Bundesliga · 2025Sat, 4 Apr 2026, 16:30 UTCFull timeMHPArenaFull-time recap

VfB Stuttgart

DWDWW

0–2Full-time recap

Borussia Dortmund

DLWWW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	VfB Stuttgart	Borussia Dortmund
Shots	13 shots/match▲	5 shots/match
Shots on target	3 shots/match	3 shots/match
Expected goals	0.58 xG/match▲	0.5 xG/match
Possession	67%	33%
Corners	5 corners/match	2 corners/match
Fouls	10 fouls/match	12 fouls/match
Yellow cards	2 cards/match▲	4 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: VfB Stuttgart's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

VfB Stuttgart's recent record differs from the season

weak

VfB Stuttgart's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.4 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	2.4 goals/match	2 goals/match	1.38 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.36 corners/match▲CornersVfB Stuttgart · Borussia Dortmund5.57 corners/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

Metric	VfB Stuttgart	Borussia Dortmund	Baseline
Corners	5.36 corners/match	5.57 corners/match	4.59 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0VfB Stuttgart

1Draws

0Borussia Dortmund

22 Nov 2025Borussia Dortmund — VfB Stuttgart · Bundesliga3–3

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

VfB Stuttgart favored in 3 of 14 directional metrics · Borussia Dortmund in 6 · 5 too close

2 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 28/28▲2.14 goals/match

1.36 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 28/28▲1 goals/match

1.79 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 3/33.06 xG/match

0.94 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 3/30.92 xG/match

14.9 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 28/2813.2 shots/match

12.1 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 28/28▲10.8 shots/match

5.86 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 28/284.86 shots/match

4.39 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 28/28▲3.46 shots/match

58.9%Possessionseason · 28/2853.1%

5.36 corners/matchCornersseason · 28/285.57 corners/match

4.04 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 28/284.54 corners/match

2 cards/matchCardsseason · 25/251.92 cards/match

9.71 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 28/2811.6 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

36%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 28/28▲46%

89%Scoring frequencyseason · 28/28▲100%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

VfB Stuttgart86.1

Borussia Dortmund63.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

VfB Stuttgart86.1

Borussia Dortmund76.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

VfB Stuttgart74.1

Borussia Dortmund91.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

VfB Stuttgart36.1

Borussia Dortmund25

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

VfB Stuttgart40.3

Borussia Dortmund52.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 95%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

VfB Stuttgart80.6

Borussia Dortmund86.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

VfB Stuttgart72.2

Borussia Dortmund73.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

2.4 goals/match▲Goals scored5/52.2 goals/match

1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.2 goals/match

1.79 xG/matchExpected goals3/3▲3.06 xG/match

14.8 shots/match▲Shots5/513.6 shots/match

6 shots/match▲Shots on target5/54.6 shots/match

62%Possession5/551.2%

5.6 corners/matchCorners5/56.8 corners/match

—Cards2/2—

9.2 fouls/matchFouls5/511.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

2.3 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲2.5 goals/match

1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.1 goals/match

1.79 xG/matchExpected goals3/3▲3.06 xG/match

14.1 shots/matchShots10/1014.8 shots/match

6 shots/match▲Shots on target10/105 shots/match

62.6%Possession10/1053%

4.9 corners/matchCorners10/106.5 corners/match

2.14 cards/matchCards7/71.86 cards/match

9.4 fouls/matchFouls10/1012 fouls/match

Window

Season

28 / 28 matches

2 goals/matchGoals scored28/28▲2.14 goals/match

1.36 goals/matchGoals allowed28/28▲1 goals/match

1.79 xG/matchExpected goals3/3▲3.06 xG/match

14.9 shots/match▲Shots28/2813.2 shots/match

5.86 shots/match▲Shots on target28/284.86 shots/match

58.9%Possession28/2853.1%

5.36 corners/matchCorners28/285.57 corners/match

2 cards/matchCards25/251.92 cards/match

9.71 fouls/matchFouls28/2811.6 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

14 / 14 matches

1.57 goals/matchGoals scored14/14▲1.93 goals/match

1 goals/match▲Goals allowed14/141.07 goals/match

—Expected goals2/1—

15.8 shots/match▲Shots14/1411.6 shots/match

5.79 shots/match▲Shots on target14/144.14 shots/match

57.6%Possession14/1450.7%

5.07 corners/matchCorners14/143.5 corners/match

2.17 cards/matchCards12/132.31 cards/match

9.07 fouls/matchFouls14/1412 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

12.9 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/114 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples28 / 28home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 4 Apr 2026, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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Match statistics

What the record shows

VfB Stuttgart's recent record differs from the season

Both teams have elevated corners records

Head-to-head

Values, percentiles and samples

How the teams compare

Possession control

Attacking volume

Defensive resistance

Directness proxy

Physicality

Set-piece relevance

Tempo and pressure proxy

Season, last 10 and last 5

Last 5

Last 10

Season

Home and away samples

Home team at home / away team away

Rest and recent workload

How much supports this analysis

Known unknowns

Related matches

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