PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2025Stade Océane

Le Havre 0–1 Paris Saint-Germain · Ligue 1

0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Paris Saint-Germain won 0–1.

Shots
1022
Shots on target
29
Expected goals
0.673.88
Possession
32%68%

Full time

What the match recorded

Paris Saint Germain beat Le Havre 1–0. Recorded in this match (Le Havre – Paris Saint Germain): shots 10–22, shots on target 2–9, expected goals 0.67–3.88, possession 32%–68%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Paris Saint Germain show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Paris Saint Germain's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

10.7 shots/match ▲ShotsLe Havre · Paris Saint Germain17.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLe HavreParis Saint GermainBaseline
Shots10.7 shots/match17.8 shots/match11.7 shots/match
Shots against12.9 shots/match8.5 shots/match12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Paris Saint Germain have recorded the higher season possession share.

46%PossessionLe Havre · Paris Saint Germain● 68.5%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 22.4 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricLe HavreParis Saint GermainBaseline
Possession46%68.5%48.7%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Le Havre's recent record differs from the season

weak

Le Havre's last-five shots average is below their season average.

8.8 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season10.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots8.8 shots/match10.7 shots/match11.7 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots22 shotsLe Havre 10 shots, Paris Saint-Germain 22 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots9 shotsLe Havre 2 shots, Paris Saint-Germain 9 shots
  • Expected goals0.67 xG3.88 xGLe Havre 0.67 xG, Paris Saint-Germain 3.88 xG
  • Possession32%68%Le Havre 32%, Paris Saint-Germain 68%
  • Corners3 corners3 cornersLe Havre 3 corners, Paris Saint-Germain 3 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls10 foulsLe Havre 12 fouls, Paris Saint-Germain 10 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards0 cardsLe Havre 3 cards, Paris Saint-Germain 0 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Lucas Gourna-Douath · Le Havre · 44′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedKhvicha Kvaratskhelia · Paris Saint Germain · 59′ · 0.01 xG · on targetAlly Samatta · Le Havre · 89′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLucas Hernández · Paris Saint Germain · 54′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLucas Gourna-Douath · Le Havre · 56′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIssa Soumaré · Le Havre · 90′ · 0.02 xG · on targetKenny Quetant · Le Havre · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAchraf Hakimi · Paris Saint Germain · 3′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKhvicha Kvaratskhelia · Paris Saint Germain · 14′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKang-in Lee · Paris Saint Germain · 24′ · 0.03 xG · on targetAchraf Hakimi · Paris Saint Germain · 45′ · 0.03 xG · on targetKhvicha Kvaratskhelia · Paris Saint Germain · 67′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFodé Doucouré · Le Havre · 75′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDésiré Doué · Paris Saint Germain · 68′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDésiré Doué · Paris Saint Germain · 85′ · 0.05 xG · on targetIssa Soumaré · Le Havre · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSofiane Boufal · Le Havre · 45′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedBradley Barcola · Paris Saint Germain · 13′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedKhvicha Kvaratskhelia · Paris Saint Germain · 70′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedVitinha · Paris Saint Germain · 8′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedKhvicha Kvaratskhelia · Paris Saint Germain · 47′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedKhvicha Kvaratskhelia · Paris Saint Germain · 50′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedKenny Quetant · Le Havre · 75′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedWarren Zaïre-Emery · Paris Saint Germain · 30′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedKhvicha Kvaratskhelia · Paris Saint Germain · 2′ · 0.19 xG · on targetBradley Barcola · Paris Saint Germain · 51′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedBradley Barcola · Paris Saint Germain · 37′ · 0.24 xG · goalIssa Soumaré · Le Havre · 54′ · 0.38 xG · on targetKang-in Lee · Paris Saint Germain · 39′ · 0.53 xG · off target or blockedIbrahim Mbaye · Paris Saint Germain · 78′ · 0.58 xG · on targetNuno Mendes · Paris Saint Germain · 66′ · 0.63 xG · on targetDésiré Doué · Paris Saint Germain · 79′ · 0.82 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Le Havre: 10 shots, 2 on target, 0.68 xG. Paris Saint Germain: 22 shots, 9 on target, 3.93 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0240′HT90′Bradley Barcola · Paris Saint Germain · 37′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Le Havre 0.68 xG · Paris Saint Germain 3.93 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Le Havre
1Draws
4Paris Saint-Germain
Paris Saint-Germain — Le Havre · Ligue 13–0
Paris Saint-Germain — Le Havre · Ligue 12–1
Le Havre — Paris Saint-Germain · Ligue 11–4
Paris Saint-Germain — Le Havre · Ligue 13–3
Le Havre — Paris Saint-Germain · Ligue 10–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Le Havre favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Paris Saint-Germain in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Le Havre24 matchesParis Saint-Germain24 matches
0.83 goals/matchGoals scored24/24▲ 2.21 goals/match
1.25 goals/matchGoals allowed24/24▲ 0.79 goals/match
1.08 xG/matchExpected goals24/24▲ 2.06 xG/match
10.7 shots/matchShots24/24▲ 17.8 shots/match
3.5 shots/matchShots on target24/24▲ 6.88 shots/match
46%Possession24/24● 68.5%
4.58 corners/matchCorners24/24● 6 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards24/241 card/match
13.4 fouls/matchFouls24/2410 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples24 / 24home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 1 Mar 2026, 00:05 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsLe HavreParis Saint-Germain
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2025/26
Head-to-headLe Havre — Paris Saint-Germain
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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