PitchMath
Serie A · 2025Sat, 7 Mar 2026, 14:00 UTCFull timeUnipol DomusFull-time recap
1–2Full-time recap

Como

DLDWW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricCagliariComo
Shots8 shots/match8 shots/match
Shots on target3 shots/match▲2 shots/match
Possession43%57%
Corners2 corners/match3 corners/match
Fouls17 fouls/match18 fouls/match
Yellow cards3 cards/match1 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Cagliari's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Cagliari's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Cagliari's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Cagliari's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.07 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match1.07 goals/match1.18 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Cagliari show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Cagliari's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

9.96 shots/match▲ShotsCagliari · Como14 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricCagliariComoBaseline
Shots9.96 shots/match14 shots/match11.7 shots/match
Shots against13.3 shots/match9.39 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Como have recorded the higher season possession share.

45.5%▲PossessionCagliari · Como61.2%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 15.6 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricCagliariComoBaseline
Possession45.5%61.2%49.2%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Cagliari
1Draws
0Como
Como — Cagliari · Serie A0–0

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Cagliari favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Como in 10 · 4 too close

1.07 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 28/28▲1.64 goals/match
1.36 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 28/28▲0.75 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
9.96 shots/matchShotsseason · 28/28▲14 shots/match
13.3 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 28/28▲9.39 shots/match
3.36 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 28/28▲5.04 shots/match
4.79 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 28/28▲3.43 shots/match
45.5%Possessionseason · 28/2861.2%
3.43 corners/matchCornersseason · 28/284.04 corners/match
5.5 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 28/28▲3.32 corners/match
2.43 cards/matchCardsseason · 28/28▲2.29 cards/match
15.1 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 28/2813.8 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
21%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 28/28▲46%
64%Scoring frequencyseason · 28/28▲75%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Cagliari42.5
Como97.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Cagliari24.2
Como85.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Cagliari30.8
Como85.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Cagliari7.5
Como22.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Cagliari95
Como70
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Cagliari7.5
Como42.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Cagliari33.8
Como70
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
0.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.8 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
8.8 shots/matchShots5/5▲11.4 shots/match
2.2 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲3.6 shots/match
47%Possession5/557.4%
3.4 corners/matchCorners5/53.6 corners/match
3 cards/matchCards5/51.8 cards/match
13.4 fouls/matchFouls5/514.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.1 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲2 goals/match
1.3 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲0.9 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10.6 shots/matchShots10/10▲14.3 shots/match
3.3 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲5.1 shots/match
46.1%Possession10/1061.8%
3.4 corners/matchCorners10/104.1 corners/match
2.5 cards/matchCards10/102 cards/match
14.1 fouls/matchFouls10/1012.2 fouls/match

Window

Season

28 / 28 matches
1.07 goals/matchGoals scored28/28▲1.64 goals/match
1.36 goals/matchGoals allowed28/28▲0.75 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
9.96 shots/matchShots28/28▲14 shots/match
3.36 shots/matchShots on target28/28▲5.04 shots/match
45.5%Possession28/2861.2%
3.43 corners/matchCorners28/284.04 corners/match
2.43 cards/matchCards28/282.29 cards/match
15.1 fouls/matchFouls28/2813.8 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

14 / 14 matches
1.14 goals/matchGoals scored14/14▲1.57 goals/match
1.21 goals/matchGoals allowed14/14▲0.79 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
9.71 shots/matchShots14/14▲12.4 shots/match
3.36 shots/matchShots on target14/14▲3.93 shots/match
46.9%Possession14/1458.7%
3.86 corners/matchCorners14/143.64 corners/match
2.14 cards/matchCards14/142.29 cards/match
15.4 fouls/matchFouls14/1414.9 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.76 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples28 / 28home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 7 Mar 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsCagliariComo
CompetitionSerie A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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