UEFA Champions League · 2025Tue, 10 Mar 2026, 20:00 UTCFull timeCívitas MetropolitanoFull-time recap

Atlético Madrid

WDLDW

5–2Full-time recap

Tottenham Hotspur

WLWWW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Atlético Madrid	Tottenham Hotspur
Shots	11 shots/match	11 shots/match
Shots on target	7 shots/match▲	5 shots/match
Expected goals	3.12 xG/match▲	1.41 xG/match
Possession	58%	42%
Corners	4 corners/match	2 corners/match
Fouls	15 fouls/match	12 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Atlético Madrid: 11 shots, 7 on target, 3.08 xG. Tottenham Hotspur: 11 shots, 5 on target, 1.46 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Atlético Madrid 3.08 xG · Tottenham Hotspur 1.46 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The available record does not support a clear cross-team pattern. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Atlético Madrid favored in 4 of 14 directional metrics · Tottenham Hotspur in 5 · 5 too close

2.64 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 11/92.11 goals/match

1.91 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 11/9▲1.33 goals/match

2.05 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 11/91.8 xG/match

1.68 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 11/9▲1.44 xG/match

14.8 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 11/912.3 shots/match

12.7 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 11/912.3 shots/match

6.09 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 11/94.78 shots/match

5.27 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 11/9▲4 shots/match

51.9%Possessionseason · 11/949.8%

6.09 corners/matchCornersseason · 11/94.33 corners/match

4.18 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 11/9▲3.56 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

10.5 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 11/910.3 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

0%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 11/9▲67%

91%Scoring frequencyseason · 11/989%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Atlético Madrid65.5

Tottenham Hotspur46.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Atlético Madrid79.5

Tottenham Hotspur52.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Atlético Madrid36.1

Tottenham Hotspur63.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Atlético Madrid56

Tottenham Hotspur32.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Atlético Madrid34.5

Tottenham Hotspur31

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Atlético Madrid79.8

Tottenham Hotspur39.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Atlético Madrid64.3

Tottenham Hotspur38.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

2.8 goals/match▲Goals scored5/52.4 goals/match

1.8 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/52 goals/match

2.25 xG/match▲Expected goals5/51.99 xG/match

16 shots/match▲Shots5/513.8 shots/match

5.8 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲6.2 shots/match

53%Possession5/547.4%

6.2 corners/matchCorners5/54.8 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

9.6 fouls/matchFouls5/512.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 9 matches

2.7 goals/match▲Goals scored10/92.11 goals/match

1.8 goals/matchGoals allowed10/9▲1.33 goals/match

2.19 xG/match▲Expected goals10/91.8 xG/match

15.3 shots/match▲Shots10/912.3 shots/match

6.3 shots/match▲Shots on target10/94.78 shots/match

52.7%Possession10/949.8%

6.1 corners/matchCorners10/94.33 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

10.6 fouls/matchFouls10/910.3 fouls/match

Window

Season

11 / 9 matches

2.64 goals/match▲Goals scored11/92.11 goals/match

1.91 goals/matchGoals allowed11/9▲1.33 goals/match

2.05 xG/match▲Expected goals11/91.8 xG/match

14.8 shots/match▲Shots11/912.3 shots/match

6.09 shots/match▲Shots on target11/94.78 shots/match

51.9%Possession11/949.8%

6.09 corners/matchCorners11/94.33 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

10.5 fouls/matchFouls11/910.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

6 / 5 matches

3.33 goals/match▲Goals scored6/51.8 goals/match

1.33 goals/match▲Goals allowed6/52.4 goals/match

2.54 xG/match▲Expected goals6/51.5 xG/match

16.5 shots/match▲Shots6/511.2 shots/match

7.33 shots/match▲Shots on target6/54.2 shots/match

55.7%Possession6/544.4%

6.5 corners/matchCorners6/54.2 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

10.3 fouls/matchFouls6/58.6 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

14.1 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/141 days

0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited

Season samples11 / 9home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.

Analysis cutoff: Wed, 11 Mar 2026, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4