UEFA Champions League · 2025Wed, 11 Mar 2026, 17:45 UTCFull timeBayArenaFull-time recap

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

DLWWD

1–1Full-time recap

Arsenal

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This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	Arsenal
Shots	10 shots/match▲	6 shots/match
Shots on target	3 shots/match▲	2 shots/match
Expected goals	0.88 xG/match	1.65 xG/match▲
Possession	45%	55%
Corners	2 corners/match	3 corners/match
Fouls	9 fouls/match	10 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Bayer 04 Leverkusen: 10 shots, 3 on target, 0.83 xG. Arsenal: 6 shots, 2 on target, 1.65 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Bayer 04 Leverkusen 0.83 xG · Arsenal 1.65 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Bayer 04 Leverkusen's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Bayer 04 Leverkusen's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen's recent record differs from the season

weak

Bayer 04 Leverkusen's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.45 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.2 goals/match	1.45 goals/match	1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Bayer 04 Leverkusen's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11.2 shots/match▲ShotsBayer 04 Leverkusen · Arsenal15.6 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	Arsenal	Baseline
Shots	11.2 shots/match	15.6 shots/match	13.5 shots/match
Shots against	12 shots/match	11 shots/match	13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Bayer 04 Leverkusen favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Arsenal in 11 · 3 too close

1.45 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 11/9▲2.67 goals/match

1.36 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 11/9▲0.56 goals/match

1.45 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 11/9▲2.41 xG/match

1.32 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 11/9▲0.78 xG/match

11.2 shots/matchShotsseason · 11/9▲15.6 shots/match

12 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 11/9▲11 shots/match

4.09 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 11/9▲7.22 shots/match

3.82 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 11/9▲2.78 shots/match

51.7%Possessionseason · 11/954.7%

4.36 corners/matchCornersseason · 11/95.22 corners/match

4.27 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 11/9▲2.56 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

8.64 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 11/912.1 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

45%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 11/9▲56%

82%Scoring frequencyseason · 11/9▲100%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen63.1

Arsenal78.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen36.3

Arsenal86.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen68.8

Arsenal90.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen15.5

Arsenal56

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen8.3

Arsenal65.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen41.7

Arsenal65.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen28.3

Arsenal73.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲2.6 goals/match

0.6 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51 goals/match

1.58 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲2.7 xG/match

11.4 shots/matchShots5/5▲16 shots/match

4.4 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲7.6 shots/match

57.4%Possession5/552.2%

4.2 corners/matchCorners5/56.4 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

8 fouls/matchFouls5/513.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 9 matches

1.4 goals/matchGoals scored10/9▲2.67 goals/match

1.3 goals/matchGoals allowed10/9▲0.56 goals/match

1.48 xG/matchExpected goals10/9▲2.41 xG/match

10.8 shots/matchShots10/9▲15.6 shots/match

4.1 shots/matchShots on target10/9▲7.22 shots/match

50.5%Possession10/954.7%

4.3 corners/matchCorners10/95.22 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

8.2 fouls/matchFouls10/912.1 fouls/match

Window

Season

11 / 9 matches

1.45 goals/matchGoals scored11/9▲2.67 goals/match

1.36 goals/matchGoals allowed11/9▲0.56 goals/match

1.45 xG/matchExpected goals11/9▲2.41 xG/match

11.2 shots/matchShots11/9▲15.6 shots/match

4.09 shots/matchShots on target11/9▲7.22 shots/match

51.7%Possession11/954.7%

4.36 corners/matchCorners11/95.22 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

8.64 fouls/matchFouls11/912.1 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

6 / 5 matches

1.5 goals/matchGoals scored6/5▲2.4 goals/match

1.83 goals/matchGoals allowed6/5▲0.4 goals/match

1.53 xG/matchExpected goals6/5▲1.96 xG/match

11.5 shots/matchShots6/5▲13.6 shots/match

4.17 shots/matchShots on target6/5▲6.6 shots/match

47.2%Possession6/554.8%

4.83 corners/matchCorners6/54.8 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

7.83 fouls/matchFouls6/510.2 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

14.9 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/141.9 days

0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples11 / 9home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.

Analysis cutoff: Wed, 11 Mar 2026, 21:45 UTC · analysis-v4