Bundesliga · 2025Fri, 13 Mar 2026, 19:30 UTCFull timeBorussia-ParkFull-time recap

Borussia Mönchengladbach

DLLWL

2–0Full-time recap

FC St. Pauli

WLWWD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Borussia Mönchengladbach	FC St. Pauli
Shots	10 shots/match▲	8 shots/match
Shots on target	4 shots/match▲	1 shots/match
Expected goals	0.71 xG/match▲	0.51 xG/match
Possession	40%	60%
Corners	2 corners/match	2 corners/match
Fouls	9 fouls/match	7 fouls/match
Yellow cards	1 cards/match▲	2 cards/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: FC St. Pauli's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

FC St. Pauli's recent record differs from the season

moderate

FC St. Pauli's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.88 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	0.6 goals/match	0.88 goals/match	1.36 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Borussia Mönchengladbach

0Draws

1FC St. Pauli

2 Dec 2025Borussia Mönchengladbach — FC St. Pauli · DFB Pokal1–2

1 Nov 2025FC St. Pauli — Borussia Mönchengladbach · Bundesliga0–4

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Borussia Mönchengladbach favored in 7 of 14 directional metrics · FC St. Pauli in 1 · 6 too close

1.15 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 26/260.88 goals/match

1.65 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 26/261.62 goals/match

—Expected goalsseason · 1/1—

—Expected goals allowedseason · 1/1—

11.5 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 26/2610.3 shots/match

14.3 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 26/26▲11.5 shots/match

4.15 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 26/263.38 shots/match

5.42 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 26/265.19 shots/match

45.7%Possessionseason · 26/2644.7%

4.19 corners/matchCornersseason · 26/264.58 corners/match

4.62 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 26/265.08 corners/match

1.48 cards/match▲Cardsseason · 25/251.56 cards/match

10.9 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 26/2610.2 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

38%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 26/2619%

62%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 26/2658%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Borussia Mönchengladbach25

FC St. Pauli19.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Borussia Mönchengladbach23.1

FC St. Pauli2.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Borussia Mönchengladbach28.7

FC St. Pauli58.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Borussia Mönchengladbach30.6

FC St. Pauli8.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Borussia Mönchengladbach33.3

FC St. Pauli27.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 98%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Borussia Mönchengladbach13.9

FC St. Pauli41.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Borussia Mönchengladbach30.6

FC St. Pauli20.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches

1 goals/match▲Goals scored5/50.6 goals/match

1.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲1.4 goals/match

—Expected goals1/1—

14.6 shots/match▲Shots5/59 shots/match

4.2 shots/match▲Shots on target5/52.2 shots/match

49.8%Possession5/539.4%

4 corners/matchCorners5/53 corners/match

2.25 cards/matchCards4/41.75 cards/match

9 fouls/matchFouls5/58.8 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches

0.8 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲0.9 goals/match

1.9 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲1.4 goals/match

—Expected goals1/1—

11.4 shots/match▲Shots10/1010.1 shots/match

3.7 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103.3 shots/match

44.1%Possession10/1041.1%

3.3 corners/matchCorners10/103.9 corners/match

1.78 cards/matchCards9/91.11 cards/match

10.5 fouls/matchFouls10/109.8 fouls/match

Window

Season

26 / 26 matches

1.15 goals/match▲Goals scored26/260.88 goals/match

1.65 goals/matchGoals allowed26/261.62 goals/match

—Expected goals1/1—

11.5 shots/match▲Shots26/2610.3 shots/match

4.15 shots/match▲Shots on target26/263.38 shots/match

45.7%Possession26/2644.7%

4.19 corners/matchCorners26/264.58 corners/match

1.48 cards/matchCards25/251.56 cards/match

10.9 fouls/matchFouls26/2610.2 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

13 / 14 matches

1.23 goals/match▲Goals scored13/140.71 goals/match

1.62 goals/match▲Goals allowed13/141.71 goals/match

—Expected goals1/1—

11.6 shots/match▲Shots13/1410 shots/match

4.23 shots/match▲Shots on target13/142.57 shots/match

45.8%Possession13/1443.9%

3.92 corners/matchCorners13/143.43 corners/match

1.42 cards/matchCards12/131.46 cards/match

10.1 fouls/matchFouls13/1410.1 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/15.21 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready

Season samples26 / 26home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.

Analysis cutoff: Fri, 13 Mar 2026, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4