PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Unipol Domus

Cagliari 1–2 Como · Serie A

1–2Historical match

Como

DLDWW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Como won 1–2.

Shots
88
Shots on target
32
Expected goals
0.470.55
Possession
43%57%

Full time

What the match recorded

Como beat Cagliari 2–1. Recorded in this match (Cagliari – Como): shots 8–8, shots on target 3–2, expected goals 0.47–0.55, possession 43%–57%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Cagliari's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Cagliari's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.07 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match1.07 goals/match1.18 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Cagliari show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Cagliari's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

10 shots/match ▲ShotsCagliari · Como14 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricCagliariComoBaseline
Shots10 shots/match14 shots/match11.7 shots/match
Shots against13.3 shots/match9.39 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Como have recorded the higher season possession share.

45.6%PossessionCagliari · Como● 61.2%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 15.6 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricCagliariComoBaseline
Possession45.6%61.2%49.2%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots8 shotsCagliari 8 shots, Como 8 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots2 shotsCagliari 3 shots, Como 2 shots
  • Expected goals0.47 xG0.55 xGCagliari 0.47 xG, Como 0.55 xG
  • Possession43%57%Cagliari 43%, Como 57%
  • Corners2 corners3 cornersCagliari 2 corners, Como 3 corners
  • Fouls17 fouls18 foulsCagliari 17 fouls, Como 18 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards1 cardCagliari 3 cards, Como 1 card

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Michael Folorunsho · Cagliari · 31′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedYael Trepy · Cagliari · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLucas Da Cunha · Como · 76′ · 0.02 xG · goalSemih Kılıçsoy · Cagliari · 82′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNico Paz · Como · 75′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMichel Adopo · Cagliari · 18′ · 0.04 xG · on targetMichael Folorunsho · Cagliari · 38′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAdam Obert · Cagliari · 56′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedÁlvaro Morata · Como · 64′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJesús Rodriguez · Como · 51′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedLucas Da Cunha · Como · 14′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedNico Paz · Como · 59′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedÁlvaro Morata · Como · 90′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMichel Adopo · Cagliari · 86′ · 0.11 xG · on targetMartin Baturina · Como · 14′ · 0.16 xG · goalSebastiano Esposito · Cagliari · 56′ · 0.21 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Cagliari: 8 shots, 3 on target, 0.48 xG. Como: 8 shots, 2 on target, 0.55 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Sebastiano Esposito · Cagliari · 56′Martin Baturina · Como · 14′Lucas Da Cunha · Como · 76′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Cagliari 0.48 xG · Como 0.55 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Cagliari
3Draws
1Como
Como — Cagliari · Serie A0–0
Como — Cagliari · Serie A3–1
Cagliari — Como · Serie A1–1
Cagliari — Como · Serie B2–0
Como — Cagliari · Serie B1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Cagliari favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Como in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Cagliari28 matchesComo28 matches
1.07 goals/matchGoals scored28/28▲ 1.64 goals/match
1.36 goals/matchGoals allowed28/28▲ 0.75 goals/match
0.89 xG/matchExpected goals28/28▲ 1.61 xG/match
10 shots/matchShots28/28▲ 14 shots/match
3.36 shots/matchShots on target28/28▲ 5.04 shots/match
45.6%Possession28/28● 61.2%
3.43 corners/matchCorners28/28● 4.04 corners/match
2.43 cards/matchCards28/282.29 cards/match
15.1 fouls/matchFouls28/2813.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples28 / 28home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 7 Mar 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCagliariComo
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2025/26
Head-to-headCagliari — Como
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required