Bundesliga · 2025PreZero Arena

TSG Hoffenheim 1–1 VfL Wolfsburg · Bundesliga

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

TSG Hoffenheim and VfL Wolfsburg drew 1–1.

Shots
204
Shots on target
62
Expected goals
1.860.27
Possession
69%31%

Full time

What the match recorded

1899 Hoffenheim and VfL Wolfsburg drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (1899 Hoffenheim – VfL Wolfsburg): shots 20–4, shots on target 6–2, expected goals 1.86–0.27, possession 69%–31%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

1899 Hoffenheim's recent record differs from the season

moderate

1899 Hoffenheim's last-five shots average is above their season average.

20 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season14.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots20 shots/match14.1 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

1899 Hoffenheim show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

1899 Hoffenheim's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.1 shots/match ▲Shots1899 Hoffenheim · VfL Wolfsburg11.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric1899 HoffenheimVfL WolfsburgBaseline
Shots14.1 shots/match11.3 shots/match12.6 shots/match
Shots against12.4 shots/match15.7 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

VfL Wolfsburg have a visible away split

moderate

VfL Wolfsburg's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.62 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season11.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.62 shots/match11.3 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots20 shots4 shotsTSG Hoffenheim 20 shots, VfL Wolfsburg 4 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots2 shotsTSG Hoffenheim 6 shots, VfL Wolfsburg 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.86 xG0.27 xGTSG Hoffenheim 1.86 xG, VfL Wolfsburg 0.27 xG
  • Possession69%31%TSG Hoffenheim 69%, VfL Wolfsburg 31%
  • Corners16 corners4 cornersTSG Hoffenheim 16 corners, VfL Wolfsburg 4 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls10 foulsTSG Hoffenheim 10 fouls, VfL Wolfsburg 10 fouls
  • Yellow cards0 cards3 cardsTSG Hoffenheim 0 cards, VfL Wolfsburg 3 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Andrej Kramarić · 1899 Hoffenheim · 55′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedVinícius Souza · VfL Wolfsburg · 67′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedWouter Burger · 1899 Hoffenheim · 87′ · 0.01 xG · on targetVladimír Coufal · 1899 Hoffenheim · 40′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedWouter Burger · 1899 Hoffenheim · 73′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedOzan Kabak · 1899 Hoffenheim · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedOzan Kabak · 1899 Hoffenheim · 17′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedChristian Eriksen · VfL Wolfsburg · 18′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedGrischa Prömel · 1899 Hoffenheim · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedFisnik Asllani · 1899 Hoffenheim · 30′ · 0.05 xG · on targetFisnik Asllani · 1899 Hoffenheim · 40′ · 0.05 xG · on targetBazoumana Touré · 1899 Hoffenheim · 56′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedOzan Kabak · 1899 Hoffenheim · 45′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedFisnik Asllani · 1899 Hoffenheim · 59′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAndrej Kramarić · 1899 Hoffenheim · 2′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJonas Wind · VfL Wolfsburg · 79′ · 0.08 xG · on targetOzan Kabak · 1899 Hoffenheim · 9′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedKonstantinos Koulierakis · VfL Wolfsburg · 64′ · 0.11 xG · goalBazoumana Touré · 1899 Hoffenheim · 26′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedGrischa Prömel · 1899 Hoffenheim · 83′ · 0.13 xG · goalOzan Kabak · 1899 Hoffenheim · 66′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedAndrej Kramarić · 1899 Hoffenheim · 76′ · 0.16 xG · on targetRobin Hranáč · 1899 Hoffenheim · 9′ · 0.23 xG · off target or blockedWouter Burger · 1899 Hoffenheim · 26′ · 0.50 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

1899 Hoffenheim: 20 shots, 6 on target, 1.93 xG. VfL Wolfsburg: 4 shots, 2 on target, 0.24 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Grischa Prömel · 1899 Hoffenheim · 83′Konstantinos Koulierakis · VfL Wolfsburg · 64′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: 1899 Hoffenheim 1.93 xG · VfL Wolfsburg 0.24 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2TSG Hoffenheim
2Draws
1VfL Wolfsburg
VfL Wolfsburg — TSG Hoffenheim · Bundesliga2–3
VfL Wolfsburg — TSG Hoffenheim · Bundesliga2–2
TSG Hoffenheim — VfL Wolfsburg · Bundesliga0–1
VfL Wolfsburg — TSG Hoffenheim · Bundesliga2–2
TSG Hoffenheim — VfL Wolfsburg · Bundesliga3–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: TSG Hoffenheim favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · VfL Wolfsburg in 0 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

TSG Hoffenheim26 matchesVfL Wolfsburg26 matches
2.08 goals/match ▲Goals scored26/261.35 goals/match
1.31 goals/match ▲Goals allowed26/262.15 goals/match
1.67 xG/match ▲Expected goals26/261.28 xG/match
14.1 shots/match ▲Shots26/2611.3 shots/match
5.35 shots/match ▲Shots on target26/263.85 shots/match
54.8% ●Possession26/2645.7%
5.73 corners/match ●Corners26/263.85 corners/match
2.04 cards/matchCards25/252.04 cards/match
13.8 fouls/matchFouls26/2611.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples26 / 26home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 14 Mar 2026, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

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