PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Mon, 2 Mar 2026, 17:30 UTCFull timeArena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo AnconetaniFull-time recap

Pisa

LLDLL
0–1Full-time recap

Bologna

LLLWW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricPisaBologna
Shots6 shots/match8 shots/match▲
Shots on target3 shots/match▲1 shots/match
Possession41%59%
Corners7 corners/match4 corners/match
Fouls15 fouls/match11 fouls/match
Yellow cards0 cards/match▲2 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Pisa's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Pisa's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Pisa's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Pisa's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.74 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.74 goals/match1.17 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Pisa show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Pisa's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

10 shots/match▲ShotsPisa · Bologna13 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricPisaBolognaBaseline
Shots10 shots/match13 shots/match11.7 shots/match
Shots against15 shots/match10.3 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Bologna have a visible away split

moderate

Bologna's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.9 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season13 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.9 shots/match13 shots/match11.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Pisa
0Draws
1Bologna
Bologna — Pisa · Serie A4–0

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Pisa favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Bologna in 9 · 5 too close

0.74 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 27/27▲1.33 goals/match
1.63 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 27/27▲1.19 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
10 shots/matchShotsseason · 27/27▲13 shots/match
15 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 27/27▲10.3 shots/match
2.74 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 27/27▲3.93 shots/match
4.52 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 27/27▲3.89 shots/match
40.5%Possessionseason · 27/2754.9%
3.96 corners/matchCornersseason · 27/274.63 corners/match
4.93 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 27/27▲4.22 corners/match
2.07 cards/matchCardsseason · 27/272.15 cards/match
13.4 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 27/2714.1 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
19%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 27/27▲30%
48%Scoring frequencyseason · 27/27▲74%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Pisa2.5
Bologna67.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Pisa11.7
Bologna59.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Pisa14.2
Bologna67.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Pisa52.5
Bologna32.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Pisa58.8
Bologna70
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Pisa32.5
Bologna70
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Pisa27.5
Bologna64.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
0.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲0.8 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
9.2 shots/matchShots5/5▲12.4 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲3.4 shots/match
42.4%Possession5/552.8%
3.8 corners/matchCorners5/53.8 corners/match
1.8 cards/matchCards5/51.8 cards/match
15.4 fouls/matchFouls5/511 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
0.8 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1.1 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.5 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10.2 shots/matchShots10/10▲12.5 shots/match
3.7 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103.2 shots/match
40%Possession10/1053.1%
5 corners/matchCorners10/104.1 corners/match
2.2 cards/matchCards10/102.1 cards/match
14.2 fouls/matchFouls10/1011.9 fouls/match

Window

Season

27 / 27 matches
0.74 goals/matchGoals scored27/27▲1.33 goals/match
1.63 goals/matchGoals allowed27/27▲1.19 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10 shots/matchShots27/27▲13 shots/match
2.74 shots/matchShots on target27/27▲3.93 shots/match
40.5%Possession27/2754.9%
3.96 corners/matchCorners27/274.63 corners/match
2.07 cards/matchCards27/272.15 cards/match
13.4 fouls/matchFouls27/2714.1 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

14 / 14 matches
0.29 goals/matchGoals scored14/14▲1.64 goals/match
1.21 goals/match▲Goals allowed14/141.29 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10.3 shots/matchShots14/14▲10.9 shots/match
2.79 shots/matchShots on target14/14▲3.79 shots/match
42.7%Possession14/1454.5%
4.14 corners/matchCorners14/144 corners/match
2.07 cards/matchCards14/142.5 cards/match
12.7 fouls/matchFouls14/1414.9 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.91 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples27 / 27home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 2 Mar 2026, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsPisaBologna
CompetitionSerie A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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