PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Sat, 7 Mar 2026, 19:45 UTCFull timeAllianz StadiumFull-time recap
4–0Full-time recap

Pisa

LDLLL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricJuventusPisa
Shots25 shots/match▲7 shots/match
Shots on target7 shots/match▲2 shots/match
Possession59%41%
Corners4 corners/match4 corners/match
Fouls7 fouls/match7 fouls/match
Yellow cards1 cards/match▲3 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Pisa's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Juventus's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Pisa's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Pisa's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.2 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.71 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.2 goals/match0.71 goals/match1.18 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Juventus show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Juventus's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

16.6 shots/match▲ShotsJuventus · Pisa9.93 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricJuventusPisaBaseline
Shots16.6 shots/match9.93 shots/match11.7 shots/match
Shots against10.2 shots/match15.3 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Juventus have a visible home split

moderate

Juventus's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

19.4 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season16.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots19.4 shots/match16.6 shots/match11.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Juventus
0Draws
0Pisa
Pisa — Juventus · Serie A0–2

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Juventus favored in 10 of 14 directional metrics · Pisa in 0 · 4 too close

1.79 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 28/280.71 goals/match
1 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 28/281.71 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
16.6 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 28/289.93 shots/match
10.2 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 28/2815.3 shots/match
6.04 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 28/282.71 shots/match
2.93 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 28/284.61 shots/match
56.9%Possessionseason · 28/2840.5%
5.07 corners/matchCornersseason · 28/283.96 corners/match
3.82 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 28/284.89 corners/match
1.29 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 28/282.11 cards/match
12.5 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 28/2813.2 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
36%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 28/2818%
79%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 28/2846%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Juventus82.5
Pisa2.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Juventus92.5
Pisa9.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Juventus81.7
Pisa14.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Juventus92.5
Pisa52.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Juventus17.5
Pisa57.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Juventus82.5
Pisa35
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Juventus75
Pisa26.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
2.2 goals/match▲Goals scored5/50.2 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1.6 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
18.6 shots/match▲Shots5/57.6 shots/match
6.2 shots/match▲Shots on target5/52.2 shots/match
53.4%Possession5/539.8%
4.2 corners/matchCorners5/54.2 corners/match
1 cards/matchCards5/51.8 cards/match
9.2 fouls/matchFouls5/514.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
2.6 goals/match▲Goals scored10/100.7 goals/match
1.2 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/102.3 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
17.6 shots/match▲Shots10/109.9 shots/match
7.1 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103.7 shots/match
56.2%Possession10/1040.3%
5.3 corners/matchCorners10/104.7 corners/match
1 cards/matchCards10/102.2 cards/match
12 fouls/matchFouls10/1013.2 fouls/match

Window

Season

28 / 28 matches
1.79 goals/match▲Goals scored28/280.71 goals/match
1 goals/match▲Goals allowed28/281.71 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
16.6 shots/match▲Shots28/289.93 shots/match
6.04 shots/match▲Shots on target28/282.71 shots/match
56.9%Possession28/2840.5%
5.07 corners/matchCorners28/283.96 corners/match
1.29 cards/matchCards28/282.11 cards/match
12.5 fouls/matchFouls28/2813.2 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

14 / 14 matches
2.07 goals/match▲Goals scored14/141.14 goals/match
0.86 goals/match▲Goals allowed14/142.21 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
19.4 shots/match▲Shots14/149.57 shots/match
6.93 shots/match▲Shots on target14/142.64 shots/match
56.9%Possession14/1438.3%
5.93 corners/matchCorners14/143.79 corners/match
0.93 cards/matchCards14/142.14 cards/match
11.8 fouls/matchFouls14/1413.6 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/15.09 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples28 / 28home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 7 Mar 2026, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsJuventusPisa
CompetitionSerie A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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