PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2025Fri, 6 Feb 2026, 19:30 UTCFull timeStadion An der Alten FörstereiFull-time recap
1–1Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricUnion BerlinEintracht Frankfurt
Shots11 shots/match▲3 shots/match
Shots on target3 shots/match▲1 shots/match
Possession27%73%
Corners5 corners/match2 corners/match
Fouls9 fouls/match11 fouls/match
Yellow cards4 cards/match3 cards/match▲

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Union Berlin's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. A second useful context is: Eintracht Frankfurt have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Union Berlin's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Union Berlin's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.24 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.24 goals/match1.43 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Eintracht Frankfurt have recorded the higher season possession share.

39%▲PossessionUnion Berlin · Eintracht Frankfurt53%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 14.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricUnion BerlinEintracht FrankfurtBaseline
Possession39%53%48.6%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Union Berlin
0Draws
0Eintracht Frankfurt
Eintracht Frankfurt — Union Berlin · Bundesliga3–4

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Union Berlin favored in 4 of 14 directional metrics · Eintracht Frankfurt in 5 · 5 too close

1.24 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 21/21▲1.95 goals/match
1.62 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 21/212.19 goals/match
—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—
—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—
13 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 21/2111.6 shots/match
12 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 21/2112 shots/match
3.57 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 21/21▲4.24 shots/match
4.29 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 21/214.57 shots/match
39%Possessionseason · 21/2153%
5.52 corners/matchCornersseason · 21/214.48 corners/match
4.1 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 21/21▲3.81 corners/match
2.24 cards/matchCardsseason · 21/21▲1.9 cards/match
13.1 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 21/2111 fouls/match
—Passesseason · 0/0—
—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—
—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—
—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—
—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—
—Offsidesseason · 0/0—
19%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 21/2114%
71%Scoring frequencyseason · 21/21▲90%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Union Berlin2.8
Eintracht Frankfurt69.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Union Berlin39.8
Eintracht Frankfurt49.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Union Berlin66.7
Eintracht Frankfurt48.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Union Berlin97.2
Eintracht Frankfurt2.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Union Berlin80.6
Eintracht Frankfurt50
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Union Berlin86.1
Eintracht Frankfurt36.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Union Berlin63.9
Eintracht Frankfurt40.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
0.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲1.6 goals/match
1.8 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/52.6 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
14.6 shots/match▲Shots5/58.6 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲3.4 shots/match
43.8%Possession5/548.8%
6.6 corners/matchCorners5/53.8 corners/match
1.6 cards/matchCards5/52.8 cards/match
13.2 fouls/matchFouls5/512 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲1.4 goals/match
1.7 goals/match▲Goals allowed10/102.4 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
14.3 shots/match▲Shots10/109.8 shots/match
3.7 shots/match▲Shots on target10/103.5 shots/match
45.1%Possession10/1049.7%
6.1 corners/matchCorners10/104.2 corners/match
2.1 cards/matchCards10/102.2 cards/match
12.3 fouls/matchFouls10/1012.4 fouls/match

Window

Season

21 / 21 matches
1.24 goals/matchGoals scored21/21▲1.95 goals/match
1.62 goals/match▲Goals allowed21/212.19 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
13 shots/match▲Shots21/2111.6 shots/match
3.57 shots/matchShots on target21/21▲4.24 shots/match
39%Possession21/2153%
5.52 corners/matchCorners21/214.48 corners/match
2.24 cards/matchCards21/211.9 cards/match
13.1 fouls/matchFouls21/2111 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

11 / 11 matches
1.45 goals/matchGoals scored11/11▲2.18 goals/match
1.55 goals/match▲Goals allowed11/112.55 goals/match
—Expected goals0/0—
12.5 shots/match▲Shots11/1110.7 shots/match
3.73 shots/matchShots on target11/113.91 shots/match
38.3%Possession11/1154.6%
5.36 corners/matchCorners11/113.73 corners/match
2.82 cards/matchCards11/112.27 cards/match
13.5 fouls/matchFouls11/1111.6 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.21 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.21 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples21 / 21home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 6 Feb 2026, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsUnion BerlinEintracht Frankfurt
CompetitionBundesliga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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