PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani

Pisa 0–1 Bologna · Serie A

Pisa

LLDLL
0–1Historical match

Bologna

LLLWW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Bologna won 0–1.

Shots
68
Shots on target
31
Expected goals
0.460.61
Possession
41%59%

Full time

What the match recorded

Bologna beat Pisa 1–0. Recorded in this match (Pisa – Bologna): shots 6–8, shots on target 3–1, expected goals 0.46–0.61, possession 41%–59%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Pisa's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Pisa's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.74 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.74 goals/match1.17 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Pisa show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Pisa's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

10 shots/match ▲ShotsPisa · Bologna13 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricPisaBolognaBaseline
Shots10 shots/match13 shots/match11.8 shots/match
Shots against15 shots/match10.2 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Bologna have a visible away split

moderate

Bologna's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.9 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.9 shots/match13 shots/match11.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots6 shots8 shotsPisa 6 shots, Bologna 8 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots1 shotPisa 3 shots, Bologna 1 shot
  • Expected goals0.46 xG0.61 xGPisa 0.46 xG, Bologna 0.61 xG
  • Possession41%59%Pisa 41%, Bologna 59%
  • Corners7 corners4 cornersPisa 7 corners, Bologna 4 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls11 foulsPisa 15 fouls, Bologna 11 fouls
  • Yellow cards0 cards2 cardsPisa 0 cards, Bologna 2 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Juan Cuadrado · Pisa · 84′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMarius Marin · Pisa · 7′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNicolò Cambiaghi · Bologna · 36′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJens Odgaard · Bologna · 90′ · 0.02 xG · goalNicolò Cambiaghi · Bologna · 73′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRiccardo Orsolini · Bologna · 71′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedNicolò Casale · Bologna · 71′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSantiago Castro · Bologna · 54′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedStefano Moreo · Pisa · 61′ · 0.06 xG · on targetArturo Calabresi · Pisa · 62′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedGabriele Piccinini · Pisa · 78′ · 0.12 xG · on targetSantiago Castro · Bologna · 24′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedFilip Stojilković · Pisa · 81′ · 0.19 xG · on targetSantiago Castro · Bologna · 35′ · 0.24 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Pisa: 6 shots, 3 on target, 0.48 xG. Bologna: 8 shots, 1 on target, 0.61 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Jens Odgaard · Bologna · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Pisa 0.48 xG · Bologna 0.61 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Pisa
0Draws
1Bologna
Bologna — Pisa · Serie A4–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Pisa favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Bologna in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Pisa27 matchesBologna27 matches
0.74 goals/matchGoals scored27/27▲ 1.33 goals/match
1.63 goals/matchGoals allowed27/27▲ 1.19 goals/match
0.97 xG/matchExpected goals27/27▲ 1.19 xG/match
10 shots/matchShots27/27▲ 13 shots/match
2.74 shots/matchShots on target27/27▲ 3.93 shots/match
40.5%Possession27/27● 54.8%
3.96 corners/matchCorners27/27● 4.63 corners/match
2.07 cards/matchCards27/272.15 cards/match
13.4 fouls/matchFouls27/2714 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples27 / 27home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 2 Mar 2026, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsPisaBologna
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2025/26
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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