PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2025Parc des Princes

Paris Saint-Germain 1–3 AS Monaco · Ligue 1

1–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

AS Monaco won 1–3.

Shots
1911
Shots on target
56
Expected goals
1.091.34
Possession
72%28%

Full time

What the match recorded

Monaco beat Paris Saint Germain 3–1. Recorded in this match (Paris Saint Germain – Monaco): shots 19–11, shots on target 5–6, expected goals 1.09–1.34, possession 72%–28%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Paris Saint Germain show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Paris Saint Germain's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

17.9 shots/match ▲ShotsParis Saint Germain · Monaco12.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricParis Saint GermainMonacoBaseline
Shots17.9 shots/match12.1 shots/match11.7 shots/match
Shots against8.6 shots/match13.3 shots/match12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Monaco's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Monaco's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.72 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match1.72 goals/match1.4 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Paris Saint Germain have recorded the higher season possession share.

68.6% ●PossessionParis Saint Germain · Monaco52.7%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 15.9 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricParis Saint GermainMonacoBaseline
Possession68.6%52.7%49.1%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots19 shots11 shotsParis Saint-Germain 19 shots, AS Monaco 11 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots6 shotsParis Saint-Germain 5 shots, AS Monaco 6 shots
  • Expected goals1.09 xG1.34 xGParis Saint-Germain 1.09 xG, AS Monaco 1.34 xG
  • Possession72%28%Paris Saint-Germain 72%, AS Monaco 28%
  • Corners7 corners3 cornersParis Saint-Germain 7 corners, AS Monaco 3 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls6 foulsParis Saint-Germain 12 fouls, AS Monaco 6 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card3 cardsParis Saint-Germain 1 card, AS Monaco 3 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Achraf Hakimi · Paris Saint Germain · 10′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMamadou Coulibaly · Monaco · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAleksandr Golovin · Monaco · 57′ · 0.02 xG · on targetFolarin Balogun · Monaco · 73′ · 0.02 xG · goalBradley Barcola · Paris Saint Germain · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKhvicha Kvaratskhelia · Paris Saint Germain · 24′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedOusmane Dembélé · Paris Saint Germain · 79′ · 0.03 xG · on targetNuno Mendes · Paris Saint Germain · 84′ · 0.03 xG · on targetVitinha · Paris Saint Germain · 85′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedVitinha · Paris Saint Germain · 26′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDro Fernández · Paris Saint Germain · 22′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedBradley Barcola · Paris Saint Germain · 39′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedKhvicha Kvaratskhelia · Paris Saint Germain · 50′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedOusmane Dembélé · Paris Saint Germain · 70′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedBradley Barcola · Paris Saint Germain · 71′ · 0.05 xG · goalGonçalo Ramos · Paris Saint Germain · 84′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedNuno Mendes · Paris Saint Germain · 62′ · 0.06 xG · on targetDenis Zakaria · Monaco · 73′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedOusmane Dembélé · Paris Saint Germain · 80′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedNuno Mendes · Paris Saint Germain · 65′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedBradley Barcola · Paris Saint Germain · 69′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAleksandr Golovin · Monaco · 90′ · 0.08 xG · on targetMaghnes Akliouche · Monaco · 17′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedSimon Adingra · Monaco · 88′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedLamine Camara · Monaco · 72′ · 0.13 xG · on targetAchraf Hakimi · Paris Saint Germain · 6′ · 0.15 xG · on targetAleksandr Golovin · Monaco · 55′ · 0.16 xG · goalGonçalo Ramos · Paris Saint Germain · 79′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedMaghnes Akliouche · Monaco · 27′ · 0.28 xG · goalDenis Zakaria · Monaco · 5′ · 0.36 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Paris Saint Germain: 19 shots, 5 on target, 1.09 xG. Monaco: 11 shots, 6 on target, 1.33 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Bradley Barcola · Paris Saint Germain · 71′Maghnes Akliouche · Monaco · 27′Aleksandr Golovin · Monaco · 55′Folarin Balogun · Monaco · 73′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Paris Saint Germain 1.09 xG · Monaco 1.33 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Paris Saint-Germain
1Draws
1AS Monaco
Paris Saint-Germain — AS Monaco · UEFA Champions League2–2
AS Monaco — Paris Saint-Germain · UEFA Champions League2–3
AS Monaco — Paris Saint-Germain · Ligue 11–0
Paris Saint-Germain — AS Monaco · Ligue 14–1
AS Monaco — Paris Saint-Germain · Ligue 12–4

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Paris Saint-Germain favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · AS Monaco in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Paris Saint-Germain25 matchesAS Monaco25 matches
2.16 goals/match ▲Goals scored25/251.72 goals/match
0.88 goals/match ▲Goals allowed25/251.48 goals/match
2.02 xG/match ▲Expected goals25/251.7 xG/match
17.9 shots/match ▲Shots25/2512.1 shots/match
6.8 shots/match ▲Shots on target25/254.28 shots/match
68.6% ●Possession25/2552.7%
6.04 corners/match ●Corners25/254.76 corners/match
1 card/matchCards25/252.56 cards/match
10.1 fouls/matchFouls25/2513 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples25 / 25home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 6 Mar 2026, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsParis Saint-GermainAS Monaco
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2025/26
Head-to-headParis Saint-Germain — AS Monaco
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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