Bundesliga · 2025Sat, 11 Apr 2026, 13:30 UTCFull timeRed Bull ArenaFull-time recap

RB Leipzig

WWLWW

1–0Full-time recap

Borussia Mönchengladbach

WLWDD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	RB Leipzig	Borussia Mönchengladbach
Shots	24 shots/match▲	12 shots/match
Shots on target	11 shots/match▲	3 shots/match
Expected goals	2.25 xG/match▲	1.73 xG/match
Possession	52%	48%
Corners	11 corners/match	2 corners/match
Fouls	9 fouls/match	6 fouls/match
Yellow cards	4 cards/match	1 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Borussia Mönchengladbach's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: RB Leipzig's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Borussia Mönchengladbach's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Borussia Mönchengladbach's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.21 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.6 goals/match	1.21 goals/match	1.39 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

RB Leipzig show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

RB Leipzig's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

15.8 shots/match▲ShotsRB Leipzig · Borussia Mönchengladbach11.6 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	RB Leipzig	Borussia Mönchengladbach	Baseline
Shots	15.8 shots/match	11.6 shots/match	12.8 shots/match
Shots against	11.9 shots/match	14.5 shots/match	13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0RB Leipzig

1Draws

0Borussia Mönchengladbach

28 Nov 2025Borussia Mönchengladbach — RB Leipzig · Bundesliga0–0

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

RB Leipzig favored in 9 of 14 directional metrics · Borussia Mönchengladbach in 0 · 5 too close

1.93 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 29/291.21 goals/match

1.24 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 29/291.69 goals/match

1.81 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 4/41.05 xG/match

1.09 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 4/41.31 xG/match

15.8 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 29/2911.6 shots/match

11.9 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 29/2914.5 shots/match

5.86 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 29/294.17 shots/match

3.86 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 29/295.62 shots/match

53.2%Possessionseason · 29/2946%

5.38 corners/matchCornersseason · 29/294 corners/match

4.28 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 29/294.79 corners/match

1.44 cards/matchCardsseason · 25/261.5 cards/match

9.59 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 29/2910.9 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

38%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 29/2934%

90%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 29/2962%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

RB Leipzig69.4

Borussia Mönchengladbach36.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

RB Leipzig84.3

Borussia Mönchengladbach28.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

RB Leipzig85.2

Borussia Mönchengladbach25.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

RB Leipzig91.7

Borussia Mönchengladbach25

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

RB Leipzig13.9

Borussia Mönchengladbach33.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 93%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

RB Leipzig80.6

Borussia Mönchengladbach11.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

RB Leipzig72.2

Borussia Mönchengladbach31.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

2 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51.6 goals/match

0.6 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/52 goals/match

1.81 xG/match▲Expected goals4/41.05 xG/match

14.2 shots/match▲Shots5/511 shots/match

6.8 shots/match▲Shots on target5/54.4 shots/match

50.6%Possession5/543.6%

4.8 corners/matchCorners5/52 corners/match

—Cards1/2—

11 fouls/matchFouls5/510.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1.9 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101.2 goals/match

1.1 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.7 goals/match

1.81 xG/match▲Expected goals4/41.05 xG/match

15.1 shots/match▲Shots10/1012.4 shots/match

6 shots/match▲Shots on target10/104.2 shots/match

55.8%Possession10/1046.8%

5.3 corners/matchCorners10/103.2 corners/match

1.67 cards/matchCards6/72 cards/match

10.1 fouls/matchFouls10/109.7 fouls/match

Window

Season

29 / 29 matches

1.93 goals/match▲Goals scored29/291.21 goals/match

1.24 goals/match▲Goals allowed29/291.69 goals/match

1.81 xG/match▲Expected goals4/41.05 xG/match

15.8 shots/match▲Shots29/2911.6 shots/match

5.86 shots/match▲Shots on target29/294.17 shots/match

53.2%Possession29/2946%

5.38 corners/matchCorners29/294 corners/match

1.44 cards/matchCards25/261.5 cards/match

9.59 fouls/matchFouls29/2910.9 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

15 / 15 matches

2.33 goals/match▲Goals scored15/151.13 goals/match

1.2 goals/match▲Goals allowed15/151.73 goals/match

—Expected goals2/2—

17.4 shots/match▲Shots15/1511.3 shots/match

7.27 shots/match▲Shots on target15/154 shots/match

54.2%Possession15/1545.9%

5.8 corners/matchCorners15/154.2 corners/match

1.15 cards/matchCards13/141.57 cards/match

8.47 fouls/matchFouls15/1511.5 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples29 / 29home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 11 Apr 2026, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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Match statistics

What the record shows

Borussia Mönchengladbach's recent record differs from the season

RB Leipzig show a distinct attacking-volume record

Head-to-head

Values, percentiles and samples

How the teams compare

Possession control

Attacking volume

Defensive resistance

Directness proxy

Physicality

Set-piece relevance

Tempo and pressure proxy

Season, last 10 and last 5

Last 5

Last 10

Season

Home and away samples

Home team at home / away team away

Rest and recent workload

How much supports this analysis

Known unknowns

Related matches

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