PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2025Sat, 7 Mar 2026, 14:30 UTCFull timeRed Bull ArenaFull-time recap
2–1Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricRB LeipzigFC Augsburg
Shots17 shots/match▲16 shots/match
Shots on target8 shots/match▲5 shots/match
Possession62%38%
Corners6 corners/match8 corners/match
Fouls8 fouls/match9 fouls/match
Yellow cards0 cards/match▲2 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: RB Leipzig's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: RB Leipzig have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

RB Leipzig show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

RB Leipzig's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

16.1 shots/match▲ShotsRB Leipzig · FC Augsburg13 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricRB LeipzigFC AugsburgBaseline
Shots16.1 shots/match13 shots/match12.8 shots/match
Shots against12 shots/match13.6 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

RB Leipzig have recorded the higher season possession share.

54.1%▲PossessionRB Leipzig · FC Augsburg45.8%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.3 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricRB LeipzigFC AugsburgBaseline
Possession54.1%45.8%47.1%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1RB Leipzig
0Draws
0FC Augsburg
FC Augsburg — RB Leipzig · Bundesliga0–6

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

RB Leipzig favored in 10 of 14 directional metrics · FC Augsburg in 0 · 4 too close

1.92 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 25/251.24 goals/match
1.36 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 25/251.72 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
16.1 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 25/2513 shots/match
12 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 25/2513.6 shots/match
5.76 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 25/254.4 shots/match
3.96 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 25/254.6 shots/match
54.1%Possessionseason · 25/2545.8%
5.52 corners/matchCornersseason · 25/254.8 corners/match
4.52 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 25/255.08 corners/match
1.44 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 25/252.72 cards/match
9.24 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 25/2511.9 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
36%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 25/2520%
92%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 25/2572%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

RB Leipzig75
FC Augsburg25
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

RB Leipzig81.5
FC Augsburg51.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

RB Leipzig79.6
FC Augsburg45.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

RB Leipzig91.7
FC Augsburg86.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

RB Leipzig11.1
FC Augsburg88.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

RB Leipzig91.7
FC Augsburg52.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

RB Leipzig72.2
FC Augsburg61.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
2 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51.4 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1.2 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
16.4 shots/match▲Shots5/514.2 shots/match
6 shots/match▲Shots on target5/55 shots/match
59.4%Possession5/548.8%
6 corners/matchCorners5/56.4 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards5/52.6 cards/match
10 fouls/matchFouls5/511.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.8 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101.4 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.5 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
15.8 shots/match▲Shots10/1013.8 shots/match
5.8 shots/match▲Shots on target10/104.9 shots/match
60.1%Possession10/1045.9%
5 corners/matchCorners10/105.4 corners/match
1.2 cards/matchCards10/102.2 cards/match
9 fouls/matchFouls10/1010.8 fouls/match

Window

Season

25 / 25 matches
1.92 goals/match▲Goals scored25/251.24 goals/match
1.36 goals/match▲Goals allowed25/251.72 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
16.1 shots/match▲Shots25/2513 shots/match
5.76 shots/match▲Shots on target25/254.4 shots/match
54.1%Possession25/2545.8%
5.52 corners/matchCorners25/254.8 corners/match
1.44 cards/matchCards25/252.72 cards/match
9.24 fouls/matchFouls25/2511.9 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

13 / 12 matches
2.23 goals/match▲Goals scored13/121.17 goals/match
1.38 goals/match▲Goals allowed13/122 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
17.2 shots/match▲Shots13/1213.6 shots/match
6.85 shots/match▲Shots on target13/124.33 shots/match
54.7%Possession13/1244.4%
5.77 corners/matchCorners13/124.08 corners/match
1.15 cards/matchCards13/122.75 cards/match
8.46 fouls/matchFouls13/1212.1 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

5.83 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.79 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples25 / 25home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 7 Mar 2026, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsRB LeipzigFC Augsburg
CompetitionBundesliga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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