Bundesliga · 2025Sat, 9 May 2026, 13:30 UTCFull timeWWK ArenaFull-time recap
31Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricFC AugsburgBorussia Mönchengladbach
Shots15 shots/match12 shots/match
Shots on target10 shots/match2 shots/match
Expected goals2.46 xG/match0.62 xG/match
Possession39%61%
Corners3 corners/match1 corners/match
Fouls10 fouls/match9 fouls/match
Yellow cards2 cards/match2 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: FC Augsburg's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

FC Augsburg's recent record differs from the season

moderate

FC Augsburg's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season1.36 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match1.36 goals/match1.38 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0FC Augsburg
0Draws
1Borussia Mönchengladbach
Borussia MönchengladbachFC Augsburg · Bundesliga40

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

FC Augsburg favored in 6 of 14 directional metrics · Borussia Mönchengladbach in 5 · 3 too close

1.36 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 33/331.15 goals/match
1.73 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 33/331.61 goals/match
1.65 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 8/81 xG/match
1.82 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 8/81.34 xG/match
13.2 shots/matchShotsseason · 33/3311.5 shots/match
14.4 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 33/3314.2 shots/match
4.64 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 33/334.03 shots/match
4.79 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 33/335.58 shots/match
43.8%Possessionseason · 33/3346.7%
4.42 corners/matchCornersseason · 33/333.73 corners/match
5.52 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 33/334.76 corners/match
2.73 cards/matchCardsseason · 26/261.5 cards/match
11.1 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 33/3310.7 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
15%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 33/3336%
76%Scoring frequencyseason · 33/3364%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

FC Augsburg19.4
Borussia Mönchengladbach41.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

FC Augsburg59.3
Borussia Mönchengladbach22.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

FC Augsburg31.5
Borussia Mönchengladbach28.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

FC Augsburg91.7
Borussia Mönchengladbach19.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

FC Augsburg83.3
Borussia Mönchengladbach33.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 89%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

FC Augsburg27.8
Borussia Mönchengladbach8.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

FC Augsburg57
Borussia Mönchengladbach28.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
2.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/50.6 goals/match
1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51 goals/match
1.8 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.12 xG/match
14.4 shots/matchShots5/511 shots/match
6 shots/matchShots on target5/53 shots/match
35%Possession5/551%
4.2 corners/matchCorners5/51.8 corners/match
Cards0/0
7.8 fouls/matchFouls5/58.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.7 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.2 goals/match
1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.4 goals/match
1.65 xG/matchExpected goals8/81 xG/match
13.9 shots/matchShots10/1011.9 shots/match
5.2 shots/matchShots on target10/104.1 shots/match
38.4%Possession10/1048.5%
4 corners/matchCorners10/102.3 corners/match
3 cards/matchCards3/32.33 cards/match
9.3 fouls/matchFouls10/109.4 fouls/match

Window

Season

33 / 33 matches
1.36 goals/matchGoals scored33/331.15 goals/match
1.73 goals/matchGoals allowed33/331.61 goals/match
1.65 xG/matchExpected goals8/81 xG/match
13.2 shots/matchShots33/3311.5 shots/match
4.64 shots/matchShots on target33/334.03 shots/match
43.8%Possession33/3346.7%
4.42 corners/matchCorners33/333.73 corners/match
2.73 cards/matchCards26/261.5 cards/match
11.1 fouls/matchFouls33/3310.7 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

17 / 17 matches
1.47 goals/matchGoals scored17/171.06 goals/match
1.65 goals/matchGoals allowed17/171.71 goals/match
1.89 xG/matchExpected goals4/41 xG/match
13.2 shots/matchShots17/1711.3 shots/match
5 shots/matchShots on target17/173.76 shots/match
45%Possession17/1747.4%
5.24 corners/matchCorners17/174.06 corners/match
2.69 cards/matchCards13/141.57 cards/match
11.2 fouls/matchFouls17/1710.9 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/15.92 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples33 / 33home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 9 May 2026, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Create a graphic from this match