Bundesliga · 2025Sat, 9 May 2026, 13:30 UTCFull timePreZero ArenaFull-time recap

1899 Hoffenheim

LDWWD

1–0Full-time recap

Werder Bremen

LLWDL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	1899 Hoffenheim	Werder Bremen
Shots	15 shots/match▲	11 shots/match
Shots on target	4 shots/match▲	2 shots/match
Expected goals	1.41 xG/match▲	1.08 xG/match
Possession	72%	28%
Corners	8 corners/match	3 corners/match
Fouls	4 fouls/match	3 fouls/match
Yellow cards	1 cards/match▲	2 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Werder Bremen's last-five shots average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Werder Bremen's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Werder Bremen's recent record differs from the season

weak

Werder Bremen's last-five shots average is below their season average.

10.6 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season12.9 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Shots	10.6 shots/match	12.9 shots/match	12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Werder Bremen have a visible away split

moderate

Werder Bremen's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.8 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season12.9 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

Metric	Away only	Season	Baseline
Shots	10.8 shots/match	12.9 shots/match	12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

11899 Hoffenheim

0Draws

0Werder Bremen

27 Jan 2026Werder Bremen — 1899 Hoffenheim · Bundesliga0–2

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

1899 Hoffenheim favored in 11 of 14 directional metrics · Werder Bremen in 0 · 3 too close

1.97 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 33/331.12 goals/match

1.45 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 33/331.76 goals/match

1.39 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 8/80.93 xG/match

1.41 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 8/81.59 xG/match

14.1 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 33/3312.9 shots/match

12.2 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 33/3313.6 shots/match

5.21 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 33/334.03 shots/match

4.33 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 33/335 shots/match

55.2%Possessionseason · 33/3351.2%

5.7 corners/matchCornersseason · 33/334.42 corners/match

4.85 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 33/334.97 corners/match

2.04 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 27/292.62 cards/match

13.8 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 33/339.94 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

21%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 33/3318%

85%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 33/3364%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

1899 Hoffenheim80.6

Werder Bremen58.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

1899 Hoffenheim75.9

Werder Bremen33.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

1899 Hoffenheim75

Werder Bremen30.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

1899 Hoffenheim36.1

Werder Bremen30.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

1899 Hoffenheim75

Werder Bremen69.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 91%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

1899 Hoffenheim91.7

Werder Bremen27.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

1899 Hoffenheim86.1

Werder Bremen41.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

2 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51.2 goals/match

1.4 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.8 goals/match

1.45 xG/match▲Expected goals5/51.07 xG/match

15 shots/match▲Shots5/510.6 shots/match

5 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53.6 shots/match

57.6%Possession5/545.6%

5.8 corners/matchCorners5/54.2 corners/match

—Cards2/33.33 cards/match

14.2 fouls/matchFouls5/59 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1.6 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101.4 goals/match

1.8 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.4 goals/match

1.39 xG/match▲Expected goals8/80.93 xG/match

15.5 shots/match▲Shots10/1012 shots/match

5.7 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103.9 shots/match

58.6%Possession10/1051.5%

6.8 corners/matchCorners10/104.1 corners/match

1.25 cards/matchCards4/62.33 cards/match

13.5 fouls/matchFouls10/109.7 fouls/match

Window

Season

33 / 33 matches

1.97 goals/match▲Goals scored33/331.12 goals/match

1.45 goals/match▲Goals allowed33/331.76 goals/match

1.39 xG/match▲Expected goals8/80.93 xG/match

14.1 shots/match▲Shots33/3312.9 shots/match

5.21 shots/match▲Shots on target33/334.03 shots/match

55.2%Possession33/3351.2%

5.7 corners/matchCorners33/334.42 corners/match

2.04 cards/matchCards27/292.62 cards/match

13.8 fouls/matchFouls33/339.94 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

17 / 17 matches

2.06 goals/match▲Goals scored17/171.06 goals/match

1.24 goals/match▲Goals allowed17/171.71 goals/match

1.58 xG/match▲Expected goals5/40.84 xG/match

16.1 shots/match▲Shots17/1710.8 shots/match

5.94 shots/match▲Shots on target17/173.59 shots/match

56.9%Possession17/1748.3%

6.41 corners/matchCorners17/174.24 corners/match

1.79 cards/matchCards14/162.5 cards/match

13.3 fouls/matchFouls17/179.53 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples33 / 33home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 9 May 2026, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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Match statistics

What the record shows

Werder Bremen's recent record differs from the season

Werder Bremen have a visible away split

Head-to-head

Values, percentiles and samples

How the teams compare

Possession control

Attacking volume

Defensive resistance

Directness proxy

Physicality

Set-piece relevance

Tempo and pressure proxy

Season, last 10 and last 5

Last 5

Last 10

Season

Home and away samples

Home team at home / away team away

Rest and recent workload

How much supports this analysis

Known unknowns

Related matches

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