Bundesliga · 2025Sun, 26 Apr 2026, 15:30 UTCFull timeSignal Iduna ParkFull-time recap
40Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricBorussia DortmundSC Freiburg
Shots17 shots/match7 shots/match
Shots on target5 shots/match4 shots/match
Expected goals3.59 xG/match0.74 xG/match
Possession61%39%
Corners5 corners/match0 corners/match
Fouls19 fouls/match10 fouls/match
Yellow cards1 cards/match0 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: SC Freiburg's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

SC Freiburg have a visible away split

moderate

SC Freiburg's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.6 shots/matchShotsAway only · Season12.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.6 shots/match12.5 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Borussia Dortmund
1Draws
0SC Freiburg
SC FreiburgBorussia Dortmund · Bundesliga11

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Borussia Dortmund favored in 9 of 14 directional metrics · SC Freiburg in 1 · 4 too close

2.1 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 31/311.42 goals/match
1 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 31/311.68 goals/match
2.4 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 6/61.29 xG/match
0.88 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 6/61.48 xG/match
13.1 shots/matchShotsseason · 31/3112.5 shots/match
10.6 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 31/3113.7 shots/match
4.65 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 31/314.26 shots/match
3.48 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 31/314.52 shots/match
53.4%Possessionseason · 31/3147.6%
5.39 corners/matchCornersseason · 31/314.32 corners/match
4.39 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 31/314.19 corners/match
1.92 cards/matchCardsseason · 25/251.72 cards/match
11.5 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 31/319.42 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
45%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 31/3119%
97%Scoring frequencyseason · 31/3171%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Borussia Dortmund63.9
SC Freiburg52.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Borussia Dortmund75
SC Freiburg47.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Borussia Dortmund93.5
SC Freiburg51.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Borussia Dortmund19.4
SC Freiburg58.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Borussia Dortmund55.5
SC Freiburg26.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 90%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Borussia Dortmund72.2
SC Freiburg19.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Borussia Dortmund70.1
SC Freiburg34
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
2 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.4 goals/match
1 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.8 goals/match
2.38 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.32 xG/match
13 shots/matchShots5/511.6 shots/match
3.8 shots/matchShots on target5/54.2 shots/match
53.4%Possession5/543.2%
4.8 corners/matchCorners5/53.2 corners/match
Cards0/0
11 fouls/matchFouls5/59.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
2.2 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.2 goals/match
1.1 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.9 goals/match
2.4 xG/matchExpected goals6/61.29 xG/match
12.9 shots/matchShots10/1012.6 shots/match
4.4 shots/matchShots on target10/104.7 shots/match
52.2%Possession10/1044.9%
5.4 corners/matchCorners10/104.2 corners/match
2.25 cards/matchCards4/41.75 cards/match
11.6 fouls/matchFouls10/108.7 fouls/match

Window

Season

31 / 31 matches
2.1 goals/matchGoals scored31/311.42 goals/match
1 goals/matchGoals allowed31/311.68 goals/match
2.4 xG/matchExpected goals6/61.29 xG/match
13.1 shots/matchShots31/3112.5 shots/match
4.65 shots/matchShots on target31/314.26 shots/match
53.4%Possession31/3147.6%
5.39 corners/matchCorners31/314.32 corners/match
1.92 cards/matchCards25/251.72 cards/match
11.5 fouls/matchFouls31/319.42 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

16 / 16 matches
2.31 goals/matchGoals scored16/161 goals/match
0.88 goals/matchGoals allowed16/162 goals/match
3.36 xG/matchExpected goals4/31.12 xG/match
14.9 shots/matchShots16/1610.6 shots/match
5.25 shots/matchShots on target16/163.31 shots/match
55.6%Possession16/1644.4%
7.25 corners/matchCorners16/163.69 corners/match
1.5 cards/matchCards12/131.54 cards/match
11.3 fouls/matchFouls16/169.94 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

8.08 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.08 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples31 / 31home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 26 Apr 2026, 19:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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