Bundesliga · 2025Sat, 11 Apr 2026, 13:30 UTCFull timeSignal Iduna ParkFull-time recap

Borussia Dortmund

LWWWW

0–1Full-time recap

Bayer Leverkusen

WDDDW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Borussia Dortmund	Bayer Leverkusen
Shots	13 shots/match▲	10 shots/match
Shots on target	1 shots/match	4 shots/match▲
Expected goals	1.15 xG/match▲	0.48 xG/match
Possession	51%	49%
Corners	4 corners/match	5 corners/match
Fouls	5 fouls/match	6 fouls/match
Yellow cards	3 cards/match	0 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Bayer Leverkusen's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Bayer Leverkusen's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Bayer Leverkusen's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.8 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.03 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	2.8 goals/match	2.03 goals/match	1.39 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.52 corners/match▲CornersBorussia Dortmund · Bayer Leverkusen5.24 corners/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

Metric	Borussia Dortmund	Bayer Leverkusen	Baseline
Corners	5.52 corners/match	5.24 corners/match	4.51 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Borussia Dortmund

0Draws

1Bayer Leverkusen

2 Dec 2025Borussia Dortmund — Bayer Leverkusen · DFB Pokal0–1

29 Nov 2025Bayer Leverkusen — Borussia Dortmund · Bundesliga1–2

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Borussia Dortmund favored in 6 of 14 directional metrics · Bayer Leverkusen in 2 · 6 too close

2.07 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 29/292.03 goals/match

1 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 29/291.34 goals/match

2.58 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 4/42.09 xG/match

0.81 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 4/41.5 xG/match

13.2 shots/matchShotsseason · 29/29▲14.2 shots/match

10.7 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 29/2911.9 shots/match

4.72 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 29/294.76 shots/match

3.48 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 29/294.66 shots/match

53.1%Possessionseason · 29/2959.3%

5.52 corners/matchCornersseason · 29/295.24 corners/match

4.55 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 29/29▲4.14 corners/match

1.92 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 25/262.31 cards/match

11.4 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 29/298.93 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

45%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 29/2928%

97%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 29/2986%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Borussia Dortmund63.9

Bayer Leverkusen91.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Borussia Dortmund75

Bayer Leverkusen80.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Borussia Dortmund91.7

Bayer Leverkusen70.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Borussia Dortmund19.4

Bayer Leverkusen13.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Borussia Dortmund52.8

Bayer Leverkusen38.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 93%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Borussia Dortmund86.1

Bayer Leverkusen69.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Borussia Dortmund72.2

Bayer Leverkusen58.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲2.8 goals/match

0.8 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/52 goals/match

2.58 xG/match▲Expected goals4/42.09 xG/match

14.2 shots/matchShots5/5▲16.8 shots/match

4.4 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲5.8 shots/match

54.8%Possession5/555.4%

6.6 corners/matchCorners5/55.4 corners/match

—Cards1/2—

9.2 fouls/matchFouls5/59.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

2.2 goals/matchGoals scored10/102.1 goals/match

1.2 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.3 goals/match

2.58 xG/match▲Expected goals4/42.09 xG/match

14.6 shots/matchShots10/1014.8 shots/match

4.6 shots/matchShots on target10/104.8 shots/match

53.7%Possession10/1060%

6.7 corners/matchCorners10/105.5 corners/match

2 cards/matchCards6/72 cards/match

10.9 fouls/matchFouls10/109.1 fouls/match

Window

Season

29 / 29 matches

2.07 goals/matchGoals scored29/292.03 goals/match

1 goals/match▲Goals allowed29/291.34 goals/match

2.58 xG/match▲Expected goals4/42.09 xG/match

13.2 shots/matchShots29/29▲14.2 shots/match

4.72 shots/matchShots on target29/294.76 shots/match

53.1%Possession29/2959.3%

5.52 corners/matchCorners29/295.24 corners/match

1.92 cards/matchCards25/262.31 cards/match

11.4 fouls/matchFouls29/298.93 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

15 / 15 matches

2.2 goals/match▲Goals scored15/151.8 goals/match

0.93 goals/match▲Goals allowed15/151.6 goals/match

3.28 xG/matchExpected goals3/2—

14.7 shots/match▲Shots15/1512.3 shots/match

5.27 shots/match▲Shots on target15/153.8 shots/match

55.3%Possession15/1557.6%

7.4 corners/matchCorners15/154.33 corners/match

1.5 cards/matchCards12/132.38 cards/match

10.8 fouls/matchFouls15/158.87 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.88 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples29 / 29home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 11 Apr 2026, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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Match statistics

What the record shows

Bayer Leverkusen's recent record differs from the season

Both teams have elevated corners records

Head-to-head

Values, percentiles and samples

How the teams compare

Possession control

Attacking volume

Defensive resistance

Directness proxy

Physicality

Set-piece relevance

Tempo and pressure proxy

Season, last 10 and last 5

Last 5

Last 10

Season

Home and away samples

Home team at home / away team away

Rest and recent workload

How much supports this analysis

Known unknowns

Related matches

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