Bundesliga · 2025Sun, 3 May 2026, 17:30 UTCFull timeEuropa-Park-StadionFull-time recap

SC Freiburg

WLWWL

1–1Full-time recap

VfL Wolfsburg

LLLWD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	SC Freiburg	VfL Wolfsburg
Shots	11 shots/match	13 shots/match▲
Shots on target	3 shots/match	4 shots/match▲
Expected goals	0.75 xG/match	0.92 xG/match▲
Possession	63%	37%
Corners	1 corners/match	7 corners/match
Fouls	5 fouls/match	11 fouls/match
Yellow cards	1 cards/match	1 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: VfL Wolfsburg's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

VfL Wolfsburg have a visible away split

moderate

VfL Wolfsburg's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.56 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season11.4 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

Metric	Away only	Season	Baseline
Shots	9.56 shots/match	11.4 shots/match	12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1SC Freiburg

0Draws

0VfL Wolfsburg

20 Dec 2025VfL Wolfsburg — SC Freiburg · Bundesliga3–4

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

SC Freiburg favored in 10 of 14 directional metrics · VfL Wolfsburg in 1 · 3 too close

1.41 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 32/321.31 goals/match

1.66 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 32/322.09 goals/match

1.21 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 7/71.01 xG/match

1.4 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 7/71.46 xG/match

12.5 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 32/3211.4 shots/match

13.7 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 32/3215.3 shots/match

4.22 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 32/323.91 shots/match

4.5 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 32/325.53 shots/match

48.1%Possessionseason · 32/3245.4%

4.22 corners/matchCornersseason · 32/324.22 corners/match

4.28 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 32/327.47 corners/match

1.72 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 25/262.12 cards/match

9.28 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 32/3211.7 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

19%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 32/326%

72%Scoring frequencyseason · 32/32▲78%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

SC Freiburg52.8

VfL Wolfsburg33.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

SC Freiburg47.2

VfL Wolfsburg25.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

SC Freiburg52.8

VfL Wolfsburg4.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

SC Freiburg52.8

VfL Wolfsburg36.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

SC Freiburg22.2

VfL Wolfsburg69.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 89%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

SC Freiburg16.7

VfL Wolfsburg16.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

SC Freiburg31.2

VfL Wolfsburg32.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.4 goals/match

1.8 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/52 goals/match

1.06 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲1.2 xG/match

10.8 shots/matchShots5/5▲11.8 shots/match

3.6 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲4.2 shots/match

45.6%Possession5/542%

3 corners/matchCorners5/55.4 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

9.4 fouls/matchFouls5/511.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1.3 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101.1 goals/match

1.7 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/102.1 goals/match

1.21 xG/match▲Expected goals7/71.01 xG/match

12.4 shots/match▲Shots10/1010.8 shots/match

4.7 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103.8 shots/match

47.3%Possession10/1043.7%

3.7 corners/matchCorners10/105.3 corners/match

2 cards/matchCards3/42.5 cards/match

8.6 fouls/matchFouls10/1012.7 fouls/match

Window

Season

32 / 32 matches

1.41 goals/match▲Goals scored32/321.31 goals/match

1.66 goals/match▲Goals allowed32/322.09 goals/match

1.21 xG/match▲Expected goals7/71.01 xG/match

12.5 shots/match▲Shots32/3211.4 shots/match

4.22 shots/match▲Shots on target32/323.91 shots/match

48.1%Possession32/3245.4%

4.22 corners/matchCorners32/324.22 corners/match

1.72 cards/matchCards25/262.12 cards/match

9.28 fouls/matchFouls32/3211.7 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

16 / 16 matches

1.81 goals/match▲Goals scored16/161.31 goals/match

1.31 goals/match▲Goals allowed16/162.25 goals/match

1.28 xG/match▲Expected goals4/40.84 xG/match

14.4 shots/match▲Shots16/169.56 shots/match

5.13 shots/match▲Shots on target16/163.31 shots/match

51.8%Possession16/1641.4%

4.75 corners/matchCorners16/163.13 corners/match

1.92 cards/matchCards12/121.92 cards/match

8.63 fouls/matchFouls16/1611.1 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.08 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/18.17 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples32 / 32home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 3 May 2026, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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Match statistics

What the record shows

VfL Wolfsburg have a visible away split

Head-to-head

Values, percentiles and samples

How the teams compare

Possession control

Attacking volume

Defensive resistance

Directness proxy

Physicality

Set-piece relevance

Tempo and pressure proxy

Season, last 10 and last 5

Last 5

Last 10

Season

Home and away samples

Home team at home / away team away

Rest and recent workload

How much supports this analysis

Known unknowns

Related matches

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