PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Bluenergy Stadium - Stadio Friuli

Udinese 3–0 Fiorentina · Serie A

Udinese

WWLLL
3–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Udinese won 3–0.

Shots
1010
Shots on target
70
Expected goals
1.650.66
Possession
35%65%

Full time

What the match recorded

Udinese beat Fiorentina 3–0. Recorded in this match (Udinese – Fiorentina): shots 10–10, shots on target 7–0, expected goals 1.65–0.66, possession 35%–65%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Udinese's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Udinese's last-five shots average is below their season average.

7.8 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season11.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots7.8 shots/match11.4 shots/match11.8 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Fiorentina have a visible away split

moderate

Fiorentina's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11 shots/match13.7 shots/match11.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots10 shotsUdinese 10 shots, Fiorentina 10 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots0 shotsUdinese 7 shots, Fiorentina 0 shots
  • Expected goals1.65 xG0.66 xGUdinese 1.65 xG, Fiorentina 0.66 xG
  • Possession35%65%Udinese 35%, Fiorentina 65%
  • Corners5 corners2 cornersUdinese 5 corners, Fiorentina 2 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls12 foulsUdinese 16 fouls, Fiorentina 12 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card4 cardsUdinese 1 card, Fiorentina 4 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Rolando Mandragora · Fiorentina · 42′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedKeinan Davis · Udinese · 60′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedNicolò Bertola · Udinese · 6′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMarin Pongračić · Fiorentina · 17′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMoise Kean · Fiorentina · 34′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNicolò Zaniolo · Udinese · 37′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJack Harrison · Fiorentina · 39′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMoise Kean · Fiorentina · 70′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNicolò Zaniolo · Udinese · 85′ · 0.03 xG · on targetNicolò Zaniolo · Udinese · 56′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedFabiano Parisi · Fiorentina · 66′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRoberto Piccoli · Fiorentina · 77′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedKeinan Davis · Udinese · 37′ · 0.08 xG · on targetRolando Mandragora · Fiorentina · 27′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedAdam Buksa · Udinese · 90′ · 0.15 xG · goalRolando Mandragora · Fiorentina · 18′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedCher Ndour · Fiorentina · 72′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedKeinan Davis · Udinese · 52′ · 0.24 xG · on targetChristian Kabasele · Udinese · 10′ · 0.28 xG · goalKeinan Davis · Udinese · 64′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Udinese: 10 shots, 7 on target, 1.69 xG. Fiorentina: 10 shots, 0 on target, 0.67 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Christian Kabasele · Udinese · 10′Keinan Davis · Udinese · 64′Adam Buksa · Udinese · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Udinese 1.69 xG · Fiorentina 0.67 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Udinese
1Draws
3Fiorentina
Fiorentina — Udinese · Serie A5–1
Udinese — Fiorentina · Serie A2–3
Fiorentina — Udinese · Serie A1–2
Fiorentina — Udinese · Serie A2–2
Udinese — Fiorentina · Serie A0–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Udinese favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Fiorentina in 2 · 5 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Udinese27 matchesFiorentina27 matches
1.15 goals/matchGoals scored27/271.11 goals/match
1.44 goals/match ▲Goals allowed27/271.56 goals/match
1.09 xG/matchExpected goals27/27▲ 1.53 xG/match
11.4 shots/matchShots27/27▲ 13.7 shots/match
3.63 shots/matchShots on target27/273.59 shots/match
45.8%Possession27/27● 53%
4.56 corners/matchCorners27/27● 4.59 corners/match
1.85 cards/matchCards27/272.37 cards/match
14.2 fouls/matchFouls27/2712.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples27 / 27home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 2 Mar 2026, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsUdineseFiorentina
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2025/26
Head-to-headUdinese — Fiorentina
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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