Bundesliga · 2025Sat, 25 Apr 2026, 13:30 UTCFull timeVolkswagen ArenaFull-time recap
00Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricVfL WolfsburgBorussia Mönchengladbach
Shots11 shots/match10 shots/match
Shots on target4 shots/match2 shots/match
Expected goals1.21 xG/match0.51 xG/match
Possession43%57%
Corners8 corners/match5 corners/match
Fouls11 fouls/match3 fouls/match
Yellow cards0 cards/match1 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: VfL Wolfsburg's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

VfL Wolfsburg have a visible home split

moderate

VfL Wolfsburg's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.3 shots/matchShotsHome only · Season11.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.3 shots/match11.4 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1VfL Wolfsburg
0Draws
0Borussia Mönchengladbach
Borussia MönchengladbachVfL Wolfsburg · Bundesliga13

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

VfL Wolfsburg favored in 3 of 14 directional metrics · Borussia Mönchengladbach in 6 · 5 too close

1.32 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 31/311.16 goals/match
2.13 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 31/311.61 goals/match
1.02 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 6/60.89 xG/match
1.58 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 6/61.3 xG/match
11.4 shots/matchShotsseason · 31/3111.4 shots/match
15.4 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 31/3114.4 shots/match
3.9 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 31/314.1 shots/match
5.61 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 31/315.58 shots/match
45.7%Possessionseason · 31/3146.1%
4.13 corners/matchCornersseason · 31/313.9 corners/match
7.68 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 31/314.94 corners/match
2.12 cards/matchCardsseason · 26/261.5 cards/match
11.7 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 31/3110.6 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
6%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 31/3135%
77%Scoring frequencyseason · 31/3161%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

VfL Wolfsburg30.6
Borussia Mönchengladbach41.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

VfL Wolfsburg26.8
Borussia Mönchengladbach25
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

VfL Wolfsburg3.7
Borussia Mönchengladbach27.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

VfL Wolfsburg30.6
Borussia Mönchengladbach25
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

VfL Wolfsburg72.2
Borussia Mönchengladbach33.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 92%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

VfL Wolfsburg13.9
Borussia Mönchengladbach8.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

VfL Wolfsburg31.9
Borussia Mönchengladbach29.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.2 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.4 goals/match
1.17 xG/matchExpected goals5/50.92 xG/match
11.4 shots/matchShots5/510.8 shots/match
4.2 shots/matchShots on target5/53.8 shots/match
46%Possession5/548.6%
5.6 corners/matchCorners5/52.4 corners/match
Cards1/1
12.2 fouls/matchFouls5/59 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.1 goals/match
2.2 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.6 goals/match
1.02 xG/matchExpected goals6/60.89 xG/match
10.5 shots/matchShots10/1012.7 shots/match
3.7 shots/matchShots on target10/104 shots/match
43.2%Possession10/1049.2%
4.8 corners/matchCorners10/103.2 corners/match
2.4 cards/matchCards5/52.2 cards/match
12.6 fouls/matchFouls10/109 fouls/match

Window

Season

31 / 31 matches
1.32 goals/matchGoals scored31/311.16 goals/match
2.13 goals/matchGoals allowed31/311.61 goals/match
1.02 xG/matchExpected goals6/60.89 xG/match
11.4 shots/matchShots31/3111.4 shots/match
3.9 shots/matchShots on target31/314.1 shots/match
45.7%Possession31/3146.1%
4.13 corners/matchCorners31/313.9 corners/match
2.12 cards/matchCards26/261.5 cards/match
11.7 fouls/matchFouls31/3110.6 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

16 / 16 matches
1.31 goals/matchGoals scored16/161.06 goals/match
1.94 goals/matchGoals allowed16/161.63 goals/match
1.23 xG/matchExpected goals3/31.13 xG/match
13.3 shots/matchShots16/1611.3 shots/match
4.5 shots/matchShots on target16/163.88 shots/match
49.4%Possession16/1646.6%
5.31 corners/matchCorners16/164.25 corners/match
2.29 cards/matchCards14/141.57 cards/match
12.3 fouls/matchFouls16/1611 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/15.83 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples31 / 31home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 25 Apr 2026, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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