PitchMath
La Liga · 2025Sat, 14 Mar 2026, 15:15 UTCFull timeMetropolitano StadiumFull-time recap
1–0Full-time recap

Getafe

WWLWW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricAtletico MadridGetafe
Shots16 shots/match▲7 shots/match
Shots on target5 shots/match▲3 shots/match
Expected goals1.49 xG/match▲1.21 xG/match
Possession66%34%
Corners10 corners/match3 corners/match
Fouls9 fouls/match10 fouls/match
Yellow cards3 cards/match3 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Getafe's last-five shots average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Atletico Madrid's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Getafe's recent record differs from the season

weak

Getafe's last-five shots average is below their season average.

7.2 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season9.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots7.2 shots/match9.5 shots/match11.6 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Atletico Madrid have a visible home split

moderate

Atletico Madrid's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16.3 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season13.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots16.3 shots/match13.7 shots/match11.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Getafe show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Getafe's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

13.7 shots/match▲ShotsAtletico Madrid · Getafe9.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAtletico MadridGetafeBaseline
Shots13.7 shots/match9.5 shots/match11.6 shots/match
Shots against10.3 shots/match10.8 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Atletico Madrid
0Draws
0Getafe
Getafe — Atletico Madrid · La Liga0–1

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Atletico Madrid favored in 9 of 14 directional metrics · Getafe in 0 · 5 too close

1.68 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 28/280.82 goals/match
0.89 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 28/281.07 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 1/1—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 1/1—
13.7 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 28/289.5 shots/match
10.3 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 28/2810.8 shots/match
5.5 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 28/282.82 shots/match
3.11 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 28/284.14 shots/match
55.4%Possessionseason · 28/2840%
6.89 corners/matchCornersseason · 28/284.32 corners/match
3.75 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 28/284.68 corners/match
1.89 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 28/282.89 cards/match
11 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 28/2814.8 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
43%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 28/2829%
86%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 28/2857%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Atletico Madrid82.5
Getafe2.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Atletico Madrid82.5
Getafe4.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Atletico Madrid89.2
Getafe70.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Atletico Madrid47.5
Getafe42.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Atletico Madrid17.5
Getafe87.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Atletico Madrid92.5
Getafe42.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Atletico Madrid70
Getafe33.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.8 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲0.6 goals/match
—Expected goals1/1—
15.8 shots/match▲Shots5/57.2 shots/match
5.4 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53.2 shots/match
60%Possession5/532.2%
6.8 corners/matchCorners5/52.6 corners/match
1.8 cards/matchCards5/53.6 cards/match
8.4 fouls/matchFouls5/514.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.4 goals/match▲Goals scored10/100.9 goals/match
0.9 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲0.7 goals/match
—Expected goals1/1—
14.9 shots/match▲Shots10/109 shots/match
5.2 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103.1 shots/match
59%Possession10/1036.8%
7 corners/matchCorners10/103.6 corners/match
1.8 cards/matchCards10/103 cards/match
10.2 fouls/matchFouls10/1014.8 fouls/match

Window

Season

28 / 28 matches
1.68 goals/match▲Goals scored28/280.82 goals/match
0.89 goals/match▲Goals allowed28/281.07 goals/match
—Expected goals1/1—
13.7 shots/match▲Shots28/289.5 shots/match
5.5 shots/match▲Shots on target28/282.82 shots/match
55.4%Possession28/2840%
6.89 corners/matchCorners28/284.32 corners/match
1.89 cards/matchCards28/282.89 cards/match
11 fouls/matchFouls28/2814.8 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

15 / 14 matches
2.27 goals/match▲Goals scored15/140.79 goals/match
0.8 goals/match▲Goals allowed15/141.36 goals/match
—Expected goals1/1—
16.3 shots/match▲Shots15/149.64 shots/match
7 shots/match▲Shots on target15/142.86 shots/match
56.9%Possession15/1438.3%
8.33 corners/matchCorners15/144.36 corners/match
1.8 cards/matchCards15/143.21 cards/match
9.93 fouls/matchFouls15/1414.2 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.91 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples28 / 28home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 14 Mar 2026, 19:15 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsAtletico MadridGetafe
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Create a graphic from this match