PitchMath
UEFA Champions League · 2025Emirates Stadium

Arsenal 2–0 Bayer 04 Leverkusen · UEFA Champions League

Arsenal

WWWWD
2–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Arsenal won 2–0.

Shots
219
Shots on target
122
Expected goals
1.750.52
Possession
42%58%

Full time

What the match recorded

Arsenal beat Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2–0. Recorded in this match (Arsenal – Bayer 04 Leverkusen): shots 21–9, shots on target 12–2, expected goals 1.75–0.52, possession 42%–58%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Bayer 04 Leverkusen's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

16.1 shots/match ▲ShotsArsenal · Bayer 04 Leverkusen11 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricArsenalBayer 04 LeverkusenBaseline
Shots16.1 shots/match11 shots/match13.7 shots/match
Shots against10.8 shots/match12.8 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Arsenal have a visible home split

moderate

Arsenal's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

18.6 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season16.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots18.6 shots/match16.1 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots21 shots9 shotsArsenal 21 shots, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 9 shots
  • Shots on target12 shots2 shotsArsenal 12 shots, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.75 xG0.52 xGArsenal 1.75 xG, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 0.52 xG
  • Possession42%58%Arsenal 42%, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 58%
  • Corners10 corners8 cornersArsenal 10 corners, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 8 corners
  • Fouls4 fouls8 foulsArsenal 4 fouls, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 8 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Edmond Tapsoba · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 33′ · 0.01 xG · on targetChristian Nørgaard · Arsenal · 90′ · 0.01 xG · on targetLeandro Trossard · Arsenal · 32′ · 0.02 xG · on targetEberechi Eze · Arsenal · 36′ · 0.02 xG · goalBukayo Saka · Arsenal · 52′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRobert Andrich · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 57′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedChristian Kofane · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 85′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIbrahim Maza · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 88′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBukayo Saka · Arsenal · 78′ · 0.03 xG · on targetExequiel Palacios · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 10′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLeandro Trossard · Arsenal · 15′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDeclan Rice · Arsenal · 23′ · 0.04 xG · on targetBukayo Saka · Arsenal · 27′ · 0.04 xG · on targetEberechi Eze · Arsenal · 30′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLeandro Trossard · Arsenal · 49′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedViktor Gyökeres · Arsenal · 52′ · 0.04 xG · on targetJarell Quansah · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 77′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedGabriel Magalhães · Arsenal · 9′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedBukayo Saka · Arsenal · 24′ · 0.07 xG · on targetIbrahim Maza · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 54′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedViktor Gyökeres · Arsenal · 62′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedDeclan Rice · Arsenal · 63′ · 0.07 xG · goalChristian Kofane · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 66′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedLeandro Trossard · Arsenal · 15′ · 0.09 xG · on targetBukayo Saka · Arsenal · 71′ · 0.15 xG · on targetLeandro Trossard · Arsenal · 29′ · 0.16 xG · on targetGabriel Magalhães · Arsenal · 21′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedEberechi Eze · Arsenal · 68′ · 0.23 xG · off target or blockedChristian Kofane · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 87′ · 0.23 xG · on targetBen White · Arsenal · 32′ · 0.30 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Arsenal: 21 shots, 12 on target, 1.73 xG. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: 9 shots, 2 on target, 0.52 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Eberechi Eze · Arsenal · 36′Declan Rice · Arsenal · 63′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Arsenal 1.73 xG · Bayer 04 Leverkusen 0.52 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Arsenal
1Draws
0Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Bayer 04 Leverkusen — Arsenal · UEFA Champions League1–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Arsenal favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Bayer 04 Leverkusen in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Arsenal10 matchesBayer 04 Leverkusen12 matches
2.6 goals/match ▲Goals scored10/121.33 goals/match
0.5 goals/match ▲Goals allowed10/121.42 goals/match
2.35 xG/match ▲Expected goals10/121.37 xG/match
16.1 shots/match ▲Shots10/1211 shots/match
7.7 shots/match ▲Shots on target10/123.92 shots/match
53.4% ●Possession10/1252.3%
5.7 corners/match ●Corners10/124.67 corners/match
11.3 fouls/matchFouls10/128.58 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples10 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 18 Mar 2026, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in UEFA Champions League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsArsenalBayer 04 Leverkusen
CompetitionUEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions League 2025/26
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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