PitchMath
La Liga · 2025San Mamés

Athletic Club 0–1 Barcelona · La Liga

0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Barcelona won 0–1.

Shots
107
Shots on target
32
Expected goals
0.860.45
Possession
30%70%

Full time

What the match recorded

Barcelona beat Athletic Club 1–0. Recorded in this match (Athletic Club – Barcelona): shots 10–7, shots on target 3–2, expected goals 0.86–0.45, possession 30%–70%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Athletic Club's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Athletic Club's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.11 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.11 goals/match1.23 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Barcelona show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Barcelona's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.1 shots/match ▲ShotsAthletic Club · Barcelona20.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAthletic ClubBarcelonaBaseline
Shots14.1 shots/match20.1 shots/match11.6 shots/match
Shots against9.41 shots/match9.33 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Barcelona have recorded the higher season possession share.

48.9%PossessionAthletic Club · Barcelona● 69.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 20.4 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricAthletic ClubBarcelonaBaseline
Possession48.9%69.3%49.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots7 shotsAthletic Club 10 shots, Barcelona 7 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots2 shotsAthletic Club 3 shots, Barcelona 2 shots
  • Expected goals0.86 xG0.45 xGAthletic Club 0.86 xG, Barcelona 0.45 xG
  • Possession30%70%Athletic Club 30%, Barcelona 70%
  • Corners2 corners4 cornersAthletic Club 2 corners, Barcelona 4 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls9 foulsAthletic Club 11 fouls, Barcelona 9 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards1 cardAthletic Club 2 cards, Barcelona 1 card

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Dani Vivian · Athletic Club · 73′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedFerran Torres · Barcelona · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedOihan Sancet · Athletic Club · 89′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJoão Cancelo · Barcelona · 6′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPau Cubarsí · Barcelona · 49′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMikel Jauregizar · Athletic Club · 20′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedUnai Gómez · Athletic Club · 3′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMarcus Rashford · Barcelona · 47′ · 0.05 xG · on targetDani Olmo · Barcelona · 56′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedOihan Sancet · Athletic Club · 53′ · 0.07 xG · on targetIñaki Williams · Athletic Club · 3′ · 0.08 xG · on targetRobert Navarro · Athletic Club · 90′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedLamine Yamal · Barcelona · 68′ · 0.10 xG · goalGorka Guruzeta · Athletic Club · 90′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedIñaki Williams · Athletic Club · 58′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedRobert Lewandowski · Barcelona · 67′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedOihan Sancet · Athletic Club · 58′ · 0.27 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Athletic Club: 10 shots, 3 on target, 0.89 xG. Barcelona: 7 shots, 2 on target, 0.46 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Lamine Yamal · Barcelona · 68′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Athletic Club 0.89 xG · Barcelona 0.46 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Athletic Club
1Draws
4Barcelona
Barcelona — Athletic Club · La Liga4–0
Athletic Club — Barcelona · La Liga0–3
Barcelona — Athletic Club · La Liga2–1
Athletic Club — Barcelona · La Liga0–0
Barcelona — Athletic Club · La Liga1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Athletic Club favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Barcelona in 8 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Athletic Club27 matchesBarcelona27 matches
1.11 goals/matchGoals scored27/27▲ 2.67 goals/match
1.37 goals/matchGoals allowed27/27▲ 0.96 goals/match
1.42 xG/matchExpected goals27/27▲ 2.49 xG/match
14.1 shots/matchShots27/27▲ 20.1 shots/match
4.48 shots/matchShots on target27/27▲ 7.26 shots/match
48.9%Possession27/27● 69.3%
5.26 corners/matchCorners27/27● 7.41 corners/match
2.48 cards/matchCards27/271.67 cards/match
13.8 fouls/matchFouls27/279.26 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples27 / 27home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 8 Mar 2026, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAthletic ClubBarcelona
CompetitionLa LigaLa Liga 2025/26
Head-to-headAthletic Club — Barcelona
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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