PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Mon, 2 Mar 2026, 19:45 UTCFull timeBluenergy Stadium - Stadio FriuliFull-time recap

Udinese

WWLLL
3–0Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricUdineseFiorentina
Shots10 shots/match10 shots/match
Shots on target7 shots/match▲0 shots/match
Possession35%65%
Corners5 corners/match2 corners/match
Fouls16 fouls/match12 fouls/match
Yellow cards1 cards/match▲4 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Udinese's last-five shots average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Fiorentina's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Udinese's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Udinese's last-five shots average is below their season average.

8.2 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season11.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots8.2 shots/match11.4 shots/match11.7 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Fiorentina have a visible away split

moderate

Fiorentina's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season13.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11 shots/match13.7 shots/match11.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Udinese
0Draws
1Fiorentina
Fiorentina — Udinese · Serie A5–1

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Udinese favored in 5 of 14 directional metrics · Fiorentina in 1 · 8 too close

1.15 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 27/271.11 goals/match
1.44 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 27/271.56 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
11.4 shots/matchShotsseason · 27/27▲13.7 shots/match
12.3 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 27/2713 shots/match
3.67 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 27/273.59 shots/match
3.89 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 27/274.67 shots/match
45.8%Possessionseason · 27/2753%
4.56 corners/matchCornersseason · 27/274.59 corners/match
4.63 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 27/274.59 corners/match
1.85 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 27/272.37 cards/match
14.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 27/2712.7 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
22%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 27/2715%
78%Scoring frequencyseason · 27/2774%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Udinese42.5
Fiorentina62.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Udinese39.2
Fiorentina46.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Udinese49.2
Fiorentina29.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Udinese57.5
Fiorentina62.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Udinese56.2
Fiorentina65
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Udinese57.5
Fiorentina62.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Udinese51.2
Fiorentina50
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.2 goals/match
1 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.6 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
8.2 shots/matchShots5/5▲13.6 shots/match
3.4 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲3.6 shots/match
44.4%Possession5/551.2%
4.6 corners/matchCorners5/54.2 corners/match
2.4 cards/matchCards5/52.4 cards/match
16.4 fouls/matchFouls5/510.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.3 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.3 goals/match
1.1 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.4 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
8.9 shots/matchShots10/10▲14.4 shots/match
3.1 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲4.5 shots/match
44.5%Possession10/1053.3%
4.4 corners/matchCorners10/104.7 corners/match
1.7 cards/matchCards10/102.2 cards/match
14.6 fouls/matchFouls10/1011 fouls/match

Window

Season

27 / 27 matches
1.15 goals/matchGoals scored27/271.11 goals/match
1.44 goals/match▲Goals allowed27/271.56 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.4 shots/matchShots27/27▲13.7 shots/match
3.67 shots/matchShots on target27/273.59 shots/match
45.8%Possession27/2753%
4.56 corners/matchCorners27/274.59 corners/match
1.85 cards/matchCards27/272.37 cards/match
14.3 fouls/matchFouls27/2712.7 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

14 / 14 matches
1.14 goals/match▲Goals scored14/140.86 goals/match
1.29 goals/match▲Goals allowed14/141.64 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
12.5 shots/match▲Shots14/1411 shots/match
3.93 shots/match▲Shots on target14/142.71 shots/match
46.4%Possession14/1451.1%
4.43 corners/matchCorners14/143.5 corners/match
1.71 cards/matchCards14/142.43 cards/match
14.8 fouls/matchFouls14/1413.6 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.09 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples27 / 27home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 2 Mar 2026, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsUdineseFiorentina
CompetitionSerie A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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