Premier League · 2025Sat, 14 Mar 2026, 17:30 UTCFull timeEmirates StadiumFull-time recap

Arsenal

DDWWW
20Full-time recap

Everton

WLLWW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricArsenalEverton
Shots25 shots/match9 shots/match
Shots on target7 shots/match3 shots/match
Expected goals2.59 xG/match1.05 xG/match
Possession65%35%
Corners8 corners/match3 corners/match
Fouls11 fouls/match12 fouls/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Everton's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Arsenal have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Everton show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Everton's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

14.6 shots/matchShotsArsenal · Everton11 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricArsenalEvertonBaseline
Shots14.6 shots/match11 shots/match12.6 shots/match
Shots against7.81 shots/match13.6 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Arsenal have recorded the higher season possession share.

56.7%PossessionArsenal · Everton43.8%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 12.9 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricArsenalEvertonBaseline
Possession56.7%43.8%50.1%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Arsenal
0Draws
0Everton
EvertonArsenal · Premier League01

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Arsenal favored in 10 of 14 directional metrics · Everton in 0 · 4 too close

1.97 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 31/301.13 goals/match
0.71 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 31/301.17 goals/match
Expected goalsseason · 1/1
Expected goals allowedseason · 1/1
14.6 shots/matchShotsseason · 31/3011 shots/match
7.81 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 31/3013.6 shots/match
4.94 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 31/303.4 shots/match
2.32 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 31/304.13 shots/match
56.7%Possessionseason · 31/3043.8%
5.84 corners/matchCornersseason · 31/304.4 corners/match
3.26 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 31/305.07 corners/match
1.33 cards/matchCardsseason · 30/292.03 cards/match
10.2 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 31/3010.6 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
48%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 31/3033%
90%Scoring frequencyseason · 31/3070%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Arsenal82.5
Everton22.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Arsenal87.5
Everton23.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Arsenal97.5
Everton52.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Arsenal72.5
Everton62.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Arsenal20
Everton52.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 98%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Arsenal82.5
Everton22.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Arsenal72.5
Everton29.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
2.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.2 goals/match
0.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.4 goals/match
Expected goals1/1
14.8 shots/matchShots5/512 shots/match
5 shots/matchShots on target5/54.6 shots/match
52.8%Possession5/545%
4.8 corners/matchCorners5/55.6 corners/match
1 cards/matchCards4/41.75 cards/match
10.6 fouls/matchFouls5/511 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
2.1 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.2 goals/match
0.8 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.1 goals/match
Expected goals1/1
14.1 shots/matchShots10/1011.5 shots/match
4.7 shots/matchShots on target10/103.8 shots/match
53.8%Possession10/1045.6%
6.3 corners/matchCorners10/104.6 corners/match
1.22 cards/matchCards9/92.33 cards/match
10.7 fouls/matchFouls10/1011.6 fouls/match

Window

Season

31 / 30 matches
1.97 goals/matchGoals scored31/301.13 goals/match
0.71 goals/matchGoals allowed31/301.17 goals/match
Expected goals1/1
14.6 shots/matchShots31/3011 shots/match
4.94 shots/matchShots on target31/303.4 shots/match
56.7%Possession31/3043.8%
5.84 corners/matchCorners31/304.4 corners/match
1.33 cards/matchCards30/292.03 cards/match
10.2 fouls/matchFouls31/3010.6 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

15 / 15 matches
2.33 goals/matchGoals scored15/151.07 goals/match
0.6 goals/matchGoals allowed15/151.07 goals/match
Expected goals1/1
16.5 shots/matchShots15/159.47 shots/match
5.07 shots/matchShots on target15/152.87 shots/match
57.5%Possession15/1539.2%
5.93 corners/matchCorners15/153.33 corners/match
0.93 cards/matchCards14/142 cards/match
10.1 fouls/matchFouls15/1510.9 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

9.92 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/110.9 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples31 / 30home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 14 Mar 2026, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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