Bundesliga · 2025BayArena

Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1–1 FC Bayern München · Bundesliga

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Bayer 04 Leverkusen and FC Bayern München drew 1–1.

Shots
2011
Shots on target
65
Expected goals
2.591.29
Possession
45%55%

Full time

What the match recorded

Bayer Leverkusen and Bayern München drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Bayer Leverkusen – Bayern München): shots 20–11, shots on target 6–5, expected goals 2.59–1.29, possession 45%–55%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Bayer Leverkusen's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Bayer Leverkusen's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.88 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1.88 goals/match1.35 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Bayern München show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Bayern München's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.1 shots/match ▲ShotsBayer Leverkusen · Bayern München18.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBayer LeverkusenBayern MünchenBaseline
Shots14.1 shots/match18.6 shots/match12.6 shots/match
Shots against12 shots/match10.2 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Bayer Leverkusen.

7 days ▲Rest daysBayer Leverkusen · Bayern München7.79 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricBayer LeverkusenBayern MünchenBaseline
Rest days7 days7.79 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots20 shots11 shotsBayer 04 Leverkusen 20 shots, FC Bayern München 11 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots5 shotsBayer 04 Leverkusen 6 shots, FC Bayern München 5 shots
  • Expected goals2.59 xG1.29 xGBayer 04 Leverkusen 2.59 xG, FC Bayern München 1.29 xG
  • Possession45%55%Bayer 04 Leverkusen 45%, FC Bayern München 55%
  • Corners4 corners1 cornerBayer 04 Leverkusen 4 corners, FC Bayern München 1 corner
  • Fouls12 fouls13 foulsBayer 04 Leverkusen 12 fouls, FC Bayern München 13 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards4 cardsBayer 04 Leverkusen 3 cards, FC Bayern München 4 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Ibrahim Maza · Bayer Leverkusen · 51′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedHarry Kane · Bayern München · 71′ · 0.01 xG · on targetPatrik Schick · Bayer Leverkusen · 54′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIbrahim Maza · Bayer Leverkusen · 83′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMalik Tillman · Bayer Leverkusen · 45′ · 0.03 xG · on targetLuis Díaz · Bayern München · 58′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedEzequiel Fernández · Bayer Leverkusen · 78′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJarell Quansah · Bayer Leverkusen · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMichael Olise · Bayern München · 71′ · 0.04 xG · on targetJarell Quansah · Bayer Leverkusen · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedExequiel Palacios · Bayer Leverkusen · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLuis Díaz · Bayern München · 24′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedErnest Poku · Bayer Leverkusen · 66′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedEzequiel Fernández · Bayer Leverkusen · 67′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJosip Stanišić · Bayern München · 87′ · 0.05 xG · on targetChristian Kofane · Bayer Leverkusen · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedNicolas Jackson · Bayern München · 9′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMalik Tillman · Bayer Leverkusen · 90′ · 0.06 xG · on targetIbrahim Maza · Bayer Leverkusen · 90′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedLennart Karl · Bayern München · 22′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedMontrell Culbreath · Bayer Leverkusen · 31′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedLuis Díaz · Bayern München · 53′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedAleix García · Bayer Leverkusen · 6′ · 0.12 xG · goalIbrahim Maza · Bayer Leverkusen · 90′ · 0.13 xG · on targetMichael Olise · Bayern München · 73′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedNicolas Jackson · Bayern München · 24′ · 0.18 xG · on targetIbrahim Maza · Bayer Leverkusen · 86′ · 0.24 xG · on targetMalik Tillman · Bayer Leverkusen · 58′ · 0.38 xG · off target or blockedPatrik Schick · Bayer Leverkusen · 59′ · 0.40 xG · on targetLuis Díaz · Bayern München · 69′ · 0.49 xG · goalJarell Quansah · Bayer Leverkusen · 86′ · 0.85 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Bayer Leverkusen: 20 shots, 6 on target, 2.72 xG. Bayern München: 11 shots, 5 on target, 1.24 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Aleix García · Bayer Leverkusen · 6′Luis Díaz · Bayern München · 69′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Bayer Leverkusen 2.72 xG · Bayern München 1.24 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Bayer 04 Leverkusen
2Draws
3FC Bayern München
FC Bayern München — Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Bundesliga3–0
Bayer 04 Leverkusen — FC Bayern München · UEFA Champions League0–2
FC Bayern München — Bayer 04 Leverkusen · UEFA Champions League3–0
Bayer 04 Leverkusen — FC Bayern München · Bundesliga0–0
FC Bayern München — Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Bundesliga1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Bayer 04 Leverkusen favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · FC Bayern München in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Bayer 04 Leverkusen26 matchesFC Bayern München26 matches
1.88 goals/matchGoals scored26/26▲ 3.58 goals/match
1.27 goals/matchGoals allowed26/26▲ 0.96 goals/match
1.71 xG/matchExpected goals26/26▲ 2.85 xG/match
14.1 shots/matchShots26/26▲ 18.6 shots/match
4.62 shots/matchShots on target26/26▲ 8.65 shots/match
59.3%Possession26/26● 66.3%
5.04 corners/matchCorners26/26● 6 corners/match
2.31 cards/matchCards26/261.85 cards/match
8.96 fouls/matchFouls26/269.19 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples26 / 26home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 14 Mar 2026, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

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