Serie A · 2025New Balance Arena

Atalanta 2–2 Udinese · Serie A

2–2Historical match

Udinese

WLLLW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Atalanta and Udinese drew 2–2.

Shots
228
Shots on target
42
Expected goals
20.77
Possession
68%32%

Full time

What the match recorded

Atalanta and Udinese drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (Atalanta – Udinese): shots 22–8, shots on target 4–2, expected goals 2–0.77, possession 68%–32%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Atalanta's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Atalanta's last-five shots average is above their season average.

19.8 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season15.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots19.8 shots/match15.1 shots/match11.7 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Atalanta show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Atalanta's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

15.1 shots/match ▲ShotsAtalanta · Udinese11.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAtalantaUdineseBaseline
Shots15.1 shots/match11.3 shots/match11.7 shots/match
Shots against11.6 shots/match12.7 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Atalanta have recorded the higher season possession share.

55.4% ●PossessionAtalanta · Udinese45.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 10.1 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricAtalantaUdineseBaseline
Possession55.4%45.3%49.2%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots22 shots8 shotsAtalanta 22 shots, Udinese 8 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots2 shotsAtalanta 4 shots, Udinese 2 shots
  • Expected goals2 xG0.77 xGAtalanta 2 xG, Udinese 0.77 xG
  • Possession68%32%Atalanta 68%, Udinese 32%
  • Corners11 corners3 cornersAtalanta 11 corners, Udinese 3 corners
  • Fouls7 fouls10 foulsAtalanta 7 fouls, Udinese 10 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card2 cardsAtalanta 1 card, Udinese 2 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Kingsley Ehizibue · Udinese · 6′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedYunus Musah · Atalanta · 13′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLorenzo Bernasconi · Atalanta · 23′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedKamaldeen Sulemana · Atalanta · 76′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLazar Samardžić · Atalanta · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNikola Krstović · Atalanta · 87′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMarten de Roon · Atalanta · 48′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNikola Krstović · Atalanta · 84′ · 0.03 xG · on targetArthur Atta · Udinese · 86′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedHassane Kamara · Udinese · 62′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDavide Zappacosta · Atalanta · 75′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLennon Miller · Udinese · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedGianluca Scamacca · Atalanta · 50′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedGianluca Scamacca · Atalanta · 10′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedNikola Krstović · Atalanta · 87′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMario Pašalić · Atalanta · 47′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedNikola Krstović · Atalanta · 69′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedNikola Krstović · Atalanta · 82′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedKeinan Davis · Udinese · 55′ · 0.10 xG · goalOier Zarraga · Udinese · 55′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedKamaldeen Sulemana · Atalanta · 59′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedIsak Hien · Atalanta · 18′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedNikola Krstović · Atalanta · 79′ · 0.11 xG · on targetGianluca Scamacca · Atalanta · 61′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedGianluca Scamacca · Atalanta · 45′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedThomas Kristensen · Udinese · 40′ · 0.17 xG · goalNikola Krstović · Atalanta · 66′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blockedGianluca Scamacca · Atalanta · 79′ · 0.21 xG · goalJürgen Ekkelenkamp · Udinese · 90′ · 0.27 xG · off target or blockedGianluca Scamacca · Atalanta · 75′ · 0.32 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Atalanta: 22 shots, 4 on target, 1.96 xG. Udinese: 8 shots, 2 on target, 0.76 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Gianluca Scamacca · Atalanta · 75′Gianluca Scamacca · Atalanta · 79′Thomas Kristensen · Udinese · 40′Keinan Davis · Udinese · 55′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Atalanta 1.96 xG · Udinese 0.76 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Atalanta
2Draws
1Udinese
Udinese — Atalanta · Serie A1–0
Udinese — Atalanta · Serie A0–0
Atalanta — Udinese · Serie A2–1
Atalanta — Udinese · Serie A2–0
Udinese — Atalanta · Serie A1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Atalanta favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · Udinese in 0 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Atalanta28 matchesUdinese28 matches
1.39 goals/match ▲Goals scored28/281.18 goals/match
0.93 goals/match ▲Goals allowed28/281.46 goals/match
1.58 xG/match ▲Expected goals28/281.08 xG/match
15.1 shots/match ▲Shots28/2811.3 shots/match
4.75 shots/match ▲Shots on target28/283.57 shots/match
55.4% ●Possession28/2845.3%
5.96 corners/match ●Corners28/284.5 corners/match
1.64 cards/matchCards28/281.86 cards/match
11.5 fouls/matchFouls28/2814 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples28 / 28home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 7 Mar 2026, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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