PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2025Sun, 22 Feb 2026, 16:15 UTCFull timeStade Raymond-KopaFull-time recap

Angers

LDWWL
0–1Full-time recap

Lille

LLLDD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricAngersLille
Shots5 shots/match14 shots/match▲
Shots on target2 shots/match5 shots/match▲
Possession45%55%
Corners1 corners/match7 corners/match
Fouls14 fouls/match11 fouls/match
Yellow cards3 cards/match1 cards/match▲

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Tiago Santos · Lille · 19′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLouis Mouton · Angers · 45′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMatías Fernández-Pardo · Lille · 47′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBenjamin André · Lille · 27′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedYassin Belkhdim · Angers · 83′ · 0.03 xG · on targetAïssa Mandi · Lille · 48′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedOlivier Giroud · Lille · 58′ · 0.04 xG · on targetAïssa Mandi · Lille · 19′ · 0.05 xG · on targetNathan Ngoy · Lille · 50′ · 0.05 xG · on targetFélix Correia · Lille · 6′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedTiago Santos · Lille · 89′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedGoduine Koyalipou · Angers · 51′ · 0.08 xG · on targetGoduine Koyalipou · Angers · 31′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedLouis Mouton · Angers · 35′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedMatías Fernández-Pardo · Lille · 12′ · 0.14 xG · on targetFélix Correia · Lille · 67′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedMatías Fernández-Pardo · Lille · 15′ · 0.29 xG · off target or blockedFélix Correia · Lille · 6′ · 0.52 xG · off target or blockedOlivier Giroud · Lille · 45′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Angers: 5 shots, 2 on target, 0.37 xG. Lille: 14 shots, 5 on target, 2.30 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Olivier Giroud · Lille · 45′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Angers 0.37 xG · Lille 2.30 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Lille's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Lille's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Lille's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Lille's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.57 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.57 goals/match1.41 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Lille show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Lille's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

9.35 shots/match▲ShotsAngers · Lille14.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAngersLilleBaseline
Shots9.35 shots/match14.6 shots/match11.8 shots/match
Shots against13.8 shots/match9.91 shots/match12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Angers have a visible home split

moderate

Angers's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

10.8 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season9.35 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.8 shots/match9.35 shots/match11.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Angers
0Draws
1Lille
Lille — Angers · Ligue 11–0

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Angers favored in 3 of 14 directional metrics · Lille in 6 · 5 too close

0.96 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 23/23▲1.57 goals/match
1.22 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 23/231.35 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
9.35 shots/matchShotsseason · 23/23▲14.6 shots/match
13.8 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 23/23▲9.91 shots/match
3.48 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 23/23▲4.74 shots/match
5 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 23/23▲3.74 shots/match
43%Possessionseason · 23/2354.9%
3.52 corners/matchCornersseason · 23/236.35 corners/match
5.17 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 23/23▲3.78 corners/match
1.48 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 23/232.22 cards/match
11 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 23/2311.5 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
35%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 23/2330%
65%Scoring frequencyseason · 23/2365%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Angers8.3
Lille86.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Angers15.7
Lille76.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Angers37
Lille74.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Angers19.4
Lille80.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Angers11.1
Lille47.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Angers13.9
Lille97.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Angers13.9
Lille75.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
0.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲0.6 goals/match
0.6 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/51.2 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10.2 shots/matchShots5/5▲16.2 shots/match
3.4 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲4.4 shots/match
48.2%Possession5/557.4%
2.2 corners/matchCorners5/58.2 corners/match
1.8 cards/matchCards5/51.6 cards/match
10.2 fouls/matchFouls5/59.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.1 goals/match▲Goals scored10/100.9 goals/match
1.3 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.4 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10.2 shots/matchShots10/10▲12.2 shots/match
4.1 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103.8 shots/match
47.4%Possession10/1051.9%
3.2 corners/matchCorners10/105.4 corners/match
1.4 cards/matchCards10/102 cards/match
10.1 fouls/matchFouls10/109 fouls/match

Window

Season

23 / 23 matches
0.96 goals/matchGoals scored23/23▲1.57 goals/match
1.22 goals/match▲Goals allowed23/231.35 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
9.35 shots/matchShots23/23▲14.6 shots/match
3.48 shots/matchShots on target23/23▲4.74 shots/match
43%Possession23/2354.9%
3.52 corners/matchCorners23/236.35 corners/match
1.48 cards/matchCards23/232.22 cards/match
11 fouls/matchFouls23/2311.5 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

12 / 12 matches
1.33 goals/matchGoals scored12/12▲1.5 goals/match
1.08 goals/match▲Goals allowed12/121.5 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
10.8 shots/matchShots12/12▲13.4 shots/match
4.42 shots/matchShots on target12/124.58 shots/match
45.8%Possession12/1257.2%
4.25 corners/matchCorners12/126.08 corners/match
1.83 cards/matchCards12/122.75 cards/match
12.8 fouls/matchFouls12/1212.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.93 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples23 / 23home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 22 Feb 2026, 20:15 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsAngersLille
CompetitionLigue 1
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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