Bundesliga · 2025Weserstadion

SV Werder Bremen 1–2 RB Leipzig · Bundesliga

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

RB Leipzig won 1–2.

Shots
137
Shots on target
52
Expected goals
1.341.49
Possession
55%45%

Full time

What the match recorded

RB Leipzig beat Werder Bremen 2–1. Recorded in this match (Werder Bremen – RB Leipzig): shots 13–7, shots on target 5–2, expected goals 1.34–1.49, possession 55%–45%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Werder Bremen's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Werder Bremen's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.11 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.11 goals/match1.38 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Werder Bremen have a visible home split

moderate

Werder Bremen's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15.6 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15.6 shots/match13.4 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots7 shotsSV Werder Bremen 13 shots, RB Leipzig 7 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots2 shotsSV Werder Bremen 5 shots, RB Leipzig 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.34 xG1.49 xGSV Werder Bremen 1.34 xG, RB Leipzig 1.49 xG
  • Possession55%45%SV Werder Bremen 55%, RB Leipzig 45%
  • Corners1 corner0 cornersSV Werder Bremen 1 corner, RB Leipzig 0 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls14 foulsSV Werder Bremen 13 fouls, RB Leipzig 14 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card0 cardsSV Werder Bremen 1 card, RB Leipzig 0 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Yan Diomande · RB Leipzig · 6′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJustin Njinmah · Werder Bremen · 61′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJustin Njinmah · Werder Bremen · 8′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRomano Schmid · Werder Bremen · 59′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJustin Njinmah · Werder Bremen · 76′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSalim Musah · Werder Bremen · 82′ · 0.05 xG · on targetAntonio Nusa · RB Leipzig · 15′ · 0.06 xG · goalCameron Puertas · Werder Bremen · 34′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedEzechiel Banzuzi · RB Leipzig · 87′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJovan Milošević · Werder Bremen · 89′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedSenne Lynen · Werder Bremen · 41′ · 0.08 xG · on targetCameron Puertas · Werder Bremen · 43′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedRômulo · RB Leipzig · 15′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedRomano Schmid · Werder Bremen · 37′ · 0.13 xG · on targetConrad Harder · RB Leipzig · 80′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedSalim Musah · Werder Bremen · 90′ · 0.22 xG · goalRomano Schmid · Werder Bremen · 14′ · 0.24 xG · on targetSalim Musah · Werder Bremen · 90′ · 0.30 xG · off target or blockedRômulo · RB Leipzig · 52′ · 0.55 xG · goalYan Diomande · RB Leipzig · 81′ · 0.56 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Werder Bremen: 13 shots, 5 on target, 1.35 xG. RB Leipzig: 7 shots, 2 on target, 1.54 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Salim Musah · Werder Bremen · 90′Antonio Nusa · RB Leipzig · 15′Rômulo · RB Leipzig · 52′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Werder Bremen 1.35 xG · RB Leipzig 1.54 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0SV Werder Bremen
3Draws
2RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig — SV Werder Bremen · Bundesliga2–0
SV Werder Bremen — RB Leipzig · Bundesliga0–0
RB Leipzig — SV Werder Bremen · Bundesliga4–2
RB Leipzig — SV Werder Bremen · Bundesliga1–1
SV Werder Bremen — RB Leipzig · Bundesliga1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: SV Werder Bremen favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · RB Leipzig in 10 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

SV Werder Bremen28 matchesRB Leipzig28 matches
1.11 goals/matchGoals scored28/28▲ 1.96 goals/match
1.75 goals/matchGoals allowed28/28▲ 1.29 goals/match
1.23 xG/matchExpected goals28/28▲ 1.92 xG/match
13.4 shots/matchShots28/28▲ 15.5 shots/match
4.14 shots/matchShots on target28/28▲ 5.68 shots/match
52.3%Possession28/28● 53.3%
4.46 corners/matchCorners28/28● 5.18 corners/match
2.54 cards/matchCards26/251.44 cards/match
10.1 fouls/matchFouls28/289.61 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples28 / 28home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 4 Apr 2026, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

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