PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2025Volkswagen Arena

VfL Wolfsburg 1–2 Eintracht Frankfurt · Bundesliga

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Eintracht Frankfurt won 1–2.

Shots
2210
Shots on target
74
Expected goals
2.331.29
Possession
51%49%

Full time

What the match recorded

Eintracht Frankfurt beat VfL Wolfsburg 2–1. Recorded in this match (VfL Wolfsburg – Eintracht Frankfurt): shots 22–10, shots on target 7–4, expected goals 2.33–1.29, possession 51%–49%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Eintracht Frankfurt's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Eintracht Frankfurt's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.86 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1.86 goals/match1.39 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

VfL Wolfsburg have a visible home split

moderate

VfL Wolfsburg's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.5 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.5 shots/match11.7 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Eintracht Frankfurt have recorded the higher season possession share.

45.7%PossessionVfL Wolfsburg · Eintracht Frankfurt● 54.9%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.2 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricVfL WolfsburgEintracht FrankfurtBaseline
Possession45.7%54.9%47.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots22 shots10 shotsVfL Wolfsburg 22 shots, Eintracht Frankfurt 10 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots4 shotsVfL Wolfsburg 7 shots, Eintracht Frankfurt 4 shots
  • Expected goals2.33 xG1.29 xGVfL Wolfsburg 2.33 xG, Eintracht Frankfurt 1.29 xG
  • Possession51%49%VfL Wolfsburg 51%, Eintracht Frankfurt 49%
  • Corners7 corners7 cornersVfL Wolfsburg 7 corners, Eintracht Frankfurt 7 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls8 foulsVfL Wolfsburg 9 fouls, Eintracht Frankfurt 8 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards1 cardVfL Wolfsburg 2 cards, Eintracht Frankfurt 1 card

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Mohamed Amoura · VfL Wolfsburg · 49′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedFarès Chaïbi · Eintracht Frankfurt · 76′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJoakim Mæhle · VfL Wolfsburg · 52′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Wimmer · VfL Wolfsburg · 61′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDenis Vavro · VfL Wolfsburg · 66′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedArthur Theate · Eintracht Frankfurt · 73′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMaximilian Arnold · VfL Wolfsburg · 81′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJoakim Mæhle · VfL Wolfsburg · 82′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDenis Vavro · VfL Wolfsburg · 29′ · 0.03 xG · on targetMohamed Amoura · VfL Wolfsburg · 81′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDženan Pejčinović · VfL Wolfsburg · 89′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLovro Majer · VfL Wolfsburg · 49′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAnsgar Knauff · Eintracht Frankfurt · 77′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedOscar Højlund · Eintracht Frankfurt · 21′ · 0.05 xG · goalFarès Chaïbi · Eintracht Frankfurt · 40′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Wimmer · VfL Wolfsburg · 3′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedEllyes Skhiri · Eintracht Frankfurt · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedKento Shiogai · VfL Wolfsburg · 90′ · 0.07 xG · on targetJoakim Mæhle · VfL Wolfsburg · 75′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedLovro Majer · VfL Wolfsburg · 84′ · 0.08 xG · on targetMohamed Amoura · VfL Wolfsburg · 61′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedLovro Majer · VfL Wolfsburg · 47′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedChristian Eriksen · VfL Wolfsburg · 68′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Amoura · VfL Wolfsburg · 12′ · 0.14 xG · on targetEllyes Skhiri · Eintracht Frankfurt · 90′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Wimmer · VfL Wolfsburg · 56′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Wimmer · VfL Wolfsburg · 63′ · 0.20 xG · on targetJonathan Burkardt · Eintracht Frankfurt · 32′ · 0.23 xG · on targetArnaud Kalimuendo · Eintracht Frankfurt · 12′ · 0.34 xG · on targetDženan Pejčinović · VfL Wolfsburg · 90′ · 0.34 xG · goalArnaud Kalimuendo · Eintracht Frankfurt · 32′ · 0.38 xG · goalAaron Zehnter · VfL Wolfsburg · 55′ · 0.42 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

VfL Wolfsburg: 22 shots, 6 on target, 2.17 xG. Eintracht Frankfurt: 10 shots, 4 on target, 1.34 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Dženan Pejčinović · VfL Wolfsburg · 90′Oscar Højlund · Eintracht Frankfurt · 21′Arnaud Kalimuendo · Eintracht Frankfurt · 32′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: VfL Wolfsburg 2.17 xG · Eintracht Frankfurt 1.34 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1VfL Wolfsburg
3Draws
1Eintracht Frankfurt
Eintracht Frankfurt — VfL Wolfsburg · Bundesliga1–1
Eintracht Frankfurt — VfL Wolfsburg · Bundesliga1–1
VfL Wolfsburg — Eintracht Frankfurt · Bundesliga1–2
Eintracht Frankfurt — VfL Wolfsburg · Bundesliga2–2
VfL Wolfsburg — Eintracht Frankfurt · Bundesliga2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: VfL Wolfsburg favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Eintracht Frankfurt in 9 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

VfL Wolfsburg29 matchesEintracht Frankfurt29 matches
1.34 goals/matchGoals scored29/29▲ 1.86 goals/match
2.24 goals/matchGoals allowed29/29▲ 1.86 goals/match
1.32 xG/matchExpected goals29/291.35 xG/match
11.7 shots/matchShots29/2911.8 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target29/29▲ 4.45 shots/match
45.7%Possession29/29● 54.9%
4.03 corners/matchCorners29/29● 4.52 corners/match
2.12 cards/matchCards26/262 cards/match
11.7 fouls/matchFouls29/2910.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples29 / 29home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 11 Apr 2026, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsVfL WolfsburgEintracht Frankfurt
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2025/26
Head-to-headVfL Wolfsburg — Eintracht Frankfurt
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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