Bundesliga · 2025Sun, 5 Apr 2026, 15:30 UTCFull timeDeutsche Bank ParkFull-time recap
22Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricEintracht Frankfurt1. FC Köln
Shots20 shots/match14 shots/match
Shots on target7 shots/match9 shots/match
Expected goals2.34 xG/match3.02 xG/match
Possession67%33%
Corners8 corners/match0 corners/match
Fouls10 fouls/match7 fouls/match
Yellow cards1 cards/match2 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Eintracht Frankfurt's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Eintracht Frankfurt have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Eintracht Frankfurt's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Eintracht Frankfurt's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season1.86 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1.86 goals/match1.39 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Eintracht Frankfurt have recorded the higher season possession share.

55.1%PossessionEintracht Frankfurt · 1. FC Köln46.7%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.4 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricEintracht Frankfurt1. FC KölnBaseline
Possession55.1%46.7%47.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Eintracht Frankfurt
0Draws
01. FC Köln
1. FC KölnEintracht Frankfurt · Bundesliga34

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Eintracht Frankfurt favored in 4 of 14 directional metrics · 1. FC Köln in 2 · 8 too close

1.86 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 28/281.43 goals/match
1.89 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 28/281.75 goals/match
1.5 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 3/31.93 xG/match
1.57 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 3/31.28 xG/match
11.8 shots/matchShotsseason · 28/2812.9 shots/match
12 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 28/2814 shots/match
4.46 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 28/284.46 shots/match
4.61 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 28/284.79 shots/match
55.1%Possessionseason · 28/2846.7%
4.43 corners/matchCornersseason · 28/284.5 corners/match
4.18 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 28/285.68 corners/match
2 cards/matchCardsseason · 26/261.92 cards/match
10.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 28/288.25 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
25%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 28/2811%
89%Scoring frequencyseason · 28/2886%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Eintracht Frankfurt80.6
1. FC Köln47.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Eintracht Frankfurt50
1. FC Köln53.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Eintracht Frankfurt48.1
1. FC Köln32.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Eintracht Frankfurt2.8
1. FC Köln75
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Eintracht Frankfurt51.4
1. FC Köln22.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 96%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Eintracht Frankfurt22.2
1. FC Köln50
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Eintracht Frankfurt40.3
1. FC Köln40.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.4 goals/match
0.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/52 goals/match
1.5 xG/matchExpected goals3/31.93 xG/match
13.4 shots/matchShots5/512.2 shots/match
4.8 shots/matchShots on target5/54.6 shots/match
67.6%Possession5/546.4%
5.2 corners/matchCorners5/56.2 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards3/34 cards/match
7.4 fouls/matchFouls5/58 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.4 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.3 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.9 goals/match
1.5 xG/matchExpected goals3/31.93 xG/match
11.1 shots/matchShots10/1012.4 shots/match
4.4 shots/matchShots on target10/104 shots/match
59.3%Possession10/1045.2%
4.6 corners/matchCorners10/105.1 corners/match
2.5 cards/matchCards8/82.25 cards/match
8.8 fouls/matchFouls10/108 fouls/match

Window

Season

28 / 28 matches
1.86 goals/matchGoals scored28/281.43 goals/match
1.89 goals/matchGoals allowed28/281.75 goals/match
1.5 xG/matchExpected goals3/31.93 xG/match
11.8 shots/matchShots28/2812.9 shots/match
4.46 shots/matchShots on target28/284.46 shots/match
55.1%Possession28/2846.7%
4.43 corners/matchCorners28/284.5 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards26/261.92 cards/match
10.3 fouls/matchFouls28/288.25 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

14 / 14 matches
1.79 goals/matchGoals scored14/141.07 goals/match
1.43 goals/matchGoals allowed14/141.79 goals/match
Expected goals2/2
13.1 shots/matchShots14/1412.4 shots/match
5.21 shots/matchShots on target14/144.07 shots/match
53.7%Possession14/1446.5%
5.21 corners/matchCorners14/144.29 corners/match
1.77 cards/matchCards13/121.83 cards/match
9.86 fouls/matchFouls14/148.64 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

14 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/115 days
0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples28 / 28home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 5 Apr 2026, 19:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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