Bundesliga · 2025Sat, 4 Apr 2026, 13:30 UTCFull timeWeserstadionFull-time recap

Werder Bremen

LWWLW

1–2Full-time recap

RB Leipzig

DWWLW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Werder Bremen	RB Leipzig
Shots	11 shots/match▲	7 shots/match
Shots on target	4 shots/match▲	2 shots/match
Expected goals	0.81 xG/match	1.46 xG/match▲
Possession	54%	46%
Corners	1 corners/match	0 corners/match
Fouls	12 fouls/match	14 fouls/match
Yellow cards	1 cards/match	0 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Werder Bremen's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Werder Bremen's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Werder Bremen's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Werder Bremen's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.11 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.6 goals/match	1.11 goals/match	1.38 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Werder Bremen have a visible home split

moderate

Werder Bremen's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15.4 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season13.3 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

Metric	Home only	Season	Baseline
Shots	15.4 shots/match	13.3 shots/match	12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Werder Bremen

0Draws

1RB Leipzig

23 Nov 2025RB Leipzig — Werder Bremen · Bundesliga2–0

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Werder Bremen favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · RB Leipzig in 10 · 4 too close

1.11 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 28/28▲1.96 goals/match

1.75 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 28/28▲1.29 goals/match

0.68 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 3/31.66 xG/match

1.1 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 3/30.87 xG/match

13.3 shots/matchShotsseason · 28/28▲15.5 shots/match

13 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 28/28▲11.9 shots/match

4.11 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 28/28▲5.68 shots/match

4.96 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 28/28▲3.89 shots/match

52.2%Possessionseason · 28/2853.3%

4.46 corners/matchCornersseason · 28/285.18 corners/match

4.61 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 28/28▲4.36 corners/match

2.54 cards/matchCardsseason · 26/25▲1.44 cards/match

10.1 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 28/289.61 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

21%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 28/28▲36%

61%Scoring frequencyseason · 28/28▲89%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Werder Bremen58.3

RB Leipzig69.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Werder Bremen38

RB Leipzig83.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Werder Bremen36.1

RB Leipzig82.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Werder Bremen47.2

RB Leipzig91.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Werder Bremen61.1

RB Leipzig13.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 95%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Werder Bremen30.6

RB Leipzig69.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Werder Bremen41.7

RB Leipzig68

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.6 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲2.2 goals/match

1 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲0.8 goals/match

0.68 xG/matchExpected goals3/3▲1.66 xG/match

13.4 shots/match▲Shots5/512 shots/match

4.2 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲5.6 shots/match

57.4%Possession5/551.8%

4 corners/matchCorners5/54.4 corners/match

1.33 cards/matchCards3/2—

10.4 fouls/matchFouls5/511.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1.9 goals/match

1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.2 goals/match

0.68 xG/matchExpected goals3/3▲1.66 xG/match

15.5 shots/match▲Shots10/1013.9 shots/match

4.2 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲5.4 shots/match

57.4%Possession10/1056%

4.8 corners/matchCorners10/104.5 corners/match

2 cards/matchCards8/71.57 cards/match

10.1 fouls/matchFouls10/1010 fouls/match

Window

Season

28 / 28 matches

1.11 goals/matchGoals scored28/28▲1.96 goals/match

1.75 goals/matchGoals allowed28/28▲1.29 goals/match

0.68 xG/matchExpected goals3/3▲1.66 xG/match

13.3 shots/matchShots28/28▲15.5 shots/match

4.11 shots/matchShots on target28/28▲5.68 shots/match

52.2%Possession28/2853.3%

4.46 corners/matchCorners28/285.18 corners/match

2.54 cards/matchCards26/251.44 cards/match

10.1 fouls/matchFouls28/289.61 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

14 / 14 matches

1.07 goals/matchGoals scored14/14▲1.5 goals/match

1.79 goals/matchGoals allowed14/14▲1.29 goals/match

—Expected goals2/2—

15.4 shots/match▲Shots14/1414 shots/match

4.36 shots/matchShots on target14/144.36 shots/match

53.1%Possession14/1452.2%

4.5 corners/matchCorners14/144.93 corners/match

2.67 cards/matchCards12/121.75 cards/match

10.1 fouls/matchFouls14/1410.8 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

14 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/114.8 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples28 / 28home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 4 Apr 2026, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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Match statistics

What the record shows

Werder Bremen's recent record differs from the season

Werder Bremen have a visible home split

Head-to-head

Values, percentiles and samples

How the teams compare

Possession control

Attacking volume

Defensive resistance

Directness proxy

Physicality

Set-piece relevance

Tempo and pressure proxy

Season, last 10 and last 5

Last 5

Last 10

Season

Home and away samples

Home team at home / away team away

Rest and recent workload

How much supports this analysis

Known unknowns

Related matches

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