Bundesliga · 2025Sat, 14 Mar 2026, 14:30 UTCFull timeSignal Iduna ParkFull-time recap

Borussia Dortmund

WWDLW

2–0Full-time recap

FC Augsburg

LWWWL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Borussia Dortmund	FC Augsburg
Shots	16 shots/match▲	7 shots/match
Shots on target	5 shots/match▲	3 shots/match
Expected goals	2.48 xG/match▲	0.71 xG/match
Possession	61%	39%
Corners	12 corners/match	2 corners/match
Fouls	7 fouls/match	7 fouls/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: FC Augsburg's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

FC Augsburg's recent record differs from the season

weak

FC Augsburg's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.19 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.4 goals/match	1.19 goals/match	1.35 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

weak

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

11.7 fouls/match▲FoulsBorussia Dortmund · FC Augsburg11.7 fouls/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

Metric	Borussia Dortmund	FC Augsburg	Baseline
Fouls	11.7 fouls/match	11.7 fouls/match	10.4 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Borussia Dortmund

0Draws

0FC Augsburg

31 Oct 2025FC Augsburg — Borussia Dortmund · Bundesliga0–1

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Borussia Dortmund favored in 9 of 14 directional metrics · FC Augsburg in 0 · 5 too close

2.12 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 26/261.19 goals/match

1 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 26/261.73 goals/match

—Expected goalsseason · 1/1—

—Expected goals allowedseason · 1/1—

13.1 shots/matchShotsseason · 26/2612.8 shots/match

10.9 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 26/2613.7 shots/match

4.81 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 26/264.35 shots/match

3.46 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 26/264.62 shots/match

53.3%Possessionseason · 26/2645.5%

5.5 corners/matchCornersseason · 26/264.69 corners/match

4.58 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 26/265.35 corners/match

1.92 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 25/252.72 cards/match

11.7 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 26/2611.7 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

46%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 26/2619%

100%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 26/2669%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Borussia Dortmund63.9

FC Augsburg25

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Borussia Dortmund76.9

FC Augsburg47.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Borussia Dortmund91.7

FC Augsburg38

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Borussia Dortmund19.4

FC Augsburg86.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Borussia Dortmund58.4

FC Augsburg88.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 98%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Borussia Dortmund80.6

FC Augsburg52.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Borussia Dortmund73.6

FC Augsburg59.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

2.4 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51.4 goals/match

1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.2 goals/match

—Expected goals1/1—

12.8 shots/matchShots5/512.8 shots/match

5 shots/match▲Shots on target5/54.4 shots/match

51%Possession5/544.4%

6 corners/matchCorners5/56 corners/match

2.25 cards/matchCards4/42.75 cards/match

12.2 fouls/matchFouls5/511.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

2.6 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101.4 goals/match

1.1 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.3 goals/match

—Expected goals1/1—

14.7 shots/match▲Shots10/1012.8 shots/match

5.3 shots/match▲Shots on target10/105 shots/match

53.8%Possession10/1045%

6 corners/matchCorners10/105.4 corners/match

2 cards/matchCards9/92.33 cards/match

12.1 fouls/matchFouls10/1010.6 fouls/match

Window

Season

26 / 26 matches

2.12 goals/match▲Goals scored26/261.19 goals/match

1 goals/match▲Goals allowed26/261.73 goals/match

—Expected goals1/1—

13.1 shots/matchShots26/2612.8 shots/match

4.81 shots/match▲Shots on target26/264.35 shots/match

53.3%Possession26/2645.5%

5.5 corners/matchCorners26/264.69 corners/match

1.92 cards/matchCards25/252.72 cards/match

11.7 fouls/matchFouls26/2611.7 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

13 / 13 matches

2.31 goals/match▲Goals scored13/131.08 goals/match

0.85 goals/match▲Goals allowed13/132 goals/match

—Expected goals1/1—

14.2 shots/match▲Shots13/1313.1 shots/match

5.38 shots/match▲Shots on target13/134.23 shots/match

54.6%Possession13/1344%

7.38 corners/matchCorners13/133.92 corners/match

1.5 cards/matchCards12/122.75 cards/match

11.3 fouls/matchFouls13/1311.7 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.88 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples26 / 26home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 14 Mar 2026, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4