PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2025Sat, 7 Mar 2026, 18:00 UTCFull timeStade de l'Abbé DeschampsFull-time recap

Auxerre

DDWLD
0–0Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricAuxerreStrasbourg
Shots10 shots/match13 shots/match▲
Shots on target4 shots/match5 shots/match▲
Possession27%73%
Corners5 corners/match4 corners/match
Fouls10 fouls/match11 fouls/match
Yellow cards2 cards/match2 cards/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Julio Enciso · Strasbourg · 68′ · 0.01 xG · on targetMartial Godo · Strasbourg · 48′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSamuel Amo-Ameyaw · Strasbourg · 79′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDanny Namaso · Auxerre · 22′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAbdoul Ouattara · Strasbourg · 40′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJulio Enciso · Strasbourg · 77′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLassine Sinayoko · Auxerre · 82′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFredrik Oppegård · Auxerre · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJulio Enciso · Strasbourg · 14′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJosué Casimir · Auxerre · 16′ · 0.05 xG · on targetValentín Barco · Strasbourg · 70′ · 0.05 xG · on targetNaouirou Ahamada · Auxerre · 84′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMarvin Senaya · Auxerre · 20′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJosué Casimir · Auxerre · 34′ · 0.06 xG · on targetBen Chilwell · Strasbourg · 11′ · 0.07 xG · on targetBen Chilwell · Strasbourg · 3′ · 0.08 xG · on targetSebastian Nanasi · Strasbourg · 70′ · 0.08 xG · on targetJoaquin Panichelli · Strasbourg · 89′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedDanny Namaso · Auxerre · 85′ · 0.09 xG · on targetDavid Datro Fofana · Strasbourg · 45′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedFredrik Oppegård · Auxerre · 48′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedDavid Datro Fofana · Strasbourg · 50′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedDanny Namaso · Auxerre · 25′ · 0.26 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Auxerre: 10 shots, 4 on target, 0.76 xG. Strasbourg: 13 shots, 5 on target, 0.75 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Auxerre 0.76 xG · Strasbourg 0.75 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Auxerre's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Strasbourg have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Auxerre's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Auxerre's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.76 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goals/match0.76 goals/match1.38 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Strasbourg have recorded the higher season possession share.

43.8%▲PossessionAuxerre · Strasbourg52.6%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.9 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricAuxerreStrasbourgBaseline
Possession43.8%52.6%49%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Auxerre
0Draws
1Strasbourg
Strasbourg — Auxerre · Ligue 13–0

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Auxerre favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Strasbourg in 7 · 7 too close

0.76 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 25/25▲1.6 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 25/25▲1.24 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
10.8 shots/matchShotsseason · 25/2511.2 shots/match
12 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 25/2511.4 shots/match
3.2 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 25/25▲4.48 shots/match
4.88 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 25/25▲4.08 shots/match
43.8%Possessionseason · 25/2552.6%
4.96 corners/matchCornersseason · 25/253.8 corners/match
4.52 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 25/254.32 corners/match
2.48 cards/matchCardsseason · 25/25▲2.16 cards/match
13.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 25/2511.4 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
24%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 25/25▲32%
44%Scoring frequencyseason · 25/25▲84%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Auxerre25
Strasbourg63.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Auxerre13.9
Strasbourg56.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Auxerre38.9
Strasbourg63.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Auxerre52.8
Strasbourg13.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Auxerre80.6
Strasbourg38.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Auxerre63.9
Strasbourg19.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Auxerre43.1
Strasbourg37.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.4 goals/match
1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.2 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.4 shots/matchShots5/511.2 shots/match
2.8 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲4.8 shots/match
41.4%Possession5/556.6%
5.2 corners/matchCorners5/53.6 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards5/51.8 cards/match
11.4 fouls/matchFouls5/510.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
0.8 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1.5 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.1 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10.6 shots/matchShots10/10▲11.4 shots/match
2.5 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲4.7 shots/match
43.5%Possession10/1053.4%
5.3 corners/matchCorners10/104.6 corners/match
2.6 cards/matchCards10/101.7 cards/match
13 fouls/matchFouls10/1010.4 fouls/match

Window

Season

25 / 25 matches
0.76 goals/matchGoals scored25/25▲1.6 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed25/25▲1.24 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10.8 shots/matchShots25/2511.2 shots/match
3.2 shots/matchShots on target25/25▲4.48 shots/match
43.8%Possession25/2552.6%
4.96 corners/matchCorners25/253.8 corners/match
2.48 cards/matchCards25/252.16 cards/match
13.3 fouls/matchFouls25/2511.4 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

13 / 13 matches
0.77 goals/matchGoals scored13/13▲1.46 goals/match
1.15 goals/match▲Goals allowed13/131.69 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.4 shots/match▲Shots13/1310.5 shots/match
3.31 shots/matchShots on target13/13▲3.62 shots/match
41.4%Possession13/1353.9%
5.38 corners/matchCorners13/133.15 corners/match
2.46 cards/matchCards13/132.54 cards/match
13.2 fouls/matchFouls13/1312.5 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.07 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.93 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples25 / 25home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 7 Mar 2026, 22:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsAuxerreStrasbourg
CompetitionLigue 1
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Create a graphic from this match