PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2025Voith-Arena

1. FC Heidenheim 3–3 Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Bundesliga

3–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

1. FC Heidenheim and Bayer 04 Leverkusen drew 3–3.

Shots
914
Shots on target
55
Expected goals
1.571.62
Possession
38%62%

Full time

What the match recorded

1. FC Heidenheim and Bayer Leverkusen drew 3–3. Recorded in this match (1. FC Heidenheim – Bayer Leverkusen): shots 9–14, shots on target 5–5, expected goals 1.57–1.62, possession 38%–62%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

1. FC Heidenheim's recent record differs from the season

moderate

1. FC Heidenheim's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1 goal/match1.35 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Bayer Leverkusen have recorded the higher season possession share.

41.9%Possession1. FC Heidenheim · Bayer Leverkusen● 59.4%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 17.5 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric1. FC HeidenheimBayer LeverkusenBaseline
Possession41.9%59.4%47.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Bayer Leverkusen show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Bayer Leverkusen's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.3 shots/match ▲Shots1. FC Heidenheim · Bayer Leverkusen14.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric1. FC HeidenheimBayer LeverkusenBaseline
Shots11.3 shots/match14.1 shots/match12.7 shots/match
Shots against15.2 shots/match11.9 shots/match13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots14 shots1. FC Heidenheim 9 shots, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 14 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots5 shots1. FC Heidenheim 5 shots, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.57 xG1.62 xG1. FC Heidenheim 1.57 xG, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1.62 xG
  • Possession38%62%1. FC Heidenheim 38%, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 62%
  • Corners2 corners5 corners1. FC Heidenheim 2 corners, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 5 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls12 fouls1. FC Heidenheim 11 fouls, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 12 fouls
  • Yellow cards4 cards4 cards1. FC Heidenheim 4 cards, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 4 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Hennes Behrens · 1. FC Heidenheim · 56′ · 0.01 xG · goalAleix García · Bayer Leverkusen · 8′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMalik Tillman · Bayer Leverkusen · 70′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAleix García · Bayer Leverkusen · 77′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLuca Kerber · 1. FC Heidenheim · 3′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedExequiel Palacios · Bayer Leverkusen · 26′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNathan Tella · Bayer Leverkusen · 78′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPatrik Schick · Bayer Leverkusen · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedHennes Behrens · 1. FC Heidenheim · 23′ · 0.04 xG · on targetJarell Quansah · Bayer Leverkusen · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Mainka · 1. FC Heidenheim · 75′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedIbrahim Maza · Bayer Leverkusen · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedNathan Tella · Bayer Leverkusen · 59′ · 0.07 xG · on targetJulian Niehues · 1. FC Heidenheim · 49′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedPatrik Schick · Bayer Leverkusen · 9′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedBudu Zivzivadze · 1. FC Heidenheim · 68′ · 0.13 xG · on targetPatrik Schick · Bayer Leverkusen · 79′ · 0.21 xG · goalMarvin Pieringer · 1. FC Heidenheim · 85′ · 0.21 xG · goalLuca Kerber · 1. FC Heidenheim · 42′ · 0.24 xG · off target or blockedMalik Tillman · Bayer Leverkusen · 22′ · 0.27 xG · goalPatrik Schick · Bayer Leverkusen · 90′ · 0.27 xG · off target or blockedPatrik Schick · Bayer Leverkusen · 35′ · 0.44 xG · goalMarvin Pieringer · 1. FC Heidenheim · 72′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

1. FC Heidenheim: 9 shots, 5 on target, 1.61 xG. Bayer Leverkusen: 14 shots, 5 on target, 1.60 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Hennes Behrens · 1. FC Heidenheim · 56′Marvin Pieringer · 1. FC Heidenheim · 72′Marvin Pieringer · 1. FC Heidenheim · 85′Malik Tillman · Bayer Leverkusen · 22′Patrik Schick · Bayer Leverkusen · 35′Patrik Schick · Bayer Leverkusen · 79′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: 1. FC Heidenheim 1.61 xG · Bayer Leverkusen 1.60 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

01. FC Heidenheim
0Draws
5Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Bayer 04 Leverkusen — 1. FC Heidenheim · Bundesliga6–0
1. FC Heidenheim — Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Bundesliga0–1
Bayer 04 Leverkusen — 1. FC Heidenheim · Bundesliga5–2
1. FC Heidenheim — Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Bundesliga1–2
Bayer 04 Leverkusen — 1. FC Heidenheim · Bundesliga4–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: 1. FC Heidenheim favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Bayer 04 Leverkusen in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

1. FC Heidenheim27 matchesBayer 04 Leverkusen27 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored27/27▲ 1.93 goals/match
2.26 goals/matchGoals allowed27/27▲ 1.33 goals/match
1.29 xG/matchExpected goals27/27▲ 1.71 xG/match
11.3 shots/matchShots27/27▲ 14.1 shots/match
3.37 shots/matchShots on target27/27▲ 4.63 shots/match
41.9%Possession27/27● 59.4%
4.56 corners/matchCorners27/27● 5.04 corners/match
1.54 cards/matchCards26/262.31 cards/match
10.3 fouls/matchFouls27/279.07 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples27 / 27home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 21 Mar 2026, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
Teams1. FC HeidenheimBayer 04 Leverkusen
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2025/26
Head-to-head1. FC Heidenheim — Bayer 04 Leverkusen
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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