Bundesliga · 2025Sat, 18 Apr 2026, 16:30 UTCFull timeDeutsche Bank ParkFull-time recap

Eintracht Frankfurt

DWLDW

1–3Full-time recap

RB Leipzig

WLWWW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Eintracht Frankfurt	RB Leipzig
Shots	15 shots/match	19 shots/match▲
Shots on target	5 shots/match	8 shots/match▲
Expected goals	1.26 xG/match	1.84 xG/match▲
Possession	51%	49%
Corners	4 corners/match	6 corners/match
Fouls	7 fouls/match	7 fouls/match
Yellow cards	0 cards/match▲	1 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Eintracht Frankfurt's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Eintracht Frankfurt's recent record differs from the season

weak

Eintracht Frankfurt's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.4 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.83 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.4 goals/match	1.83 goals/match	1.41 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Eintracht Frankfurt

0Draws

1RB Leipzig

6 Dec 2025RB Leipzig — Eintracht Frankfurt · Bundesliga6–0

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Eintracht Frankfurt favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · RB Leipzig in 9 · 5 too close

1.83 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 30/30▲1.97 goals/match

1.9 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 30/30▲1.23 goals/match

1.41 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 5/5▲1.81 xG/match

1.65 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 5/5▲1.12 xG/match

11.9 shots/matchShotsseason · 30/30▲15.9 shots/match

12.5 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 30/3012 shots/match

4.47 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 30/30▲5.93 shots/match

4.7 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 30/30▲3.9 shots/match

54.8%Possessionseason · 30/3053.1%

4.5 corners/matchCornersseason · 30/305.4 corners/match

4.3 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 30/304.27 corners/match

2 cards/matchCardsseason · 26/25▲1.44 cards/match

10.1 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 30/309.5 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

23%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 30/30▲37%

90%Scoring frequencyseason · 30/3090%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Eintracht Frankfurt80.6

RB Leipzig66.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Eintracht Frankfurt50

RB Leipzig83.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Eintracht Frankfurt41.7

RB Leipzig82.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Eintracht Frankfurt2.8

RB Leipzig91.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Eintracht Frankfurt47.2

RB Leipzig13.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 92%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Eintracht Frankfurt44.4

RB Leipzig75

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Eintracht Frankfurt43.8

RB Leipzig69.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲2.2 goals/match

1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲0.6 goals/match

1.41 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲1.81 xG/match

13.8 shots/matchShots5/5▲14.6 shots/match

4.8 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲6.8 shots/match

60.8%Possession5/548%

5.4 corners/matchCorners5/54.8 corners/match

—Cards1/0—

7 fouls/matchFouls5/510.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1.5 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲2.1 goals/match

1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1 goals/match

1.41 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲1.81 xG/match

11.6 shots/matchShots10/10▲15.5 shots/match

4.6 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲6.4 shots/match

60.5%Possession10/1053.7%

4.3 corners/matchCorners10/105.4 corners/match

2.67 cards/matchCards6/52 cards/match

8.4 fouls/matchFouls10/1010.4 fouls/match

Window

Season

30 / 30 matches

1.83 goals/matchGoals scored30/30▲1.97 goals/match

1.9 goals/matchGoals allowed30/30▲1.23 goals/match

1.41 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲1.81 xG/match

11.9 shots/matchShots30/30▲15.9 shots/match

4.47 shots/matchShots on target30/30▲5.93 shots/match

54.8%Possession30/3053.1%

4.5 corners/matchCorners30/305.4 corners/match

2 cards/matchCards26/251.44 cards/match

10.1 fouls/matchFouls30/309.5 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

15 / 15 matches

1.73 goals/match▲Goals scored15/151.6 goals/match

1.53 goals/matchGoals allowed15/15▲1.27 goals/match

1.51 xG/matchExpected goals3/31.47 xG/match

13.3 shots/matchShots15/15▲14.3 shots/match

5.2 shots/match▲Shots on target15/154.6 shots/match

53.5%Possession15/1552%

5.13 corners/matchCorners15/155 corners/match

1.77 cards/matchCards13/121.75 cards/match

9.67 fouls/matchFouls15/1510.5 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.12 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.12 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples30 / 30home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 18 Apr 2026, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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Match statistics

What the record shows

Eintracht Frankfurt's recent record differs from the season

Head-to-head

Values, percentiles and samples

How the teams compare

Possession control

Attacking volume

Defensive resistance

Directness proxy

Physicality

Set-piece relevance

Tempo and pressure proxy

Season, last 10 and last 5

Last 5

Last 10

Season

Home and away samples

Home team at home / away team away

Rest and recent workload

How much supports this analysis

Known unknowns

Related matches

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