PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2025Stade Raymond-Kopa

Angers 0–1 Lille · Ligue 1

Angers

LDWWL
0–1Historical match

Lille

LLLDD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Lille won 0–1.

Shots
514
Shots on target
25
Expected goals
0.382.25
Possession
45%55%

Full time

What the match recorded

Lille beat Angers 1–0. Recorded in this match (Angers – Lille): shots 5–14, shots on target 2–5, expected goals 0.38–2.25, possession 45%–55%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Lille's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Lille's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.57 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.57 goals/match1.41 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Lille show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Lille's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

9.35 shots/match ▲ShotsAngers · Lille14.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAngersLilleBaseline
Shots9.35 shots/match14.6 shots/match11.7 shots/match
Shots against13.8 shots/match9.91 shots/match12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Angers have a visible home split

moderate

Angers's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

10.8 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season9.35 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.8 shots/match9.35 shots/match11.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots5 shots14 shotsAngers 5 shots, Lille 14 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots5 shotsAngers 2 shots, Lille 5 shots
  • Expected goals0.38 xG2.25 xGAngers 0.38 xG, Lille 2.25 xG
  • Possession45%55%Angers 45%, Lille 55%
  • Corners1 corner7 cornersAngers 1 corner, Lille 7 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls11 foulsAngers 14 fouls, Lille 11 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards1 cardAngers 3 cards, Lille 1 card

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Tiago Santos · Lille · 19′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLouis Mouton · Angers · 45′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMatías Fernández-Pardo · Lille · 47′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBenjamin André · Lille · 27′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedYassin Belkhdim · Angers · 83′ · 0.03 xG · on targetAïssa Mandi · Lille · 48′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedOlivier Giroud · Lille · 58′ · 0.04 xG · on targetAïssa Mandi · Lille · 19′ · 0.05 xG · on targetNathan Ngoy · Lille · 50′ · 0.05 xG · on targetFélix Correia · Lille · 6′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedTiago Santos · Lille · 89′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedGoduine Koyalipou · Angers · 51′ · 0.08 xG · on targetGoduine Koyalipou · Angers · 31′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedLouis Mouton · Angers · 35′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedMatías Fernández-Pardo · Lille · 12′ · 0.14 xG · on targetFélix Correia · Lille · 67′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedMatías Fernández-Pardo · Lille · 15′ · 0.29 xG · off target or blockedFélix Correia · Lille · 6′ · 0.52 xG · off target or blockedOlivier Giroud · Lille · 45′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Angers: 5 shots, 2 on target, 0.37 xG. Lille: 14 shots, 5 on target, 2.30 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Olivier Giroud · Lille · 45′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Angers 0.37 xG · Lille 2.30 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Angers
0Draws
4Lille
Lille — Angers · Ligue 11–0
Angers — Lille · Ligue 10–2
Lille — Angers · Ligue 12–0
Angers — Lille · Ligue 11–0
Lille — Angers · Ligue 11–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Angers favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Lille in 8 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Angers23 matchesLille23 matches
0.96 goals/matchGoals scored23/23▲ 1.57 goals/match
1.22 goals/match ▲Goals allowed23/231.35 goals/match
0.95 xG/matchExpected goals23/23▲ 1.71 xG/match
9.35 shots/matchShots23/23▲ 14.6 shots/match
3.48 shots/matchShots on target23/23▲ 4.74 shots/match
43%Possession23/23● 55%
3.52 corners/matchCorners23/23● 6.35 corners/match
1.48 cards/matchCards23/232.22 cards/match
11 fouls/matchFouls23/2311.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples23 / 23home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 22 Feb 2026, 20:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAngersLille
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2025/26
Head-to-headAngers — Lille
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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