Bundesliga · 2025Sat, 14 Mar 2026, 14:30 UTCFull timePreZero ArenaFull-time recap

1899 Hoffenheim

LWDLW

1–1Full-time recap

VfL Wolfsburg

LDLLL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	1899 Hoffenheim	VfL Wolfsburg
Shots	20 shots/match▲	4 shots/match
Shots on target	7 shots/match▲	2 shots/match
Expected goals	1.84 xG/match▲	0.27 xG/match
Possession	69%	31%
Corners	16 corners/match	4 corners/match
Fouls	10 fouls/match	10 fouls/match
Yellow cards	0 cards/match▲	3 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: 1899 Hoffenheim's last-five shots average is above their season average. A second useful context is: 1899 Hoffenheim's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

1899 Hoffenheim's recent record differs from the season

moderate

1899 Hoffenheim's last-five shots average is above their season average.

19.8 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season14.1 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Shots	19.8 shots/match	14.1 shots/match	12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

1899 Hoffenheim show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

1899 Hoffenheim's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.1 shots/match▲Shots1899 Hoffenheim · VfL Wolfsburg11.3 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	1899 Hoffenheim	VfL Wolfsburg	Baseline
Shots	14.1 shots/match	11.3 shots/match	12.6 shots/match
Shots against	12.4 shots/match	15.7 shots/match	13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

VfL Wolfsburg have a visible away split

moderate

VfL Wolfsburg's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.62 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season11.3 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

Metric	Away only	Season	Baseline
Shots	9.62 shots/match	11.3 shots/match	12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

11899 Hoffenheim

0Draws

0VfL Wolfsburg

2 Nov 2025VfL Wolfsburg — 1899 Hoffenheim · Bundesliga2–3

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

1899 Hoffenheim favored in 8 of 14 directional metrics · VfL Wolfsburg in 0 · 6 too close

2.08 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 26/261.35 goals/match

1.31 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 26/262.15 goals/match

—Expected goalsseason · 1/1—

—Expected goals allowedseason · 1/1—

14.1 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 26/2611.3 shots/match

12.4 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 26/2615.7 shots/match

5.38 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 26/263.85 shots/match

4.19 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 26/265.77 shots/match

54.7%Possessionseason · 26/2645.7%

5.73 corners/matchCornersseason · 26/263.85 corners/match

5.31 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 26/267.77 corners/match

2.04 cards/matchCardsseason · 25/252.04 cards/match

13.8 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 26/2611.6 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

23%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 26/264%

85%Scoring frequencyseason · 26/2681%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

1899 Hoffenheim80.6

VfL Wolfsburg33.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

1899 Hoffenheim81.5

VfL Wolfsburg28.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

1899 Hoffenheim75

VfL Wolfsburg4.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

1899 Hoffenheim36.1

VfL Wolfsburg25

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

1899 Hoffenheim79.2

VfL Wolfsburg65.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 98%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

1899 Hoffenheim91.7

VfL Wolfsburg8.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

1899 Hoffenheim86.8

VfL Wolfsburg28.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

2 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51.2 goals/match

1.2 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/52.4 goals/match

—Expected goals1/1—

19.8 shots/match▲Shots5/59.6 shots/match

7.6 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53.2 shots/match

62.6%Possession5/540.4%

9 corners/matchCorners5/54 corners/match

1.75 cards/matchCards4/42 cards/match

11.6 fouls/matchFouls5/513 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

2 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101.1 goals/match

1.3 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/102 goals/match

—Expected goals1/1—

15.8 shots/match▲Shots10/1010.7 shots/match

6.2 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103.2 shots/match

54.9%Possession10/1046.7%

6.7 corners/matchCorners10/104.5 corners/match

2.33 cards/matchCards9/92.22 cards/match

12.1 fouls/matchFouls10/1012.5 fouls/match

Window

Season

26 / 26 matches

2.08 goals/match▲Goals scored26/261.35 goals/match

1.31 goals/match▲Goals allowed26/262.15 goals/match

—Expected goals1/1—

14.1 shots/match▲Shots26/2611.3 shots/match

5.38 shots/match▲Shots on target26/263.85 shots/match

54.7%Possession26/2645.7%

5.73 corners/matchCorners26/263.85 corners/match

2.04 cards/matchCards25/252.04 cards/match

13.8 fouls/matchFouls26/2611.6 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

13 / 13 matches

2.15 goals/match▲Goals scored13/131.15 goals/match

1.15 goals/match▲Goals allowed13/132.15 goals/match

—Expected goals1/1—

16.1 shots/match▲Shots13/139.62 shots/match

6.15 shots/match▲Shots on target13/133.08 shots/match

57.2%Possession13/1342%

6.62 corners/matchCorners13/132.85 corners/match

1.75 cards/matchCards12/121.92 cards/match

13.9 fouls/matchFouls13/1310.8 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples26 / 26home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 14 Mar 2026, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4