Bundesliga · 2025Sun, 26 Apr 2026, 13:30 UTCFull timeMHPArenaFull-time recap

VfB Stuttgart

WWLWL

1–1Full-time recap

Werder Bremen

LWLLW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	VfB Stuttgart	Werder Bremen
Shots	20 shots/match▲	9 shots/match
Shots on target	4 shots/match▲	3 shots/match
Expected goals	1.78 xG/match▲	1 xG/match
Possession	68%	32%
Corners	14 corners/match	2 corners/match
Fouls	8 fouls/match	10 fouls/match
Yellow cards	0 cards/match▲	1 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Werder Bremen's last-five shots average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Werder Bremen's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Werder Bremen's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Werder Bremen's last-five shots average is below their season average.

9.4 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season12.9 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Shots	9.4 shots/match	12.9 shots/match	12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Werder Bremen have a visible away split

moderate

Werder Bremen's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.8 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season12.9 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

Metric	Away only	Season	Baseline
Shots	10.8 shots/match	12.9 shots/match	12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1VfB Stuttgart

0Draws

0Werder Bremen

14 Dec 2025Werder Bremen — VfB Stuttgart · Bundesliga0–4

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

VfB Stuttgart favored in 12 of 14 directional metrics · Werder Bremen in 0 · 2 too close

2.03 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 31/311.16 goals/match

1.39 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 31/311.74 goals/match

1.99 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 6/60.87 xG/match

1.43 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 6/61.5 xG/match

15.1 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 31/3112.9 shots/match

12.4 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 31/3113.5 shots/match

5.94 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 31/314.1 shots/match

4.52 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 31/314.97 shots/match

58.5%Possessionseason · 31/3151.4%

5.65 corners/matchCornersseason · 31/314.35 corners/match

4.13 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 31/314.97 corners/match

2 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 25/282.61 cards/match

9.42 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 31/3110.1 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

35%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 31/3119%

90%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 31/3165%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

VfB Stuttgart86.1

Werder Bremen58.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

VfB Stuttgart86.1

Werder Bremen38

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

VfB Stuttgart70.4

Werder Bremen34.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

VfB Stuttgart47.2

Werder Bremen41.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

VfB Stuttgart38.9

Werder Bremen66.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 90%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

VfB Stuttgart86.1

Werder Bremen25

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

VfB Stuttgart71.5

Werder Bremen39.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

2.4 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51.4 goals/match

1.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1.4 goals/match

2.18 xG/match▲Expected goals5/50.87 xG/match

15.6 shots/match▲Shots5/59.4 shots/match

6.2 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53.8 shots/match

58.8%Possession5/545.8%

7 corners/matchCorners5/53 corners/match

—Cards0/32.33 cards/match

8.8 fouls/matchFouls5/59.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

2.5 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101.4 goals/match

1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.5 goals/match

1.99 xG/match▲Expected goals6/60.87 xG/match

15.1 shots/match▲Shots10/1012.2 shots/match

6.2 shots/match▲Shots on target10/104 shots/match

59.9%Possession10/1051.2%

5.9 corners/matchCorners10/103.7 corners/match

2.25 cards/matchCards4/72.86 cards/match

8.3 fouls/matchFouls10/1010.3 fouls/match

Window

Season

31 / 31 matches

2.03 goals/match▲Goals scored31/311.16 goals/match

1.39 goals/match▲Goals allowed31/311.74 goals/match

1.99 xG/match▲Expected goals6/60.87 xG/match

15.1 shots/match▲Shots31/3112.9 shots/match

5.94 shots/match▲Shots on target31/314.1 shots/match

58.5%Possession31/3151.4%

5.65 corners/matchCorners31/314.35 corners/match

2 cards/matchCards25/282.61 cards/match

9.42 fouls/matchFouls31/3110.1 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

16 / 16 matches

1.69 goals/match▲Goals scored16/161.13 goals/match

0.94 goals/match▲Goals allowed16/161.75 goals/match

1.76 xG/match▲Expected goals4/30.76 xG/match

16.5 shots/match▲Shots16/1610.8 shots/match

6 shots/match▲Shots on target16/163.69 shots/match

58.7%Possession16/1649.6%

5.81 corners/matchCorners16/164.31 corners/match

2.17 cards/matchCards12/152.47 cards/match

9 fouls/matchFouls16/169.94 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.92 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/18 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples31 / 31home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 26 Apr 2026, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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Match statistics

What the record shows

Werder Bremen's recent record differs from the season

Werder Bremen have a visible away split

Head-to-head

Values, percentiles and samples

How the teams compare

Possession control

Attacking volume

Defensive resistance

Directness proxy

Physicality

Set-piece relevance

Tempo and pressure proxy

Season, last 10 and last 5

Last 5

Last 10

Season

Home and away samples

Home team at home / away team away

Rest and recent workload

How much supports this analysis

Known unknowns

Related matches

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