Bundesliga · 2025Fri, 20 Mar 2026, 19:30 UTCFull timeRed Bull ArenaFull-time recap

RB Leipzig

DDWWL

5–0Full-time recap

1899 Hoffenheim

WDLWD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	RB Leipzig	1899 Hoffenheim
Shots	14 shots/match▲	8 shots/match
Shots on target	9 shots/match▲	2 shots/match
Expected goals	2.39 xG/match▲	0.78 xG/match
Possession	50%	50%
Corners	1 corners/match	3 corners/match
Fouls	8 fouls/match	16 fouls/match
Yellow cards	1 cards/match	1 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: 1899 Hoffenheim's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

1899 Hoffenheim's recent record differs from the season

moderate

1899 Hoffenheim's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.4 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.4 goals/match	2 goals/match	1.35 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.37 corners/match▲CornersRB Leipzig · 1899 Hoffenheim5.63 corners/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

Metric	RB Leipzig	1899 Hoffenheim	Baseline
Corners	5.37 corners/match	5.63 corners/match	4.67 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0RB Leipzig

0Draws

11899 Hoffenheim

8 Nov 20251899 Hoffenheim — RB Leipzig · Bundesliga3–1

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

RB Leipzig favored in 8 of 14 directional metrics · 1899 Hoffenheim in 0 · 6 too close

1.96 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 27/272 goals/match

1.3 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 27/271.44 goals/match

—Expected goalsseason · 2/2—

—Expected goals allowedseason · 2/2—

15.8 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 27/2713.9 shots/match

11.9 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 27/2712.4 shots/match

5.81 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 27/275.26 shots/match

3.89 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 27/274.37 shots/match

53.6%Possessionseason · 27/2754.6%

5.37 corners/matchCornersseason · 27/275.63 corners/match

4.48 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 27/275.15 corners/match

1.44 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 25/252.04 cards/match

9.44 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 27/2713.9 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

37%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 27/2722%

89%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 27/2781%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

RB Leipzig69.4

1899 Hoffenheim80.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

RB Leipzig86.1

1899 Hoffenheim80.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

RB Leipzig82.4

1899 Hoffenheim63.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

RB Leipzig91.7

1899 Hoffenheim36.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

RB Leipzig13.9

1899 Hoffenheim79.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 96%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

RB Leipzig75

1899 Hoffenheim91.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

RB Leipzig69.5

1899 Hoffenheim86.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

2.2 goals/match▲Goals scored5/51.4 goals/match

1 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/52.2 goals/match

—Expected goals2/2—

13.2 shots/matchShots5/5▲16.4 shots/match

5.8 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲6.6 shots/match

53.6%Possession5/560.4%

5.6 corners/matchCorners5/58.4 corners/match

1.67 cards/matchCards3/31.33 cards/match

11 fouls/matchFouls5/513.2 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

2 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101.9 goals/match

1.1 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/101.8 goals/match

—Expected goals2/2—

14.3 shots/matchShots10/1014.7 shots/match

6 shots/match▲Shots on target10/105.6 shots/match

58.8%Possession10/1056.1%

4.5 corners/matchCorners10/106.7 corners/match

1.38 cards/matchCards8/82.38 cards/match

9.5 fouls/matchFouls10/1012 fouls/match

Window

Season

27 / 27 matches

1.96 goals/matchGoals scored27/272 goals/match

1.3 goals/match▲Goals allowed27/271.44 goals/match

—Expected goals2/2—

15.8 shots/match▲Shots27/2713.9 shots/match

5.81 shots/match▲Shots on target27/275.26 shots/match

53.6%Possession27/2754.6%

5.37 corners/matchCorners27/275.63 corners/match

1.44 cards/matchCards25/252.04 cards/match

9.44 fouls/matchFouls27/2713.9 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

14 / 14 matches

2.43 goals/match▲Goals scored14/141.86 goals/match

1.29 goals/match▲Goals allowed14/141.71 goals/match

—Expected goals1/1—

16.9 shots/match▲Shots14/1411.8 shots/match

7 shots/match▲Shots on target14/144.43 shots/match

54.4%Possession14/1452.1%

5.43 corners/matchCorners14/144.71 corners/match

1.15 cards/matchCards13/132.31 cards/match

8.43 fouls/matchFouls14/1413.9 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

5.04 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.21 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples27 / 27home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.

Analysis cutoff: Fri, 20 Mar 2026, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4