Premier League · 2025Sat, 14 Mar 2026, 17:30 UTCFull timeStamford BridgeFull-time recap

Chelsea

WDDLW

0–1Full-time recap

Newcastle

LWLLW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Chelsea	Newcastle
Shots	22 shots/match▲	7 shots/match
Shots on target	3 shots/match	5 shots/match▲
Expected goals	1.43 xG/match▲	1.42 xG/match
Possession	67%	33%
Corners	8 corners/match	1 corners/match
Fouls	9 fouls/match	10 fouls/match
Yellow cards	2 cards/match	2 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

6.13 corners/match▲CornersChelsea · Newcastle6.5 corners/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

Metric	Chelsea	Newcastle	Baseline
Corners	6.13 corners/match	6.5 corners/match	4.98 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Chelsea

1Draws

0Newcastle

20 Dec 2025Newcastle — Chelsea · Premier League2–2

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Chelsea favored in 8 of 14 directional metrics · Newcastle in 1 · 5 too close

1.77 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 30/301.43 goals/match

1.17 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 30/301.43 goals/match

—Expected goalsseason · 1/1—

—Expected goals allowedseason · 1/1—

13.8 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 30/3013.1 shots/match

10.8 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 30/3011.8 shots/match

4.7 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 30/304.73 shots/match

3.9 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 30/304.17 shots/match

58.9%Possessionseason · 30/3052.5%

6.13 corners/matchCornersseason · 30/306.5 corners/match

4.17 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 30/305.03 corners/match

2.76 cards/matchCardsseason · 29/29▲1.86 cards/match

11.1 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 30/309.9 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

30%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 30/3027%

90%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 30/3077%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Chelsea87.5

Newcastle62.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Chelsea77.5

Newcastle69.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Chelsea80

Newcastle50.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Chelsea27.5

Newcastle57.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Chelsea81.2

Newcastle27.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 98%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Chelsea92.5

Newcastle97.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Chelsea76.2

Newcastle63.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.6 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.6 goals/match

1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.4 goals/match

—Expected goals1/1—

15.4 shots/match▲Shots5/514 shots/match

4 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲5.8 shots/match

63.2%Possession5/547.2%

7.8 corners/matchCorners5/55.4 corners/match

4.25 cards/matchCards4/43.5 cards/match

10.8 fouls/matchFouls5/512.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

2 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101.5 goals/match

1.3 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.9 goals/match

—Expected goals1/1—

13.6 shots/matchShots10/1013.9 shots/match

4.6 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲4.9 shots/match

60.1%Possession10/1052.7%

7.1 corners/matchCorners10/106.8 corners/match

3.33 cards/matchCards9/92.78 cards/match

9.8 fouls/matchFouls10/1011.1 fouls/match

Window

Season

30 / 30 matches

1.77 goals/match▲Goals scored30/301.43 goals/match

1.17 goals/match▲Goals allowed30/301.43 goals/match

—Expected goals1/1—

13.8 shots/match▲Shots30/3013.1 shots/match

4.7 shots/matchShots on target30/304.73 shots/match

58.9%Possession30/3052.5%

6.13 corners/matchCorners30/306.5 corners/match

2.76 cards/matchCards29/291.86 cards/match

11.1 fouls/matchFouls30/309.9 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

15 / 15 matches

1.53 goals/match▲Goals scored15/151 goals/match

1.13 goals/match▲Goals allowed15/151.27 goals/match

—Expected goals1/1—

15 shots/match▲Shots15/1511.8 shots/match

4.33 shots/match▲Shots on target15/153.8 shots/match

60.9%Possession15/1552.7%

7.07 corners/matchCorners15/155.93 corners/match

2.43 cards/matchCards14/142 cards/match

10.7 fouls/matchFouls15/158.53 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

9.92 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/19.89 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples30 / 30home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 14 Mar 2026, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Create a graphic from this match

Match statistics

What the record shows

Both teams have elevated corners records

Head-to-head

Values, percentiles and samples

How the teams compare

Possession control

Attacking volume

Defensive resistance

Directness proxy

Physicality

Set-piece relevance

Tempo and pressure proxy

Season, last 10 and last 5

Last 5

Last 10

Season

Home and away samples

Home team at home / away team away

Rest and recent workload

How much supports this analysis

Known unknowns

Related matches

Make a graphic from this match