La Liga · 2025Sat, 14 Mar 2026, 13:00 UTCFull timeEstadio Municipal de MontiliviFull-time recap

Girona

DWDLD

3–0Full-time recap

Athletic Club

WWWDL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Girona	Athletic Club
Shots	14 shots/match	20 shots/match▲
Shots on target	6 shots/match	9 shots/match▲
Expected goals	1.3 xG/match	1.76 xG/match▲
Possession	47%	53%
Corners	2 corners/match	9 corners/match
Fouls	8 fouls/match	16 fouls/match
Yellow cards	0 cards/match▲	2 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Girona's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Athletic Club's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Girona's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Girona's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.11 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.8 goals/match	1.11 goals/match	1.22 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Athletic Club show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Athletic Club's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

10.6 shots/match▲ShotsGirona · Athletic Club14.3 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Girona	Athletic Club	Baseline
Shots	10.6 shots/match	14.3 shots/match	11.6 shots/match
Shots against	15.4 shots/match	9.57 shots/match	12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Girona

1Draws

0Athletic Club

23 Sept 2025Athletic Club — Girona · La Liga1–1

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Girona favored in 1 of 14 directional metrics · Athletic Club in 6 · 7 too close

1.11 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 28/281.07 goals/match

1.54 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 28/28▲1.43 goals/match

—Expected goalsseason · 1/1—

—Expected goals allowedseason · 1/1—

10.6 shots/matchShotsseason · 28/28▲14.3 shots/match

15.4 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 28/28▲9.57 shots/match

4.14 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 28/28▲4.64 shots/match

4.89 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 28/28▲4.18 shots/match

49.7%Possessionseason · 28/2849%

4.14 corners/matchCornersseason · 28/285.39 corners/match

5.29 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 28/28▲3.86 corners/match

2.56 cards/matchCardsseason · 27/272.48 cards/match

10.8 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 28/2813.9 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

18%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 28/2818%

75%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 28/2864%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Girona47.5

Athletic Club37.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Girona32.5

Athletic Club59.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Girona17.5

Athletic Club62.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Girona12.5

Athletic Club87.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Girona45

Athletic Club70

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 98%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Girona32.5

Athletic Club72.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Girona28.8

Athletic Club76.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.8 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51 goals/match

1.2 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.4 goals/match

—Expected goals1/1—

14.8 shots/match▲Shots5/513.8 shots/match

6.4 shots/match▲Shots on target5/55.2 shots/match

51%Possession5/545%

4.8 corners/matchCorners5/54.4 corners/match

2 cards/matchCards4/42.75 cards/match

8.4 fouls/matchFouls5/516.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1.4 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.4 goals/match

0.9 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.6 goals/match

—Expected goals1/1—

12.5 shots/matchShots10/10▲16.2 shots/match

5.1 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲5.7 shots/match

53.6%Possession10/1048.5%

4.4 corners/matchCorners10/105.3 corners/match

2.78 cards/matchCards9/93.11 cards/match

11.5 fouls/matchFouls10/1015.4 fouls/match

Window

Season

28 / 28 matches

1.11 goals/matchGoals scored28/281.07 goals/match

1.54 goals/matchGoals allowed28/28▲1.43 goals/match

—Expected goals1/1—

10.6 shots/matchShots28/28▲14.3 shots/match

4.14 shots/matchShots on target28/28▲4.64 shots/match

49.7%Possession28/2849%

4.14 corners/matchCorners28/285.39 corners/match

2.56 cards/matchCards27/272.48 cards/match

10.8 fouls/matchFouls28/2813.9 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

14 / 14 matches

1.14 goals/match▲Goals scored14/140.93 goals/match

1.5 goals/match▲Goals allowed14/141.71 goals/match

—Expected goals1/1—

10.6 shots/matchShots14/14▲13.6 shots/match

4.21 shots/matchShots on target14/14▲4.5 shots/match

49.9%Possession14/1447.8%

4.86 corners/matchCorners14/145.36 corners/match

2.69 cards/matchCards13/132.85 cards/match

9.86 fouls/matchFouls14/1414 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.91 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.71 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples28 / 28home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 14 Mar 2026, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4