Bundesliga · 2025Sat, 21 Mar 2026, 14:30 UTCFull timeRheinEnergieStadionFull-time recap

1. FC Köln

LDLLD

3–3Full-time recap

Borussia Mönchengladbach

LLWLW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	1. FC Köln	Borussia Mönchengladbach
Shots	12 shots/match▲	9 shots/match
Shots on target	5 shots/match▲	4 shots/match
Expected goals	1.55 xG/match▲	1.14 xG/match
Possession	51%	49%
Corners	5 corners/match	3 corners/match
Fouls	8 fouls/match	14 fouls/match
Yellow cards	8 cards/match	2 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Borussia Mönchengladbach's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Borussia Mönchengladbach's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Borussia Mönchengladbach's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.22 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.6 goals/match	1.22 goals/match	1.35 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

01. FC Köln

0Draws

1Borussia Mönchengladbach

8 Nov 2025Borussia Mönchengladbach — 1. FC Köln · Bundesliga3–1

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

1. FC Köln favored in 4 of 14 directional metrics · Borussia Mönchengladbach in 3 · 7 too close

1.41 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 27/271.22 goals/match

1.74 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 27/271.7 goals/match

—Expected goalsseason · 2/2—

—Expected goals allowedseason · 2/2—

12.9 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 27/2711.4 shots/match

13.8 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 27/2714.2 shots/match

4.3 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 27/274.15 shots/match

4.7 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 27/275.41 shots/match

47.2%Possessionseason · 27/2745.8%

4.67 corners/matchCornersseason · 27/274.15 corners/match

5.59 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 27/27▲4.63 corners/match

1.92 cards/matchCardsseason · 26/26▲1.5 cards/match

8.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 27/2711 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

11%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 27/27▲37%

85%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 27/2763%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

1. FC Köln47.2

Borussia Mönchengladbach30.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

1. FC Köln52.8

Borussia Mönchengladbach32.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

1. FC Köln31.5

Borussia Mönchengladbach24.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

1. FC Köln75

Borussia Mönchengladbach25

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

1. FC Köln22.2

Borussia Mönchengladbach33.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 98%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

1. FC Köln47.2

Borussia Mönchengladbach13.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

1. FC Köln38.9

Borussia Mönchengladbach31.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.6 goals/match

2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1.8 goals/match

—Expected goals2/2—

11.2 shots/matchShots5/5▲12.4 shots/match

3.6 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲4.4 shots/match

47%Possession5/548.4%

6.8 corners/matchCorners5/53 corners/match

3.25 cards/matchCards4/42.25 cards/match

7.8 fouls/matchFouls5/59.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

1.3 goals/match▲Goals scored10/101 goals/match

1.8 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.7 goals/match

—Expected goals2/2—

13 shots/match▲Shots10/1011.6 shots/match

3.7 shots/matchShots on target10/103.6 shots/match

48.1%Possession10/1045.6%

6 corners/matchCorners10/103.4 corners/match

2.44 cards/matchCards9/91.89 cards/match

7.9 fouls/matchFouls10/1010.9 fouls/match

Window

Season

27 / 27 matches

1.41 goals/match▲Goals scored27/271.22 goals/match

1.74 goals/matchGoals allowed27/271.7 goals/match

—Expected goals2/2—

12.9 shots/match▲Shots27/2711.4 shots/match

4.3 shots/matchShots on target27/274.15 shots/match

47.2%Possession27/2745.8%

4.67 corners/matchCorners27/274.15 corners/match

1.92 cards/matchCards26/261.5 cards/match

8.3 fouls/matchFouls27/2711 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

14 / 14 matches

1.79 goals/match▲Goals scored14/141.21 goals/match

1.71 goals/matchGoals allowed14/141.79 goals/match

—Expected goals1/1—

13.4 shots/match▲Shots14/1411.3 shots/match

4.86 shots/match▲Shots on target14/144.07 shots/match

46.9%Possession14/1445.7%

4.71 corners/matchCorners14/144.36 corners/match

2 cards/matchCards14/141.57 cards/match

7.86 fouls/matchFouls14/1411.9 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.88 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.79 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples27 / 27home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 21 Mar 2026, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4