Bundesliga · 2025Sun, 12 Apr 2026, 13:30 UTCFull timeRheinEnergieStadionFull-time recap

1. FC Köln

LLDDD

3–1Full-time recap

Werder Bremen

WWLWL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	1. FC Köln	Werder Bremen
Shots	25 shots/match▲	6 shots/match
Shots on target	8 shots/match▲	2 shots/match
Expected goals	3.4 xG/match▲	0.92 xG/match
Possession	58%	42%
Corners	8 corners/match	5 corners/match
Fouls	15 fouls/match	7 fouls/match
Yellow cards	3 cards/match	2 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: 1. FC Köln's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Werder Bremen's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

1. FC Köln's recent record differs from the season

moderate

1. FC Köln's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.48 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	2 goals/match	1.48 goals/match	1.4 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Werder Bremen have a visible away split

moderate

Werder Bremen's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.9 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season13.1 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

Metric	Away only	Season	Baseline
Shots	10.9 shots/match	13.1 shots/match	12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

01. FC Köln

1Draws

0Werder Bremen

29 Nov 2025Werder Bremen — 1. FC Köln · Bundesliga1–1

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

1. FC Köln favored in 5 of 14 directional metrics · Werder Bremen in 2 · 7 too close

1.48 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 29/291.1 goals/match

1.72 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 29/291.79 goals/match

2.3 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 4/40.74 xG/match

1.19 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 4/41.68 xG/match

13.3 shots/matchShotsseason · 29/2913.1 shots/match

13.7 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 29/2913.4 shots/match

4.59 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 29/294.03 shots/match

4.69 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 29/295.07 shots/match

47.1%Possessionseason · 29/2951.9%

4.62 corners/matchCornersseason · 29/294.48 corners/match

5.66 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 29/29▲4.72 corners/match

1.96 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 27/272.56 cards/match

8.48 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 29/2910 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

10%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 29/29▲21%

86%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 29/2962%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

1. FC Köln47.2

Werder Bremen58.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

1. FC Köln62.9

Werder Bremen33.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

1. FC Köln39.8

Werder Bremen34.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

1. FC Köln75

Werder Bremen30.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

1. FC Köln22.2

Werder Bremen62.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 97%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

1. FC Köln52.8

Werder Bremen41.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

1. FC Köln46.5

Werder Bremen41.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

2 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51.4 goals/match

1.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1.6 goals/match

2.3 xG/match▲Expected goals4/40.74 xG/match

15.2 shots/match▲Shots5/511.2 shots/match

5.6 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53.4 shots/match

47.2%Possession5/556%

6 corners/matchCorners5/54.4 corners/match

4.67 cards/matchCards3/32 cards/match

10.2 fouls/matchFouls5/59 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1.5 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101.1 goals/match

1.8 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.5 goals/match

2.3 xG/match▲Expected goals4/40.74 xG/match

13 shots/matchShots10/1013.5 shots/match

4.4 shots/match▲Shots on target10/104.1 shots/match

45.7%Possession10/1055.7%

5.4 corners/matchCorners10/104.7 corners/match

2.38 cards/matchCards8/82.13 cards/match

8.6 fouls/matchFouls10/1010.1 fouls/match

Window

Season

29 / 29 matches

1.48 goals/match▲Goals scored29/291.1 goals/match

1.72 goals/matchGoals allowed29/291.79 goals/match

2.3 xG/match▲Expected goals4/40.74 xG/match

13.3 shots/matchShots29/2913.1 shots/match

4.59 shots/match▲Shots on target29/294.03 shots/match

47.1%Possession29/2951.9%

4.62 corners/matchCorners29/294.48 corners/match

1.96 cards/matchCards27/272.56 cards/match

8.48 fouls/matchFouls29/2910 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

15 / 15 matches

1.87 goals/match▲Goals scored15/151.13 goals/match

1.67 goals/match▲Goals allowed15/151.8 goals/match

—Expected goals2/2—

14.2 shots/match▲Shots15/1510.9 shots/match

5.07 shots/match▲Shots on target15/153.73 shots/match

47.7%Possession15/1550.7%

4.93 corners/matchCorners15/154.47 corners/match

2.07 cards/matchCards15/152.47 cards/match

8.33 fouls/matchFouls15/159.93 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.92 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/18 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples29 / 29home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 12 Apr 2026, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Create a graphic from this match

Match statistics

What the record shows

1. FC Köln's recent record differs from the season

Werder Bremen have a visible away split

Head-to-head

Values, percentiles and samples

How the teams compare

Possession control

Attacking volume

Defensive resistance

Directness proxy

Physicality

Set-piece relevance

Tempo and pressure proxy

Season, last 10 and last 5

Last 5

Last 10

Season

Home and away samples

Home team at home / away team away

Rest and recent workload

How much supports this analysis

Known unknowns

Related matches

Make a graphic from this match