Bundesliga · 2025Sun, 19 Apr 2026, 17:30 UTCFull timeBorussia-ParkFull-time recap

Borussia Mönchengladbach

LWDDL

1–1Full-time recap

FSV Mainz 05

DWWWL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Borussia Mönchengladbach	FSV Mainz 05
Shots	9 shots/match	14 shots/match▲
Shots on target	4 shots/match	6 shots/match▲
Expected goals	0.62 xG/match	1.33 xG/match▲
Possession	38%	62%
Corners	0 corners/match	6 corners/match
Fouls	11 fouls/match	8 fouls/match
Yellow cards	4 cards/match	2 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Borussia Mönchengladbach's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: FSV Mainz 05's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Borussia Mönchengladbach's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Borussia Mönchengladbach's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.2 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.6 goals/match	1.2 goals/match	1.42 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

FSV Mainz 05 have a visible away split

moderate

FSV Mainz 05's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.6 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season11.3 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

Metric	Away only	Season	Baseline
Shots	9.6 shots/match	11.3 shots/match	12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Borussia Mönchengladbach

0Draws

0FSV Mainz 05

5 Dec 2025FSV Mainz 05 — Borussia Mönchengladbach · Bundesliga0–1

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Borussia Mönchengladbach favored in 3 of 14 directional metrics · FSV Mainz 05 in 6 · 5 too close

1.2 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 30/301.2 goals/match

1.67 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 30/30▲1.5 goals/match

0.96 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 5/5▲1.35 xG/match

1.32 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 5/5▲0.9 xG/match

11.5 shots/matchShotsseason · 30/3011.3 shots/match

14.5 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 30/3014.3 shots/match

4.17 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 30/303.8 shots/match

5.63 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 30/30▲4.97 shots/match

45.8%Possessionseason · 30/3043.9%

3.87 corners/matchCornersseason · 30/305.03 corners/match

4.83 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 30/30▲4.37 corners/match

1.5 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 26/252.52 cards/match

10.9 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 30/3010.9 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

33%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 30/3010%

63%Scoring frequencyseason · 30/30▲67%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Borussia Mönchengladbach30.6

FSV Mainz 0513.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Borussia Mönchengladbach31.5

FSV Mainz 0522.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Borussia Mönchengladbach24.1

FSV Mainz 0541.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Borussia Mönchengladbach30.6

FSV Mainz 0552.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Borussia Mönchengladbach33.3

FSV Mainz 0572.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 92%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Borussia Mönchengladbach8.3

FSV Mainz 0563.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Borussia Mönchengladbach31.9

FSV Mainz 0540.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.6 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51.4 goals/match

1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲0.8 goals/match

0.96 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲1.35 xG/match

10.8 shots/matchShots5/510.4 shots/match

4.2 shots/matchShots on target5/54.2 shots/match

45.2%Possession5/543.4%

1.8 corners/matchCorners5/54.8 corners/match

—Cards1/0—

10.2 fouls/matchFouls5/58.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1.2 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1.3 goals/match

1.7 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.2 goals/match

0.96 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲1.35 xG/match

12.6 shots/match▲Shots10/1011.4 shots/match

4.4 shots/matchShots on target10/104.5 shots/match

47.4%Possession10/1041.8%

2.9 corners/matchCorners10/104.6 corners/match

2.17 cards/matchCards6/51.8 cards/match

9.4 fouls/matchFouls10/109.5 fouls/match

Window

Season

30 / 30 matches

1.2 goals/matchGoals scored30/301.2 goals/match

1.67 goals/matchGoals allowed30/30▲1.5 goals/match

0.96 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲1.35 xG/match

11.5 shots/matchShots30/3011.3 shots/match

4.17 shots/match▲Shots on target30/303.8 shots/match

45.8%Possession30/3043.9%

3.87 corners/matchCorners30/305.03 corners/match

1.5 cards/matchCards26/252.52 cards/match

10.9 fouls/matchFouls30/3010.9 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

15 / 15 matches

1.27 goals/matchGoals scored15/151.27 goals/match

1.6 goals/match▲Goals allowed15/151.8 goals/match

0.64 xG/matchExpected goals3/3▲1.52 xG/match

11.6 shots/match▲Shots15/159.6 shots/match

4.33 shots/match▲Shots on target15/153.67 shots/match

45.7%Possession15/1541%

3.53 corners/matchCorners15/153.8 corners/match

1.42 cards/matchCards12/123 cards/match

10.2 fouls/matchFouls15/1510.1 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

8.17 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples30 / 30home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 19 Apr 2026, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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Match statistics

What the record shows

Borussia Mönchengladbach's recent record differs from the season

FSV Mainz 05 have a visible away split

Head-to-head

Values, percentiles and samples

How the teams compare

Possession control

Attacking volume

Defensive resistance

Directness proxy

Physicality

Set-piece relevance

Tempo and pressure proxy

Season, last 10 and last 5

Last 5

Last 10

Season

Home and away samples

Home team at home / away team away

Rest and recent workload

How much supports this analysis

Known unknowns

Related matches

Make a graphic from this match