PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2025Europa-Park-Stadion

SC Freiburg 2–1 1. FC Heidenheim · Bundesliga

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

SC Freiburg won 2–1.

Shots
1713
Shots on target
42
Expected goals
1.621.58
Possession
46%54%

Full time

What the match recorded

SC Freiburg beat 1. FC Heidenheim 2–1. Recorded in this match (SC Freiburg – 1. FC Heidenheim): shots 17–13, shots on target 4–2, expected goals 1.62–1.58, possession 46%–54%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

1. FC Heidenheim's recent record differs from the season

moderate

1. FC Heidenheim's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.1 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.1 goals/match1.42 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

SC Freiburg have a visible home split

moderate

SC Freiburg's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

14.7 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season12.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots14.7 shots/match12.7 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots13 shotsSC Freiburg 17 shots, 1. FC Heidenheim 13 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots2 shotsSC Freiburg 4 shots, 1. FC Heidenheim 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.62 xG1.58 xGSC Freiburg 1.62 xG, 1. FC Heidenheim 1.58 xG
  • Possession46%54%SC Freiburg 46%, 1. FC Heidenheim 54%
  • Corners5 corners4 cornersSC Freiburg 5 corners, 1. FC Heidenheim 4 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls9 foulsSC Freiburg 10 fouls, 1. FC Heidenheim 9 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card0 cardsSC Freiburg 1 card, 1. FC Heidenheim 0 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Vincenzo Grifo · SC Freiburg · 37′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedArijon Ibrahimović · 1. FC Heidenheim · 43′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLucas Höler · SC Freiburg · 80′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedVincenzo Grifo · SC Freiburg · 28′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedYuito Suzuki · SC Freiburg · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJohan Manzambi · SC Freiburg · 24′ · 0.05 xG · goalMatthias Ginter · SC Freiburg · 28′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDerry Scherhant · SC Freiburg · 45′ · 0.05 xG · on targetMathias Honsak · 1. FC Heidenheim · 53′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedNiklas Dorsch · 1. FC Heidenheim · 61′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedIgor Matanović · SC Freiburg · 14′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMathias Honsak · 1. FC Heidenheim · 35′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedBudu Zivzivadze · 1. FC Heidenheim · 59′ · 0.06 xG · goalYuito Suzuki · SC Freiburg · 74′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedLucas Höler · SC Freiburg · 38′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJohan Manzambi · SC Freiburg · 67′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMarnon Busch · 1. FC Heidenheim · 90′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMathias Honsak · 1. FC Heidenheim · 42′ · 0.08 xG · on targetMaximilian Eggestein · SC Freiburg · 83′ · 0.08 xG · goalMatthias Ginter · SC Freiburg · 73′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedStefan Schimmer · 1. FC Heidenheim · 78′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedDerry Scherhant · SC Freiburg · 41′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedStefan Schimmer · 1. FC Heidenheim · 90′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedStefan Schimmer · 1. FC Heidenheim · 88′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedBudu Zivzivadze · 1. FC Heidenheim · 46′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedIgor Matanović · SC Freiburg · 19′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Mainka · 1. FC Heidenheim · 77′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedLucas Höler · SC Freiburg · 64′ · 0.26 xG · on targetJohan Manzambi · SC Freiburg · 13′ · 0.27 xG · off target or blockedMarvin Pieringer · 1. FC Heidenheim · 16′ · 0.38 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

SC Freiburg: 17 shots, 4 on target, 1.62 xG. 1. FC Heidenheim: 13 shots, 2 on target, 1.65 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Johan Manzambi · SC Freiburg · 24′Maximilian Eggestein · SC Freiburg · 83′Budu Zivzivadze · 1. FC Heidenheim · 59′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: SC Freiburg 1.62 xG · 1. FC Heidenheim 1.65 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2SC Freiburg
1Draws
21. FC Heidenheim
1. FC Heidenheim — SC Freiburg · Bundesliga2–1
SC Freiburg — 1. FC Heidenheim · Bundesliga1–0
1. FC Heidenheim — SC Freiburg · Bundesliga0–3
SC Freiburg — 1. FC Heidenheim · Bundesliga1–1
1. FC Heidenheim — SC Freiburg · Bundesliga3–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: SC Freiburg favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · 1. FC Heidenheim in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

SC Freiburg30 matches1. FC Heidenheim30 matches
1.47 goals/match ▲Goals scored30/301.1 goals/match
1.6 goals/match ▲Goals allowed30/302.2 goals/match
1.5 xG/match ▲Expected goals30/301.32 xG/match
12.7 shots/match ▲Shots30/3011.3 shots/match
4.27 shots/match ▲Shots on target30/303.43 shots/match
47.9% ●Possession30/3042.6%
4.47 corners/match ●Corners30/304.43 corners/match
1.72 cards/matchCards25/261.54 cards/match
9.37 fouls/matchFouls30/3010.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples30 / 30home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 19 Apr 2026, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSC Freiburg1. FC Heidenheim
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2025/26
Head-to-headSC Freiburg — 1. FC Heidenheim
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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