PitchMath
UEFA Champions League · 2025Gewiss Stadium

Atalanta 1–6 FC Bayern München · UEFA Champions League

1–6Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

FC Bayern München won 1–6.

Shots
1125
Shots on target
313
Expected goals
1.684.58
Possession
31%69%

Full time

What the match recorded

FC Bayern München beat Atalanta 6–1. Recorded in this match (Atalanta – FC Bayern München): shots 11–25, shots on target 3–13, expected goals 1.68–4.58, possession 31%–69%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Atalanta have a visible home split

moderate

Atalanta's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots16 shots/match13.8 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

FC Bayern München show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

FC Bayern München's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.8 shots/match ▲ShotsAtalanta · FC Bayern München18.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAtalantaFC Bayern MünchenBaseline
Shots13.8 shots/match18.2 shots/match13.7 shots/match
Shots against12 shots/match10 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

FC Bayern München have recorded the higher season possession share.

50.2%PossessionAtalanta · FC Bayern München● 59.8%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.6 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricAtalantaFC Bayern MünchenBaseline
Possession50.2%59.8%50%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots25 shotsAtalanta 11 shots, FC Bayern München 25 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots13 shotsAtalanta 3 shots, FC Bayern München 13 shots
  • Expected goals1.68 xG4.58 xGAtalanta 1.68 xG, FC Bayern München 4.58 xG
  • Possession31%69%Atalanta 31%, FC Bayern München 69%
  • Corners2 corners7 cornersAtalanta 2 corners, FC Bayern München 7 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls11 foulsAtalanta 11 fouls, FC Bayern München 11 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Luis Díaz · FC Bayern München · 5′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNicolas Jackson · FC Bayern München · 37′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNicolas Jackson · FC Bayern München · 50′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBerat Djimsiti · Atalanta · 66′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNikola Krstović · Atalanta · 85′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNicolas Jackson · FC Bayern München · 78′ · 0.04 xG · on targetJoshua Kimmich · FC Bayern München · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMichael Olise · FC Bayern München · 22′ · 0.05 xG · goalDayot Upamecano · FC Bayern München · 43′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedGianluca Scamacca · Atalanta · 45′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAleksandar Pavlović · FC Bayern München · 49′ · 0.05 xG · on targetNicola Zalewski · Atalanta · 52′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMario Pašalić · Atalanta · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMichael Olise · FC Bayern München · 8′ · 0.06 xG · on targetLuis Díaz · FC Bayern München · 11′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedDayot Upamecano · FC Bayern München · 76′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedYunus Musah · Atalanta · 78′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedLuis Díaz · FC Bayern München · 78′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedSerge Gnabry · FC Bayern München · 44′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMichael Olise · FC Bayern München · 7′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMichael Olise · FC Bayern München · 64′ · 0.08 xG · goalNikola Krstović · Atalanta · 26′ · 0.09 xG · on targetMichael Olise · FC Bayern München · 4′ · 0.12 xG · on targetNicolas Jackson · FC Bayern München · 52′ · 0.12 xG · goalJoshua Kimmich · FC Bayern München · 75′ · 0.12 xG · on targetLazar Samardžić · Atalanta · 90′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedLuis Díaz · FC Bayern München · 62′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedGianluca Scamacca · Atalanta · 18′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedJoshua Kimmich · FC Bayern München · 5′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedSerge Gnabry · FC Bayern München · 44′ · 0.26 xG · on targetNikola Krstović · Atalanta · 90′ · 0.42 xG · on targetSerge Gnabry · FC Bayern München · 25′ · 0.46 xG · goalNicolas Jackson · FC Bayern München · 31′ · 0.62 xG · on targetJamal Musiala · FC Bayern München · 67′ · 0.92 xG · goalJosip Stanišić · FC Bayern München · 12′ · 0.94 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Atalanta: 10 shots, 2 on target, 1.10 xG. FC Bayern München: 25 shots, 13 on target, 4.67 xG. · 1 unplaced

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

02.550′HT90′Josip Stanišić · FC Bayern München · 12′Michael Olise · FC Bayern München · 22′Serge Gnabry · FC Bayern München · 25′Nicolas Jackson · FC Bayern München · 52′Michael Olise · FC Bayern München · 64′Jamal Musiala · FC Bayern München · 67′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Atalanta 1.10 xG · FC Bayern München 4.67 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Atalanta favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · FC Bayern München in 9 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Atalanta11 matchesFC Bayern München9 matches
1.36 goals/matchGoals scored11/9▲ 3.11 goals/match
1.73 goals/matchGoals allowed11/9▲ 1 goal/match
1.77 xG/matchExpected goals11/9▲ 2.74 xG/match
13.8 shots/matchShots11/9▲ 18.2 shots/match
4.09 shots/matchShots on target11/9▲ 8.22 shots/match
50.2%Possession11/9● 59.8%
4.09 corners/matchCorners11/9● 4.89 corners/match
10.6 fouls/matchFouls11/910.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples11 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 11 Mar 2026, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in UEFA Champions League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAtalantaFC Bayern München
CompetitionUEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions League 2025/26
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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