PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2025Fri, 8 May 2026, 18:30 UTCFull timeSignal Iduna ParkFull-time recap
3–2Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricBorussia DortmundEintracht Frankfurt
Shots13 shots/match▲9 shots/match
Shots on target8 shots/match▲4 shots/match
Expected goals1.74 xG/match▲1.12 xG/match
Possession56%44%
Corners6 corners/match2 corners/match
Fouls14 fouls/match8 fouls/match
Yellow cards3 cards/match0 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Borussia Dortmund's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Eintracht Frankfurt's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Borussia Dortmund's recent record differs from the season

weak

Borussia Dortmund's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.06 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match2.06 goals/match1.36 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Eintracht Frankfurt show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Eintracht Frankfurt's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

12.9 shots/match▲ShotsBorussia Dortmund · Eintracht Frankfurt11.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBorussia DortmundEintracht FrankfurtBaseline
Shots12.9 shots/match11.9 shots/match12.7 shots/match
Shots against10.6 shots/match12.5 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Borussia Dortmund
2Draws
0Eintracht Frankfurt
Eintracht Frankfurt — Borussia Dortmund · Bundesliga3–3
Eintracht Frankfurt — Borussia Dortmund · DFB Pokal1–1

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Borussia Dortmund favored in 10 of 14 directional metrics · Eintracht Frankfurt in 0 · 4 too close

2.06 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 33/331.79 goals/match
1.03 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 33/331.91 goals/match
2.08 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 8/81.24 xG/match
1.06 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 8/81.58 xG/match
12.9 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 33/3311.9 shots/match
10.6 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 33/3312.5 shots/match
4.64 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 33/334.55 shots/match
3.52 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 33/334.73 shots/match
53.3%Possessionseason · 33/3354.9%
5.27 corners/matchCornersseason · 33/334.64 corners/match
4.21 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 33/334.48 corners/match
1.92 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 25/272.19 cards/match
11.8 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 33/3310.2 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
42%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 33/3321%
94%Scoring frequencyseason · 33/3391%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Borussia Dortmund69.4
Eintracht Frankfurt80.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Borussia Dortmund67.6
Eintracht Frankfurt52.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Borussia Dortmund93.5
Eintracht Frankfurt41.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Borussia Dortmund13.9
Eintracht Frankfurt2.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Borussia Dortmund61.1
Eintracht Frankfurt58.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 88%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Borussia Dortmund69.4
Eintracht Frankfurt52.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Borussia Dortmund69.4
Eintracht Frankfurt50
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.6 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51.4 goals/match
1.2 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/52 goals/match
1.49 xG/match▲Expected goals5/51.08 xG/match
11 shots/matchShots5/5▲12.4 shots/match
3.4 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲5 shots/match
54.2%Possession5/553.8%
3.6 corners/matchCorners5/55.8 corners/match
—Cards0/1—
12.8 fouls/matchFouls5/59.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.9 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101.3 goals/match
1.2 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.4 goals/match
2.08 xG/match▲Expected goals8/81.24 xG/match
12.3 shots/matchShots10/1012.9 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲4.9 shots/match
52.7%Possession10/1060.7%
5.2 corners/matchCorners10/105.5 corners/match
—Cards2/43.25 cards/match
12 fouls/matchFouls10/108.5 fouls/match

Window

Season

33 / 33 matches
2.06 goals/match▲Goals scored33/331.79 goals/match
1.03 goals/match▲Goals allowed33/331.91 goals/match
2.08 xG/match▲Expected goals8/81.24 xG/match
12.9 shots/match▲Shots33/3311.9 shots/match
4.64 shots/matchShots on target33/334.55 shots/match
53.3%Possession33/3354.9%
5.27 corners/matchCorners33/334.64 corners/match
1.92 cards/matchCards25/272.19 cards/match
11.8 fouls/matchFouls33/3310.2 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

17 / 17 matches
2.35 goals/match▲Goals scored17/171.88 goals/match
0.94 goals/match▲Goals allowed17/172.24 goals/match
3.03 xG/match▲Expected goals5/41.17 xG/match
14.8 shots/match▲Shots17/1710.9 shots/match
5.41 shots/match▲Shots on target17/173.94 shots/match
55.6%Possession17/1755.6%
7.18 corners/matchCorners17/173.94 corners/match
1.5 cards/matchCards12/132.23 cards/match
11.5 fouls/matchFouls17/1710.5 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

5.12 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.21 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples33 / 33home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 8 May 2026, 22:30 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsBorussia DortmundEintracht Frankfurt
CompetitionBundesliga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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