PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2025Borussia-Park

Borussia M'gladbach 1–0 Borussia Dortmund · Bundesliga

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Borussia M'gladbach won 1–0.

Shots
126
Shots on target
41
Expected goals
2.20.49
Possession
51%49%

Full time

What the match recorded

Borussia Mönchengladbach beat Borussia Dortmund 1–0. Recorded in this match (Borussia Mönchengladbach – Borussia Dortmund): shots 12–6, shots on target 4–1, expected goals 2.2–0.49, possession 51%–49%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Borussia Dortmund's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Borussia Dortmund's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.03 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match2.03 goals/match1.36 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Borussia Dortmund have a visible away split

moderate

Borussia Dortmund's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11 shots/match13 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Borussia Mönchengladbach show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Borussia Mönchengladbach's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11.5 shots/match ▲ShotsBorussia Mönchengladbach · Borussia Dortmund13 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBorussia MönchengladbachBorussia DortmundBaseline
Shots11.5 shots/match13 shots/match12.7 shots/match
Shots against14.3 shots/match10.8 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots6 shotsBorussia M'gladbach 12 shots, Borussia Dortmund 6 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots1 shotBorussia M'gladbach 4 shots, Borussia Dortmund 1 shot
  • Expected goals2.2 xG0.49 xGBorussia M'gladbach 2.2 xG, Borussia Dortmund 0.49 xG
  • Possession51%49%Borussia M'gladbach 51%, Borussia Dortmund 49%
  • Corners1 corner1 cornerBorussia M'gladbach 1 corner, Borussia Dortmund 1 corner
  • Fouls14 fouls17 foulsBorussia M'gladbach 14 fouls, Borussia Dortmund 17 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards1 cardBorussia M'gladbach 3 cards, Borussia Dortmund 1 card

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Kevin Stöger · Borussia Mönchengladbach · 7′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJoe Scally · Borussia Mönchengladbach · 19′ · 0.04 xG · on targetYannik Engelhardt · Borussia Mönchengladbach · 81′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMarcel Sabitzer · Borussia Dortmund · 76′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedKevin Stöger · Borussia Mönchengladbach · 53′ · 0.06 xG · on targetKevin Stöger · Borussia Mönchengladbach · 19′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedSamuele Inacio · Borussia Dortmund · 45′ · 0.07 xG · on targetJulian Brandt · Borussia Dortmund · 52′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedWaldemar Anton · Borussia Dortmund · 88′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedSamuele Inacio · Borussia Dortmund · 72′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedRocco Reitz · Borussia Mönchengladbach · 78′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedFábio Silva · Borussia Dortmund · 79′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedRocco Reitz · Borussia Mönchengladbach · 85′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedYannik Engelhardt · Borussia Mönchengladbach · 29′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedHaris Tabaković · Borussia Mönchengladbach · 32′ · 0.22 xG · on targetHaris Tabaković · Borussia Mönchengladbach · 48′ · 0.33 xG · off target or blockedYannik Engelhardt · Borussia Mönchengladbach · 42′ · 0.39 xG · off target or blockedHaris Tabaković · Borussia Mönchengladbach · 88′ · 0.55 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Borussia Mönchengladbach: 12 shots, 4 on target, 2.13 xG. Borussia Dortmund: 6 shots, 1 on target, 0.50 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Haris Tabaković · Borussia Mönchengladbach · 88′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Borussia Mönchengladbach 2.13 xG · Borussia Dortmund 0.50 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Borussia M'gladbach
1Draws
4Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund — Borussia M'gladbach · Bundesliga2–0
Borussia Dortmund — Borussia M'gladbach · Bundesliga3–2
Borussia M'gladbach — Borussia Dortmund · Bundesliga1–1
Borussia M'gladbach — Borussia Dortmund · Bundesliga1–2
Borussia Dortmund — Borussia M'gladbach · Bundesliga4–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Borussia M'gladbach favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Borussia Dortmund in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Borussia M'gladbach32 matchesBorussia Dortmund32 matches
1.16 goals/matchGoals scored32/32▲ 2.03 goals/match
1.56 goals/matchGoals allowed32/32▲ 1 goal/match
1.25 xG/matchExpected goals32/32▲ 1.83 xG/match
11.5 shots/matchShots32/32▲ 13 shots/match
4.13 shots/matchShots on target32/32▲ 4.56 shots/match
46.3%Possession32/32● 53.3%
3.88 corners/matchCorners32/32● 5.31 corners/match
1.52 cards/matchCards27/251.92 cards/match
10.8 fouls/matchFouls32/3211.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples32 / 32home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 3 May 2026, 19:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBorussia M'gladbachBorussia Dortmund
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2025/26
Head-to-headBorussia M'gladbach — Borussia Dortmund
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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