Bundesliga · 2025Sat, 4 Apr 2026, 13:30 UTCFull timeBorussia-ParkFull-time recap
22Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricBorussia Mönchengladbach1. FC Heidenheim
Shots14 shots/match14 shots/match
Shots on target6 shots/match6 shots/match
Expected goals0.6 xG/match0.94 xG/match
Possession51%49%
Corners2 corners/match3 corners/match
Fouls11 fouls/match11 fouls/match
Yellow cards3 cards/match0 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Borussia Mönchengladbach's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Borussia Mönchengladbach's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Borussia Mönchengladbach's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season1.25 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.25 goals/match1.38 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Borussia Mönchengladbach
0Draws
01. FC Heidenheim
1. FC HeidenheimBorussia Mönchengladbach · Bundesliga03

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Borussia Mönchengladbach favored in 6 of 14 directional metrics · 1. FC Heidenheim in 0 · 8 too close

1.25 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 28/281.04 goals/match
1.71 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 28/282.25 goals/match
0.82 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 3/30.89 xG/match
1 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 3/31.05 xG/match
11.5 shots/matchShotsseason · 28/2811.4 shots/match
14.2 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 28/2815.2 shots/match
4.21 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 28/283.46 shots/match
5.43 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 28/285.71 shots/match
46%Possessionseason · 28/2842.3%
4.07 corners/matchCornersseason · 28/284.5 corners/match
4.57 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 28/284.79 corners/match
1.5 cards/matchCardsseason · 26/261.54 cards/match
11 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 28/2810.3 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
36%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 28/280%
64%Scoring frequencyseason · 28/2861%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Borussia Mönchengladbach36.1
1. FC Heidenheim8.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Borussia Mönchengladbach35.2
1. FC Heidenheim13.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Borussia Mönchengladbach25
1. FC Heidenheim7.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Borussia Mönchengladbach30.6
1. FC Heidenheim69.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Borussia Mönchengladbach33.3
1. FC Heidenheim30.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 96%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Borussia Mönchengladbach13.9
1. FC Heidenheim41.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Borussia Mönchengladbach34.7
1. FC Heidenheim30.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.4 goals/match
1.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/52.4 goals/match
0.82 xG/matchExpected goals3/30.89 xG/match
12.8 shots/matchShots5/58.8 shots/match
5.2 shots/matchShots on target5/52.8 shots/match
46%Possession5/543.6%
2.8 corners/matchCorners5/53 corners/match
2.33 cards/matchCards3/30.67 cards/match
10.2 fouls/matchFouls5/59.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.2 goals/match
1.9 goals/matchGoals allowed10/102.4 goals/match
0.82 xG/matchExpected goals3/30.89 xG/match
12.4 shots/matchShots10/1010.9 shots/match
4.2 shots/matchShots on target10/103.1 shots/match
46.4%Possession10/1041.2%
3.1 corners/matchCorners10/104 corners/match
1.88 cards/matchCards8/81 cards/match
10.2 fouls/matchFouls10/109.6 fouls/match

Window

Season

28 / 28 matches
1.25 goals/matchGoals scored28/281.04 goals/match
1.71 goals/matchGoals allowed28/282.25 goals/match
0.82 xG/matchExpected goals3/30.89 xG/match
11.5 shots/matchShots28/2811.4 shots/match
4.21 shots/matchShots on target28/283.46 shots/match
46%Possession28/2842.3%
4.07 corners/matchCorners28/284.5 corners/match
1.5 cards/matchCards26/261.54 cards/match
11 fouls/matchFouls28/2810.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

14 / 14 matches
1.29 goals/matchGoals scored14/140.79 goals/match
1.64 goals/matchGoals allowed14/142.07 goals/match
Expected goals2/2
11.8 shots/matchShots14/1411.1 shots/match
4.36 shots/matchShots on target14/143.07 shots/match
46.2%Possession14/1444%
3.79 corners/matchCorners14/144.43 corners/match
1.42 cards/matchCards12/131.92 cards/match
10.1 fouls/matchFouls14/1410.8 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

14 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/114 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples28 / 28home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 4 Apr 2026, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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