PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2025Borussia-Park

Borussia M'gladbach 2–0 FC St. Pauli · Bundesliga

2–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Borussia M'gladbach won 2–0.

Shots
108
Shots on target
41
Expected goals
0.710.51
Possession
40%60%

Full time

What the match recorded

Borussia Mönchengladbach beat FC St. Pauli 2–0. Recorded in this match (Borussia Mönchengladbach – FC St. Pauli): shots 10–8, shots on target 4–1, expected goals 0.71–0.51, possession 40%–60%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

FC St. Pauli's recent record differs from the season

moderate

FC St. Pauli's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.88 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match0.88 goals/match1.36 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots8 shotsBorussia M'gladbach 10 shots, FC St. Pauli 8 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots1 shotBorussia M'gladbach 4 shots, FC St. Pauli 1 shot
  • Expected goals0.71 xG0.51 xGBorussia M'gladbach 0.71 xG, FC St. Pauli 0.51 xG
  • Possession40%60%Borussia M'gladbach 40%, FC St. Pauli 60%
  • Corners2 corners2 cornersBorussia M'gladbach 2 corners, FC St. Pauli 2 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls7 foulsBorussia M'gladbach 9 fouls, FC St. Pauli 7 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card2 cardsBorussia M'gladbach 1 card, FC St. Pauli 2 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Kevin Stöger · Borussia Mönchengladbach · 45′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedHugo Bolin · Borussia Mönchengladbach · 7′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDanel Sinani · FC St. Pauli · 42′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedArkadiusz Pyrka · FC St. Pauli · 16′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAdam Dźwigała · FC St. Pauli · 20′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKevin Stöger · Borussia Mönchengladbach · 21′ · 0.03 xG · on targetJackson Irvine · FC St. Pauli · 32′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKevin Stöger · Borussia Mönchengladbach · 37′ · 0.04 xG · goalEric Smith · FC St. Pauli · 60′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedShuto Machino · Borussia Mönchengladbach · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedFranck Honorat · Borussia Mönchengladbach · 62′ · 0.06 xG · goalDanel Sinani · FC St. Pauli · 71′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJackson Irvine · FC St. Pauli · 90′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedKevin Diks · Borussia Mönchengladbach · 89′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedLukas Ullrich · Borussia Mönchengladbach · 90′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedYannik Engelhardt · Borussia Mönchengladbach · 13′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Neuhaus · Borussia Mönchengladbach · 90′ · 0.20 xG · on targetJoel Chima Fujita · FC St. Pauli · 27′ · 0.21 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Borussia Mönchengladbach: 10 shots, 4 on target, 0.74 xG. FC St. Pauli: 8 shots, 1 on target, 0.51 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Kevin Stöger · Borussia Mönchengladbach · 37′Franck Honorat · Borussia Mönchengladbach · 62′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Borussia Mönchengladbach 0.74 xG · FC St. Pauli 0.51 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Borussia M'gladbach
1Draws
1FC St. Pauli
Borussia M'gladbach — FC St. Pauli · DFB Pokal1–2
FC St. Pauli — Borussia M'gladbach · Bundesliga0–4
FC St. Pauli — Borussia M'gladbach · Bundesliga1–1
Borussia M'gladbach — FC St. Pauli · Bundesliga2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Borussia M'gladbach favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · FC St. Pauli in 1 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Borussia M'gladbach26 matchesFC St. Pauli26 matches
1.15 goals/match ▲Goals scored26/260.88 goals/match
1.65 goals/matchGoals allowed26/261.62 goals/match
1.27 xG/match ▲Expected goals26/260.86 xG/match
11.5 shots/match ▲Shots26/2610.3 shots/match
4.15 shots/match ▲Shots on target26/263.38 shots/match
45.7% ●Possession26/2644.7%
4.19 corners/matchCorners26/26● 4.58 corners/match
1.48 cards/matchCards25/251.56 cards/match
10.9 fouls/matchFouls26/2610.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples26 / 26home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 13 Mar 2026, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBorussia M'gladbachFC St. Pauli
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2025/26
Head-to-headBorussia M'gladbach — FC St. Pauli
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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