UEFA Champions League · 2025Tue, 10 Mar 2026, 20:00 UTCFull timeSt James' ParkFull-time recap

Newcastle United

DWDWW

1–1Full-time recap

Barcelona

DLWWW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Newcastle United	Barcelona
Shots	16 shots/match▲	9 shots/match
Shots on target	4 shots/match▲	2 shots/match
Expected goals	1.37 xG/match	1.42 xG/match▲
Possession	46%	54%
Corners	9 corners/match	4 corners/match
Fouls	14 fouls/match	9 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Newcastle United: 16 shots, 4 on target, 1.36 xG. Barcelona: 9 shots, 2 on target, 1.44 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Newcastle United 1.36 xG · Barcelona 1.44 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Barcelona's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Barcelona have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Barcelona show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Barcelona's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.6 shots/match▲ShotsNewcastle United · Barcelona16.6 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Newcastle United	Barcelona	Baseline
Shots	14.6 shots/match	16.6 shots/match	13.7 shots/match
Shots against	13.7 shots/match	10.6 shots/match	13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Barcelona have recorded the higher season possession share.

50.2%▲PossessionNewcastle United · Barcelona63.2%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 13.0 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Newcastle United	Barcelona	Baseline
Possession	50.2%	63.2%	50%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Newcastle United

0Draws

2Barcelona

18 Sept 2025Newcastle — Barcelona · UEFA Champions League1–2

18 Sept 2025Newcastle United — Barcelona · UEFA Champions League1–2

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Newcastle United favored in 6 of 14 directional metrics · Barcelona in 4 · 4 too close

2.45 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 11/92.56 goals/match

1 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 11/91.67 goals/match

2.27 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 11/91.74 xG/match

1.13 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 11/91.37 xG/match

14.6 shots/matchShotsseason · 11/9▲16.6 shots/match

13.7 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 11/9▲10.6 shots/match

6.73 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 11/96.33 shots/match

4.55 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 11/9▲4.22 shots/match

50.2%Possessionseason · 11/963.2%

5.82 corners/matchCornersseason · 11/94.56 corners/match

6.18 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 11/9▲4 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

9.36 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 11/910.1 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

36%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 11/90%

100%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 11/989%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Newcastle United52.4

Barcelona96.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Newcastle United78.8

Barcelona83.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Newcastle United62.6

Barcelona61.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Newcastle United60.7

Barcelona44

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Newcastle United15.5

Barcelona22.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Newcastle United75

Barcelona48.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Newcastle United59.5

Barcelona57.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

2.8 goals/match▲Goals scored5/52.2 goals/match

1 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.6 goals/match

2.65 xG/match▲Expected goals5/51.64 xG/match

15.6 shots/matchShots5/516.2 shots/match

6.8 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲7.2 shots/match

51.4%Possession5/561.8%

5.6 corners/matchCorners5/54.6 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

9.2 fouls/matchFouls5/510.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 9 matches

2.6 goals/matchGoals scored10/92.56 goals/match

0.9 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/91.67 goals/match

2.35 xG/match▲Expected goals10/91.74 xG/match

15.1 shots/matchShots10/9▲16.6 shots/match

6.8 shots/match▲Shots on target10/96.33 shots/match

51.6%Possession10/963.2%

5.8 corners/matchCorners10/94.56 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

9.2 fouls/matchFouls10/910.1 fouls/match

Window

Season

11 / 9 matches

2.45 goals/matchGoals scored11/92.56 goals/match

1 goals/match▲Goals allowed11/91.67 goals/match

2.27 xG/match▲Expected goals11/91.74 xG/match

14.6 shots/matchShots11/9▲16.6 shots/match

6.73 shots/match▲Shots on target11/96.33 shots/match

50.2%Possession11/963.2%

5.82 corners/matchCorners11/94.56 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

9.36 fouls/matchFouls11/910.1 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

6 / 5 matches

2.17 goals/match▲Goals scored6/52 goals/match

0.83 goals/match▲Goals allowed6/52 goals/match

2.02 xG/match▲Expected goals6/51.47 xG/match

13.8 shots/matchShots6/5▲15.2 shots/match

6 shots/match▲Shots on target6/55.4 shots/match

52.2%Possession6/559.4%

6.83 corners/matchCorners6/53 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11 fouls/matchFouls6/510 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

14 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/141 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples11 / 9home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.

Analysis cutoff: Wed, 11 Mar 2026, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4