PitchMath
Premier League · 2025Stamford Bridge

Chelsea 0–1 Newcastle United · Premier League

Chelsea

WDDLW
0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Newcastle United won 0–1.

Shots
227
Shots on target
35
Expected goals
1.431.42
Possession
67%33%

Full time

What the match recorded

Newcastle beat Chelsea 1–0. Recorded in this match (Chelsea – Newcastle): shots 22–7, shots on target 3–5, expected goals 1.43–1.42, possession 67%–33%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

6.13 corners/matchCornersChelsea · Newcastle● 6.5 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricChelseaNewcastleBaseline
Corners6.13 corners/match6.5 corners/match4.98 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots22 shots7 shotsChelsea 22 shots, Newcastle United 7 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots5 shotsChelsea 3 shots, Newcastle United 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.43 xG1.42 xGChelsea 1.43 xG, Newcastle United 1.42 xG
  • Possession67%33%Chelsea 67%, Newcastle United 33%
  • Corners8 corners1 cornerChelsea 8 corners, Newcastle United 1 corner
  • Fouls9 fouls10 foulsChelsea 9 fouls, Newcastle United 10 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards2 cardsChelsea 2 cards, Newcastle United 2 cards

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Chelsea
1Draws
2Newcastle United
Newcastle United — Chelsea · Premier League2–2
Newcastle United — Chelsea · Premier League2–0
Chelsea — Newcastle United · Premier League2–1
Chelsea — Newcastle United · Premier League3–2
Newcastle United — Chelsea · Premier League4–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Chelsea favored in 8 of 9 directional metrics · Newcastle United in 0 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Chelsea30 matchesNewcastle United30 matches
1.77 goals/match ▲Goals scored30/301.43 goals/match
1.17 goals/match ▲Goals allowed30/301.43 goals/match
13.8 shots/match ▲Shots30/3013.1 shots/match
4.7 shots/matchShots on target30/304.73 shots/match
58.9% ●Possession30/3052.5%
6.13 corners/matchCorners30/30● 6.5 corners/match
2.76 cards/matchCards29/291.86 cards/match
11.1 fouls/matchFouls30/309.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples30 / 30home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 14 Mar 2026, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsChelseaNewcastle United
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2025/26
Head-to-headChelsea — Newcastle United
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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