88 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples32 / 32home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 2 May 2026, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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Match statistics

What the record shows

Both teams have elevated corners records

Head-to-head

Values, percentiles and samples

How the teams compare

Possession control

Attacking volume

Defensive resistance

Directness proxy

Physicality

Set-piece relevance

Tempo and pressure proxy

Season, last 10 and last 5

Last 5

Last 10

Season

Home and away samples

Home team at home / away team away

Rest and recent workload

How much supports this analysis

Known unknowns

Related matches

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