Bundesliga · 2025Red Bull Arena

RB Leipzig 2–1 FC Augsburg · Bundesliga

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

RB Leipzig won 2–1.

Shots
1716
Shots on target
85
Expected goals
2.262.88
Possession
62%38%

Full time

What the match recorded

RB Leipzig beat FC Augsburg 2–1. Recorded in this match (RB Leipzig – FC Augsburg): shots 17–16, shots on target 8–5, expected goals 2.26–2.88, possession 62%–38%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

RB Leipzig show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

RB Leipzig's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

16.2 shots/match ▲ShotsRB Leipzig · FC Augsburg13 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricRB LeipzigFC AugsburgBaseline
Shots16.2 shots/match13 shots/match12.8 shots/match
Shots against12 shots/match13.6 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

RB Leipzig have recorded the higher season possession share.

54.2% ●PossessionRB Leipzig · FC Augsburg45.8%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.4 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricRB LeipzigFC AugsburgBaseline
Possession54.2%45.8%47.2%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots16 shotsRB Leipzig 17 shots, FC Augsburg 16 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots5 shotsRB Leipzig 8 shots, FC Augsburg 5 shots
  • Expected goals2.26 xG2.88 xGRB Leipzig 2.26 xG, FC Augsburg 2.88 xG
  • Possession62%38%RB Leipzig 62%, FC Augsburg 38%
  • Corners6 corners8 cornersRB Leipzig 6 corners, FC Augsburg 8 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls9 foulsRB Leipzig 8 fouls, FC Augsburg 9 fouls
  • Yellow cards0 cards2 cardsRB Leipzig 0 cards, FC Augsburg 2 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

David Raum · RB Leipzig · 2′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRodrigo Ribeiro · FC Augsburg · 24′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedYan Diomande · RB Leipzig · 29′ · 0.02 xG · on targetRodrigo Ribeiro · FC Augsburg · 37′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDavid Raum · RB Leipzig · 38′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedYan Diomande · RB Leipzig · 79′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBenjamin Henrichs · RB Leipzig · 84′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDimitrios Giannoulis · FC Augsburg · 88′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedYan Diomande · RB Leipzig · 68′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMert Kömür · FC Augsburg · 19′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDavid Raum · RB Leipzig · 28′ · 0.05 xG · on targetKristijan Jakić · FC Augsburg · 45′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedWilli Orbán · RB Leipzig · 52′ · 0.07 xG · on targetAnton Kade · FC Augsburg · 87′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedChristoph Baumgartner · RB Leipzig · 5′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedHan-Noah Massengo · FC Augsburg · 37′ · 0.08 xG · on targetRodrigo Ribeiro · FC Augsburg · 57′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedArthur Chaves · FC Augsburg · 61′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedCastello Lukeba · RB Leipzig · 66′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedArthur Chaves · RB Leipzig · 90′ · 0.10 xG · goalMarius Wolf · FC Augsburg · 90′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedRômulo · RB Leipzig · 50′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedAnton Kade · FC Augsburg · 60′ · 0.12 xG · on targetRômulo · RB Leipzig · 72′ · 0.16 xG · on targetDimitrios Giannoulis · FC Augsburg · 60′ · 0.17 xG · on targetRômulo · RB Leipzig · 44′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedWilli Orbán · RB Leipzig · 56′ · 0.18 xG · on targetChristoph Baumgartner · RB Leipzig · 50′ · 0.20 xG · on targetFinn Dahmen · FC Augsburg · 90′ · 0.33 xG · off target or blockedYan Diomande · RB Leipzig · 76′ · 0.35 xG · goalRobin Fellhauer · FC Augsburg · 39′ · 0.38 xG · goalConrad Harder · RB Leipzig · 86′ · 0.55 xG · on targetRodrigo Ribeiro · FC Augsburg · 83′ · 0.56 xG · off target or blockedKeven Schlotterbeck · FC Augsburg · 23′ · 0.82 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

RB Leipzig: 18 shots, 9 on target, 2.26 xG. FC Augsburg: 16 shots, 5 on target, 2.97 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Yan Diomande · RB Leipzig · 76′Arthur Chaves · RB Leipzig · 90′Robin Fellhauer · FC Augsburg · 39′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: RB Leipzig 2.26 xG · FC Augsburg 2.97 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3RB Leipzig
2Draws
0FC Augsburg
FC Augsburg — RB Leipzig · Bundesliga0–6
FC Augsburg — RB Leipzig · Bundesliga0–0
RB Leipzig — FC Augsburg · Bundesliga4–0
FC Augsburg — RB Leipzig · Bundesliga2–2
RB Leipzig — FC Augsburg · Bundesliga3–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: RB Leipzig favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · FC Augsburg in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

RB Leipzig25 matchesFC Augsburg25 matches
1.92 goals/match ▲Goals scored25/251.24 goals/match
1.36 goals/match ▲Goals allowed25/251.72 goals/match
1.95 xG/match ▲Expected goals25/251.24 xG/match
16.2 shots/match ▲Shots25/2513 shots/match
5.76 shots/match ▲Shots on target25/254.4 shots/match
54.2% ●Possession25/2545.8%
5.52 corners/match ●Corners25/254.8 corners/match
1.44 cards/matchCards25/252.72 cards/match
9.24 fouls/matchFouls25/2511.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples25 / 25home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 7 Mar 2026, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

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