PitchMath
UEFA Champions League · 2025Parc des Princes

Paris Saint-Germain 5–2 Chelsea · UEFA Champions League

5–2Historical match

Chelsea

DWLWW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Paris Saint-Germain won 5–2.

Shots
99
Shots on target
84
Expected goals
0.871.53
Possession
58%42%

Full time

What the match recorded

Paris Saint Germain beat Chelsea 5–2. Recorded in this match (Paris Saint Germain – Chelsea): shots 9–9, shots on target 8–4, expected goals 0.87–1.53, possession 58%–42%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

6.55 corners/match ●CornersParis Saint Germain · Chelsea5.78 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricParis Saint GermainChelseaBaseline
Corners6.55 corners/match5.78 corners/match4.53 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Chelsea have a visible away split

moderate

Chelsea's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11 shots/match13.4 shots/match13.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Chelsea show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Chelsea's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

21.1 shots/match ▲ShotsParis Saint Germain · Chelsea13.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricParis Saint GermainChelseaBaseline
Shots21.1 shots/match13.4 shots/match13.5 shots/match
Shots against9.09 shots/match8.44 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots9 shotsParis Saint-Germain 9 shots, Chelsea 9 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots4 shotsParis Saint-Germain 8 shots, Chelsea 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.87 xG1.53 xGParis Saint-Germain 0.87 xG, Chelsea 1.53 xG
  • Possession58%42%Paris Saint-Germain 58%, Chelsea 42%
  • Corners2 corners3 cornersParis Saint-Germain 2 corners, Chelsea 3 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls7 foulsParis Saint-Germain 14 fouls, Chelsea 7 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

João Neves · Paris Saint Germain · 5′ · 0.02 xG · on targetEnzo Fernández · Chelsea · 14′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDésiré Doué · Paris Saint Germain · 25′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBradley Barcola · Paris Saint Germain · 25′ · 0.03 xG · on targetLiam Delap · Chelsea · 84′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedOusmane Dembélé · Paris Saint Germain · 15′ · 0.04 xG · on targetJoão Pedro · Chelsea · 20′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJoão Pedro · Chelsea · 23′ · 0.05 xG · on targetKhvicha Kvaratskhelia · Paris Saint Germain · 86′ · 0.05 xG · goalMalo Gusto · Chelsea · 74′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedBradley Barcola · Paris Saint Germain · 10′ · 0.08 xG · goalCole Palmer · Chelsea · 39′ · 0.12 xG · on targetMalo Gusto · Chelsea · 28′ · 0.13 xG · goalVitinha · Paris Saint Germain · 74′ · 0.20 xG · goalKhvicha Kvaratskhelia · Paris Saint Germain · 90′ · 0.21 xG · goalOusmane Dembélé · Paris Saint Germain · 40′ · 0.23 xG · goalJoão Pedro · Chelsea · 4′ · 0.37 xG · off target or blockedEnzo Fernández · Chelsea · 57′ · 0.64 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Paris Saint Germain: 9 shots, 8 on target, 0.88 xG. Chelsea: 9 shots, 4 on target, 1.47 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Bradley Barcola · Paris Saint Germain · 10′Ousmane Dembélé · Paris Saint Germain · 40′Vitinha · Paris Saint Germain · 74′Khvicha Kvaratskhelia · Paris Saint Germain · 86′Khvicha Kvaratskhelia · Paris Saint Germain · 90′Malo Gusto · Chelsea · 28′Enzo Fernández · Chelsea · 57′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Paris Saint Germain 0.88 xG · Chelsea 1.47 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Paris Saint-Germain favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Chelsea in 4 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Paris Saint-Germain11 matchesChelsea9 matches
2.82 goals/match ▲Goals scored11/92.11 goals/match
1.55 goals/match ▲Goals allowed11/91.67 goals/match
2.1 xG/match ▲Expected goals11/91.67 xG/match
21.1 shots/match ▲Shots11/913.4 shots/match
7.73 shots/match ▲Shots on target11/95.22 shots/match
68.5% ●Possession11/955.7%
6.55 corners/match ●Corners11/95.78 corners/match
8.27 fouls/matchFouls11/912.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples11 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 12 Mar 2026, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in UEFA Champions League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsParis Saint-GermainChelsea
CompetitionUEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions League 2025/26
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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