PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2025Sat, 28 Feb 2026, 18:00 UTCFull timeStade Louis IIFull-time recap

Monaco

DWDWW
2–0Full-time recap

Angers

DWWLL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricMonacoAngers
Shots10 shots/match▲6 shots/match
Shots on target4 shots/match▲2 shots/match
Possession72%28%
Corners5 corners/match2 corners/match
Fouls9 fouls/match10 fouls/match
Yellow cards0 cards/match▲3 cards/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Ansu Fati · Monaco · 17′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAleksandr Golovin · Monaco · 57′ · 0.05 xG · on targetSimon Adingra · Monaco · 62′ · 0.05 xG · goalProsper Peter · Angers · 32′ · 0.06 xG · on targetYassin Belkhdim · Angers · 33′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAnsu Fati · Monaco · 47′ · 0.06 xG · on targetOusmane Camara · Angers · 89′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJacques Ekomie · Angers · 90′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedFolarin Balogun · Monaco · 57′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedThilo Kehrer · Monaco · 74′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedCarlens Arcus · Angers · 89′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedAleksandr Golovin · Monaco · 33′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedJordan Teze · Monaco · 43′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedFolarin Balogun · Monaco · 57′ · 0.38 xG · goalYassin Belkhdim · Angers · 50′ · 0.40 xG · on targetLamine Camara · Monaco · 40′ · 0.52 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Monaco: 10 shots, 4 on target, 1.50 xG. Angers: 6 shots, 2 on target, 0.76 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Folarin Balogun · Monaco · 57′Simon Adingra · Monaco · 62′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Monaco 1.50 xG · Angers 0.76 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Angers's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Angers's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Angers's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Angers's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.92 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.92 goals/match1.38 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Angers have a visible away split

moderate

Angers's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

7.67 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season9.21 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots7.67 shots/match9.21 shots/match11.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Monaco have recorded the higher season possession share.

53.7%▲PossessionMonaco · Angers42.4%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 11.3 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricMonacoAngersBaseline
Possession53.7%42.4%48.7%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Monaco
1Draws
0Angers
Angers — Monaco · Ligue 11–1

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Monaco favored in 6 of 14 directional metrics · Angers in 3 · 5 too close

1.67 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 24/240.92 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 24/24▲1.25 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
12.2 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 24/249.21 shots/match
13 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 24/2413.7 shots/match
4.21 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 24/243.42 shots/match
4.33 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 24/244.96 shots/match
53.7%Possessionseason · 24/2442.4%
4.83 corners/matchCornersseason · 24/243.46 corners/match
4.29 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 24/245.17 corners/match
2.54 cards/matchCardsseason · 24/24▲1.54 cards/match
13.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 24/2411 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
25%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 24/24▲33%
75%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 24/2463%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Monaco69.4
Angers2.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Monaco64.8
Angers13.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Monaco32.4
Angers35.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Monaco30.6
Angers25
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Monaco80.5
Angers11.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Monaco52.8
Angers13.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Monaco58.3
Angers13.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
2.4 goals/match▲Goals scored5/50.4 goals/match
0.6 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.2 shots/match▲Shots5/510 shots/match
4.6 shots/match▲Shots on target5/53.6 shots/match
53.8%Possession5/546.4%
5.4 corners/matchCorners5/52.4 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards5/52.2 cards/match
12.4 fouls/matchFouls5/510.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.4 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101 goals/match
1.1 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.3 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
11.4 shots/match▲Shots10/1010.1 shots/match
4.3 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103.8 shots/match
53.1%Possession10/1045.7%
5.4 corners/matchCorners10/103.2 corners/match
2.2 cards/matchCards10/101.6 cards/match
13.8 fouls/matchFouls10/1010.4 fouls/match

Window

Season

24 / 24 matches
1.67 goals/match▲Goals scored24/240.92 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed24/24▲1.25 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
12.2 shots/match▲Shots24/249.21 shots/match
4.21 shots/match▲Shots on target24/243.42 shots/match
53.7%Possession24/2442.4%
4.83 corners/matchCorners24/243.46 corners/match
2.54 cards/matchCards24/241.54 cards/match
13.3 fouls/matchFouls24/2411 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

13 / 12 matches
2.08 goals/match▲Goals scored13/120.5 goals/match
1.46 goals/matchGoals allowed13/121.42 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
12.8 shots/match▲Shots13/127.67 shots/match
4.69 shots/match▲Shots on target13/122.42 shots/match
53.8%Possession13/1238.9%
5 corners/matchCorners13/122.67 corners/match
2.08 cards/matchCards13/121.25 cards/match
12.5 fouls/matchFouls13/129.25 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.08 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.07 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples24 / 24home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 28 Feb 2026, 22:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsMonacoAngers
CompetitionLigue 1
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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